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Researcher profile

Jintao Ke

Jintao Ke contributes to research discovery and scholarly infrastructure.

ResearcherAffiliation not importedOpen to collaborate
Machine LearningArtificial IntelligenceComputer Science and Game Theoryecon.GNeess.SPq-fin.EC

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Published work

4 published item(s)

preprint2026arXiv

D$^3$-Subsidy: Online and Sequential Driver Subsidy Decision-Making for Large-Scale Ride-Hailing Market

Ride-hailing platforms like DiDi Chuxing operate in highly dynamic environments where balancing driver supply and passenger demand is critical. Although driver-side subsidies serve as a primary lever to align these forces and improve key KPIs like completed rides (\texttt{Rides}) and gross merchandise value (\texttt{GMV}), optimizing them in production requires simultaneously meeting three constraints: (i) responsiveness to stochastic shocks, (ii) strict subsidy-rate caps, and (iii) low-latency execution at city scale. These requirements rule out expensive per-order optimization, calling for a forward-looking, constraint-aware city-level controller for online sequential decision making. To meet these requirements, we introduce D$^3$-Subsidy (Dynamic Driver-side Diffusion-based Subsidy), a hierarchical diffusion-based framework for deployable city-wide subsidy control. To bridge the train-inference gap, D$^3$-Subsidy employs a prefix-conditioned diffusion model that samples plausible future trajectories from immutable historical observations, ensuring the training protocol aligns with the fixed-history nature of online deployment. These generated plans are then decoded by a context-conditioned inverse module into low-dimensional city-level control signals. For scalable execution, we bridge the gap between city-level planning and fine-grained dispatch via a Lagrangian-dual-derived mapping, which embeds subsidy-rate caps directly into order-driver incentives without iterative optimization. Additionally, a multi-city pretraining strategy with parameter-efficient fine-tuning enables robust transfer across heterogeneous cities. Extensive offline evaluations demonstrate that D$^3$-Subsidy improves \texttt{Rides} and \texttt{GMV} while enhancing cap compliance, and a real-world A/B test confirms significant uplift while keeping budget-related violation metrics within operational thresholds.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2020arXiv

Competitive ride-sourcing market with a third-party integrator

Recently, some transportation service providers attempt to integrate the ride services offered by multiple independent ride-sourcing platforms, and passengers are able to request ride through such third-party integrators or connectors and receive service from any one of the platforms. This novel business model, termed as third-party platform-integration in this paper, has potentials to alleviate the cost of market fragmentation due to the demand splitting among multiple platforms. While most existing studies focus on the operation strategies for one single monopolist platform, much less is known about the competition and platform-integration as well as the implications on operation strategy and system efficiency. In this paper, we propose mathematical models to describe the ride-sourcing market with multiple competing platforms and compare system performance metrics between two market scenarios, i.e., with and without platform-integration, at Nash equilibrium as well as social optimum. We find that platform-integration can increase total realized demand and social welfare at both Nash equilibrium and social optimum, but may not necessarily generate a greater profit when vehicle supply is sufficiently large or/and market is too fragmented. We show that the market with platform-integration generally achieves greater social welfare. On one hand, the integrator in platform-integration is able to generate a thicker market and reduce matching frictions; on the other hand, multiple platforms are still competing by independently setting their prices, which help to mitigate monopoly mark-up as in the monopoly market.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2020arXiv

Joint predictions of multi-modal ride-hailing demands: a deep multi-task multigraph learning-based approach

Ride-hailing platforms generally provide various service options to customers, such as solo ride services, shared ride services, etc. It is generally expected that demands for different service modes are correlated, and the prediction of demand for one service mode can benefit from historical observations of demands for other service modes. Moreover, an accurate joint prediction of demands for multiple service modes can help the platforms better allocate and dispatch vehicle resources. Although there is a large stream of literature on ride-hailing demand predictions for one specific service mode, little efforts have been paid towards joint predictions of ride-hailing demands for multiple service modes. To address this issue, we propose a deep multi-task multi-graph learning approach, which combines two components: (1) multiple multi-graph convolutional (MGC) networks for predicting demands for different service modes, and (2) multi-task learning modules that enable knowledge sharing across multiple MGC networks. More specifically, two multi-task learning structures are established. The first one is the regularized cross-task learning, which builds cross-task connections among the inputs and outputs of multiple MGC networks. The second one is the multi-linear relationship learning, which imposes a prior tensor normal distribution on the weights of various MGC networks. Although there are no concrete bridges between different MGC networks, the weights of these networks are constrained by each other and subject to a common prior distribution. Evaluated with the for-hire-vehicle datasets in Manhattan, we show that our propose approach outperforms the benchmark algorithms in prediction accuracy for different ride-hailing modes.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2019arXiv

Predicting origin-destination ride-sourcing demand with a spatio-temporal encoder-decoder residual multi-graph convolutional network

With the rapid development of mobile-internet technologies, on-demand ride-sourcing services have become increasingly popular and largely reshaped the way people travel. Demand prediction is one of the most fundamental components in supply-demand management systems of ride-sourcing platforms. With accurate short-term prediction for origin-destination (OD) demand, the platforms make precise and timely decisions on real-time matching, idle vehicle reallocations and ride-sharing vehicle routing, etc. Compared to zone-based demand prediction that has been examined by many previous studies, OD-based demand prediction is more challenging. This is mainly due to the complicated spatial and temporal dependencies among demand of different OD pairs. To overcome this challenge, we propose the Spatio-Temporal Encoder-Decoder Residual Multi-Graph Convolutional network (ST-ED-RMGC), a novel deep learning model for predicting ride-sourcing demand of various OD pairs. Firstly, the model constructs OD graphs, which utilize adjacent matrices to characterize the non-Euclidean pair-wise geographical and semantic correlations among different OD pairs. Secondly, based on the constructed graphs, a residual multi-graph convolutional (RMGC) network is designed to encode the contextual-aware spatial dependencies, and a long-short term memory (LSTM) network is used to encode the temporal dependencies, into a dense vector space. Finally, we reuse the RMGC networks to decode the compressed vector back to OD graphs and predict the future OD demand. Through extensive experiments on the for-hire-vehicles datasets in Manhattan, New York City, we show that our proposed deep learning framework outperforms the state-of-arts by a significant margin.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access