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Researcher profile

Donlapark Ponnoprat

Donlapark Ponnoprat contributes to research discovery and scholarly infrastructure.

ResearcherAffiliation not importedOpen to collaborate
Machine Learningmath.STComputationCryptography and Securitymath.PRMethodologyNetworking and Internet ArchitectureStatistics Theory

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Published work

5 published item(s)

preprint2026arXiv

Minimax Optimal Estimation of Transport-Growth Pairs in Unbalanced Optimal Transport

Unbalanced optimal transport (UOT) extends classical optimal transport to measures with different total masses, but statistical guarantees for Monge-type estimation remain limited. We study unbalanced transport with quadratic cost and Kullback-Leibler marginal penalties and argue that the natural population target is not a map alone, but a transport-growth pair. Consequently, we develop two estimators for the transport-growth pairs under several setups: an optimal transport plan-based estimator for a general case, and a kernel-based estimator for a case with smooth densities. We also show that an error of the estimator achieves the minimax optimal rate by deriving a matching lower bound of the minimax risk. Our main technical contribution is a value-based stability reduction that converts perturbations of the UOT objective into transport and growth risks through a UOT gap condition. These results provide a statistical foundation for Monge-type estimation in unbalanced optimal transport.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2025arXiv

coverforest: Conformal Predictions with Random Forest in Python

Conformal prediction provides a framework for uncertainty quantification, specifically in the forms of prediction intervals and sets with distribution-free guaranteed coverage. While recent cross-conformal techniques such as CV+ and Jackknife+-after-bootstrap achieve better data efficiency than traditional split conformal methods, they incur substantial computational costs due to required pairwise comparisons between training and test samples' out-of-bag scores. Observing that these methods naturally extend from ensemble models, particularly random forests, we leverage existing optimized random forest implementations to enable efficient cross-conformal predictions. We present coverforest, a Python package that implements efficient conformal prediction methods specifically optimized for random forests. coverforest supports both regression and classification tasks through various conformal prediction methods, including split conformal, CV+, Jackknife+-after-bootstrap, and adaptive prediction sets. Our package leverages parallel computing and Cython optimizations to speed up out-of-bag calculations. Our experiments demonstrate that coverforest's predictions achieve the desired level of coverage. In addition, its training and prediction times can be faster than an existing implementation by 2--9 times. The source code for the coverforest is hosted on GitHub at https://github.com/donlap/coverforest.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2022arXiv

Detecting Anomalous LAN Activities under Differential Privacy

Anomaly detection has emerged as a popular technique for detecting malicious activities in local area networks (LANs). Various aspects of LAN anomaly detection have been widely studied. Nonetheless, the privacy concern about individual users or their relationship in LAN has not been thoroughly explored in the prior work. In some realistic cases, the anomaly detection analysis needs to be carried out by an external party, located outside the LAN. Thus, it is important for the LAN admin to release LAN data to this party in a private way in order to protect privacy of LAN users; at the same time, the released data must also preserve the utility of being able to detect anomalies. This paper investigates the possibility of privately releasing ARP data that can later be used to identify anomalies in LAN. We present four approaches and show that they satisfy different levels of differential privacy - a rigorous and provable notion for quantifying privacy loss in a system. Our real-world experimental results confirm practical feasibility of our approaches. With a proper privacy budget, all of our approaches preserve more than 75% utility of detecting anomalies in the released data.

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preprint2022arXiv

Universal consistency of Wasserstein $k$-NN classifier: Negative and Positive Results

The Wasserstein distance provides a notion of dissimilarities between probability measures, which has recent applications in learning of structured data with varying size such as images and text documents. In this work, we study the $k$-nearest neighbor classifier ($k$-NN) of probability measures under the Wasserstein distance. We show that the $k$-NN classifier is not universally consistent on the space of measures supported in $(0,1)$. As any Euclidean ball contains a copy of $(0,1)$, one should not expect to obtain universal consistency without some restriction on the base metric space, or the Wasserstein space itself. To this end, via the notion of $σ$-finite metric dimension, we show that the $k$-NN classifier is universally consistent on spaces of measures supported in a $σ$-uniformly discrete set. In addition, by studying the geodesic structures of the Wasserstein spaces for $p=1$ and $p=2$, we show that the $k$-NN classifier is universally consistent on the space of measures supported on a finite set, the space of Gaussian measures, and the space of measures with densities expressed as finite wavelet series.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2021arXiv

Short-term daily precipitation forecasting with seasonally-integrated autoencoder

Short-term precipitation forecasting is essential for planning of human activities in multiple scales, ranging from individuals' planning, urban management to flood prevention. Yet the short-term atmospheric dynamics are highly nonlinear that it cannot be easily captured with classical time series models. On the other hand, deep learning models are good at learning nonlinear interactions, but they are not designed to deal with the seasonality in time series. In this study, we aim to develop a forecasting model that can both handle the nonlinearities and detect the seasonality hidden within the daily precipitation data. To this end, we propose a seasonally-integrated autoencoder (SSAE) consisting of two long short-term memory (LSTM) autoencoders: one for learning short-term dynamics, and the other for learning the seasonality in the time series. Our experimental results show that not only does the SSAE outperform various time series models regardless of the climate type, but it also has low output variance compared to other deep learning models. The results also show that the seasonal component of the SSAE helped improve the correlation between the forecast and the actual values from 4% at horizon 1 to 37% at horizon 3.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access