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Jieping Ye

Jieping Ye contributes to research discovery and scholarly infrastructure.

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Published work

28 published item(s)

preprint2026arXiv

Are Rationales Necessary and Sufficient? Tuning LLMs for Explainable Misinformation Detection

The rapid spread of misinformation on social media platforms has become a formidable challenge. To mitigate its proliferation, Misinformation Detection (MD) has emerged as a critical research topic. Traditional MD approaches based on small models typically perform binary classification through a black-box process. Recently, the rise of Large Language Models (LLMs) has enabled explainable MD, where models generate rationales that explain their decisions, thereby enhancing transparency. Existing explainable MD methods primarily focus on crafting sophisticated prompts to elicit rationales from off-the-shelf LLMs. In this work, we propose a pipeline to fine-tune a dedicated LLM specifically for explainable MD. Our pipeline begins by collecting large-scale fact-checked articles, and then uses multiple strong LLMs to produce veracity predictions and rationales. To ensure high-quality training data, we leverage a filtering strategy that selects only the correct instances for fine-tuning. While this pipeline is intuitive and prevalent, our experiments reveal that naive filtering based solely on label correctness is insufficient in practice and suffers from two critical limitations: (1) Coarse-grained labels cause insufficient rationales: Rationales filtered solely based on binary labels are insufficient to adequately support their decisions; (2) Over-verification behavior causes unnecessary rationales: Stronger LLMs tend to exhibit over-verification behavior, producing excessively verbose and unnecessary rationales. To address these issues, we introduce LONSREX, a novel data synthesis pipeline to Locate Necessary and Sufficient Rationales for Explainable MD. Specifically, we propose a metric that quantifies the contribution of each verification step to the final prediction, thereby evaluating its necessity and sufficiency. Experimental results demonstrate the effectiveness of LONSREX.

preprint2026arXiv

Backtracking When It Strays: Mitigating Dual Exposure Biases in LLM Reasoning Distillation

Large language models (LLMs) have achieved remarkable success in complex reasoning tasks via long chain-of-thought (CoT), yet their immense computational overhead hinders real-world deployment. LLM reasoning distillation addresses this by transferring reasoning capabilities from formidable teacher models to compact student models. However, existing distillation paradigms face a fundamental dilemma. Typical off-policy distillation strictly utilizes teacher-generated golden trajectories, suffering from an exposure bias due to the mismatch between training distributions and student-generated inference contexts, which leads to error cascades in long CoT reasoning. To address this, on-policy distillation allows students to explore their own trajectories, but we demonstrate that it inherently introduces a reciprocal reversed exposure bias: the teacher model also struggles to provide positive guidance when conditioned on student-generated sub-optimal contexts. To resolve this dual exposure biases problem, we propose Monitoring Trajectories and Backtracking when it strays (MOTAB), a new LLM reasoning distillation pipeline. Specifically, MOTAB dynamically monitors the student's on-policy generation against an adaptive safety boundary. When the generation strays and exceeds this threshold, MOTAB backtracks to the last safe state and leverages teacher intervention to correct the course. This approach inherently tolerates minor student errors to mitigate exposure bias, while preventing sub-optimal contexts to circumvent reversed exposure bias. Extensive experiments on the LIMO-v2 and AceReason datasets demonstrate that MOTAB effectively alleviates the dual exposure biases, yielding a roughly 3% average performance improvement in reasoning tasks.

preprint2026arXiv

Distribution-Aligned Sequence Distillation for Superior Long-CoT Reasoning

In this report, we introduce DASD-4B-Thinking, a lightweight yet highly capable, fully open-source reasoning model. It achieves SOTA performance among open-source models of comparable scale across challenging benchmarks in mathematics, scientific reasoning, and code generation -- even outperforming several larger models. We begin by critically reexamining a widely adopted distillation paradigm in the community: SFT on teacher-generated responses, also known as sequence-level distillation. Although a series of recent works following this scheme have demonstrated remarkable efficiency and strong empirical performance, they are primarily grounded in the SFT perspective. Consequently, these approaches focus predominantly on designing heuristic rules for SFT data filtering, while largely overlooking the core principle of distillation itself -- enabling the student model to learn the teacher's full output distribution so as to inherit its generalization capability. Specifically, we identify three critical limitations in current practice: i) Inadequate representation of the teacher's sequence-level distribution; ii) Misalignment between the teacher's output distribution and the student's learning capacity; and iii) Exposure bias arising from teacher-forced training versus autoregressive inference. In summary, these shortcomings reflect a systemic absence of explicit teacher-student interaction throughout the distillation process, leaving the essence of distillation underexploited. To address these issues, we propose several methodological innovations that collectively form an enhanced sequence-level distillation training pipeline. Remarkably, DASD-4B-Thinking obtains competitive results using only 448K training samples -- an order of magnitude fewer than those employed by most existing open-source efforts. To support community research, we publicly release our models and the training dataset.

preprint2026arXiv

Prefix Teach, Suffix Fade: Local Teachability Collapse in Strong-to-Weak On-Policy Distillation

On-policy distillation (OPD) trains a student model on its own rollouts using dense feedback from a stronger teacher. Prior literature suggests that, provided teacher feedback is available, supervising the full sequence of response tokens should monotonically improve performance. However, we demonstrate that this assumption sometimes fails to hold in strong-to-weak OPD settings. While later segments of a generated trajectory may still exhibit a non-zero teacher-student advantage, they frequently lack the local contrast that makes dense feedback effective for prioritizing student learning. We term this failure mode local teachability collapse. The resulting principle is straightforward: supervision should concentrate on trajectory regions where the teacher's feedback remains discriminative, rather than uniformly covering the entire response. We operationalize this principle through a trajectory-specific release rule. This rule measures the teacher's margin over the student's top-$K$ candidate set, aggregates this margin across NLTK-tokenized sentence segments, and truncates dense OPD supervision upon detecting a BIC-style downward change point. Experimental results across strong-to-weak distillation tasks using the Qwen3 model family indicate that this release rule consistently outperforms standard full-trajectory OPD across five in-domain benchmarks at various student scales. Furthermore, compared to baseline distillation methods, our approach better preserves model capabilities on out-of-domain task. These results suggest that effective strong-to-weak OPD requires evaluating not only the availability of teacher guidance but also its local utility, ensuring that the generated feedback remains teachable.

preprint2026arXiv

ToolCUA: Towards Optimal GUI-Tool Path Orchestration for Computer Use Agents

Computer Use Agents (CUAs) can act through both atomic GUI actions, such as click and type, and high-level tool calls, such as API-based file operations, but this hybrid action space often leaves them uncertain about when to continue with GUI actions or switch to tools, leading to suboptimal execution paths. This difficulty stems from the scarcity of high-quality interleaved GUI-Tool trajectories, the cost and brittleness of collecting real tool trajectories, and the lack of trajectory-level supervision for GUI-Tool path selection. In this paper, we propose ToolCUA, an end-to-end agent designed to learn optimal GUI-Tool path selection through a staged training paradigm. We first introduce an Interleaved GUI-Tool Trajectory Scaling Pipeline that repurposes abundant static GUI trajectories and synthesizes a grounded tool library, enabling diverse GUI-Tool trajectories without manual engineering or real tool-trajectory collection. We then perform Tool-Bootstrapped GUI RFT, combining warmup SFT with single-turn RL to improve decisions at critical GUI-Tool switching points. Finally, we optimize ToolCUA with Online Agentic RL in a high-fidelity GUI-Tool environment, guided by a Tool-Efficient Path Reward that encourages appropriate tool use and shorter execution paths. Experiments on OSWorld-MCP show that ToolCUA achieves 46.85% accuracy, a relative improvement of approximately 66% over the baseline, establishing a new state of the art among models of comparable scale. It also improves by 3.9% over GUI-only settings, demonstrating effective GUI-Tool orchestration. The results further suggest that training in a hybrid action space is a promising paradigm for real-world digital agents. Open-sourced here: https://x-plug.github.io/ToolCUA/

preprint2023arXiv

Object Detection in 20 Years: A Survey

Object detection, as of one the most fundamental and challenging problems in computer vision, has received great attention in recent years. Over the past two decades, we have seen a rapid technological evolution of object detection and its profound impact on the entire computer vision field. If we consider today's object detection technique as a revolution driven by deep learning, then back in the 1990s, we would see the ingenious thinking and long-term perspective design of early computer vision. This paper extensively reviews this fast-moving research field in the light of technical evolution, spanning over a quarter-century's time (from the 1990s to 2022). A number of topics have been covered in this paper, including the milestone detectors in history, detection datasets, metrics, fundamental building blocks of the detection system, speed-up techniques, and the recent state-of-the-art detection methods.

preprint2022arXiv

On Reward-Free RL with Kernel and Neural Function Approximations: Single-Agent MDP and Markov Game

To achieve sample efficiency in reinforcement learning (RL), it necessitates efficiently exploring the underlying environment. Under the offline setting, addressing the exploration challenge lies in collecting an offline dataset with sufficient coverage. Motivated by such a challenge, we study the reward-free RL problem, where an agent aims to thoroughly explore the environment without any pre-specified reward function. Then, given any extrinsic reward, the agent computes the policy via a planning algorithm with offline data collected in the exploration phase. Moreover, we tackle this problem under the context of function approximation, leveraging powerful function approximators. Specifically, we propose to explore via an optimistic variant of the value-iteration algorithm incorporating kernel and neural function approximations, where we adopt the associated exploration bonus as the exploration reward. Moreover, we design exploration and planning algorithms for both single-agent MDPs and zero-sum Markov games and prove that our methods can achieve $\widetilde{\mathcal{O}}(1 /\varepsilon^2)$ sample complexity for generating a $\varepsilon$-suboptimal policy or $\varepsilon$-approximate Nash equilibrium when given an arbitrary extrinsic reward. To the best of our knowledge, we establish the first provably efficient reward-free RL algorithm with kernel and neural function approximators.

preprint2022arXiv

Provably Efficient Fictitious Play Policy Optimization for Zero-Sum Markov Games with Structured Transitions

While single-agent policy optimization in a fixed environment has attracted a lot of research attention recently in the reinforcement learning community, much less is known theoretically when there are multiple agents playing in a potentially competitive environment. We take steps forward by proposing and analyzing new fictitious play policy optimization algorithms for zero-sum Markov games with structured but unknown transitions. We consider two classes of transition structures: factored independent transition and single-controller transition. For both scenarios, we prove tight $\widetilde{\mathcal{O}}(\sqrt{K})$ regret bounds after $K$ episodes in a two-agent competitive game scenario. The regret of each agent is measured against a potentially adversarial opponent who can choose a single best policy in hindsight after observing the full policy sequence. Our algorithms feature a combination of Upper Confidence Bound (UCB)-type optimism and fictitious play under the scope of simultaneous policy optimization in a non-stationary environment. When both players adopt the proposed algorithms, their overall optimality gap is $\widetilde{\mathcal{O}}(\sqrt{K})$.

preprint2022arXiv

Rethinking Graph Convolutional Networks in Knowledge Graph Completion

Graph convolutional networks (GCNs) -- which are effective in modeling graph structures -- have been increasingly popular in knowledge graph completion (KGC). GCN-based KGC models first use GCNs to generate expressive entity representations and then use knowledge graph embedding (KGE) models to capture the interactions among entities and relations. However, many GCN-based KGC models fail to outperform state-of-the-art KGE models though introducing additional computational complexity. This phenomenon motivates us to explore the real effect of GCNs in KGC. Therefore, in this paper, we build upon representative GCN-based KGC models and introduce variants to find which factor of GCNs is critical in KGC. Surprisingly, we observe from experiments that the graph structure modeling in GCNs does not have a significant impact on the performance of KGC models, which is in contrast to the common belief. Instead, the transformations for entity representations are responsible for the performance improvements. Based on the observation, we propose a simple yet effective framework named LTE-KGE, which equips existing KGE models with linearly transformed entity embeddings. Experiments demonstrate that LTE-KGE models lead to similar performance improvements with GCN-based KGC methods, while being more computationally efficient. These results suggest that existing GCNs are unnecessary for KGC, and novel GCN-based KGC models should count on more ablation studies to validate their effectiveness. The code of all the experiments is available on GitHub at https://github.com/MIRALab-USTC/GCN4KGC.

preprint2020arXiv

A Review on Generative Adversarial Networks: Algorithms, Theory, and Applications

Generative adversarial networks (GANs) are a hot research topic recently. GANs have been widely studied since 2014, and a large number of algorithms have been proposed. However, there is few comprehensive study explaining the connections among different GANs variants, and how they have evolved. In this paper, we attempt to provide a review on various GANs methods from the perspectives of algorithms, theory, and applications. Firstly, the motivations, mathematical representations, and structure of most GANs algorithms are introduced in details. Furthermore, GANs have been combined with other machine learning algorithms for specific applications, such as semi-supervised learning, transfer learning, and reinforcement learning. This paper compares the commonalities and differences of these GANs methods. Secondly, theoretical issues related to GANs are investigated. Thirdly, typical applications of GANs in image processing and computer vision, natural language processing, music, speech and audio, medical field, and data science are illustrated. Finally, the future open research problems for GANs are pointed out.

preprint2020arXiv

A Transductive Multi-Head Model for Cross-Domain Few-Shot Learning

In this paper, we present a new method, Transductive Multi-Head Few-Shot learning (TMHFS), to address the Cross-Domain Few-Shot Learning (CD-FSL) challenge. The TMHFS method extends the Meta-Confidence Transduction (MCT) and Dense Feature-Matching Networks (DFMN) method [2] by introducing a new prediction head, i.e, an instance-wise global classification network based on semantic information, after the common feature embedding network. We train the embedding network with the multiple heads, i.e,, the MCT loss, the DFMN loss and the semantic classifier loss, simultaneously in the source domain. For the few-shot learning in the target domain, we first perform fine-tuning on the embedding network with only the semantic global classifier and the support instances, and then use the MCT part to predict labels of the query set with the fine-tuned embedding network. Moreover, we further exploit data augmentation techniques during the fine-tuning and test stages to improve the prediction performance. The experimental results demonstrate that the proposed methods greatly outperform the strong baseline, fine-tuning, on four different target domains.

preprint2020arXiv

Adaptive Object Detection with Dual Multi-Label Prediction

In this paper, we propose a novel end-to-end unsupervised deep domain adaptation model for adaptive object detection by exploiting multi-label object recognition as a dual auxiliary task. The model exploits multi-label prediction to reveal the object category information in each image and then uses the prediction results to perform conditional adversarial global feature alignment, such that the multi-modal structure of image features can be tackled to bridge the domain divergence at the global feature level while preserving the discriminability of the features. Moreover, we introduce a prediction consistency regularization mechanism to assist object detection, which uses the multi-label prediction results as an auxiliary regularization information to ensure consistent object category discoveries between the object recognition task and the object detection task. Experiments are conducted on a few benchmark datasets and the results show the proposed model outperforms the state-of-the-art comparison methods.

preprint2020arXiv

Augmented Parallel-Pyramid Net for Attention Guided Pose-Estimation

The target of human pose estimation is to determine body part or joint locations of each person from an image. This is a challenging problems with wide applications. To address this issue, this paper proposes an augmented parallel-pyramid net with attention partial module and differentiable auto-data augmentation. Technically, a parallel pyramid structure is proposed to compensate the loss of information. We take the design of parallel structure for reverse compensation. Meanwhile, the overall computational complexity does not increase. We further define an Attention Partial Module (APM) operator to extract weighted features from different scale feature maps generated by the parallel pyramid structure. Compared with refining through upsampling operator, APM can better capture the relationship between channels. At last, we proposed a differentiable auto data augmentation method to further improve estimation accuracy. We define a new pose search space where the sequences of data augmentations are formulated as a trainable and operational CNN component. Experiments corroborate the effectiveness of our proposed method. Notably, our method achieves the top-1 accuracy on the challenging COCO keypoint benchmark and the state-of-the-art results on the MPII datasets.

preprint2020arXiv

Constructing Geographic and Long-term Temporal Graph for Traffic Forecasting

Traffic forecasting influences various intelligent transportation system (ITS) services and is of great significance for user experience as well as urban traffic control. It is challenging due to the fact that the road network contains complex and time-varying spatial-temporal dependencies. Recently, deep learning based methods have achieved promising results by adopting graph convolutional network (GCN) to extract the spatial correlations and recurrent neural network (RNN) to capture the temporal dependencies. However, the existing methods often construct the graph only based on road network connectivity, which limits the interaction between roads. In this work, we propose Geographic and Long term Temporal Graph Convolutional Recurrent Neural Network (GLT-GCRNN), a novel framework for traffic forecasting that learns the rich interactions between roads sharing similar geographic or longterm temporal patterns. Extensive experiments on a real-world traffic state dataset validate the effectiveness of our method by showing that GLT-GCRNN outperforms the state-of-the-art methods in terms of different metrics.

preprint2020arXiv

Ensemble Model with Batch Spectral Regularization and Data Blending for Cross-Domain Few-Shot Learning with Unlabeled Data

In this paper, we present our proposed ensemble model with batch spectral regularization and data blending mechanisms for the Track 2 problem of the cross-domain few-shot learning (CD-FSL) challenge. We build a multi-branch ensemble framework by using diverse feature transformation matrices, while deploying batch spectral feature regularization on each branch to improve the model's transferability. Moreover, we propose a data blending method to exploit the unlabeled data and augment the sparse support set in the target domain. Our proposed model demonstrates effective performance on the CD-FSL benchmark tasks.

preprint2020arXiv

Feature Transformation Ensemble Model with Batch Spectral Regularization for Cross-Domain Few-Shot Classification

In this paper, we propose a feature transformation ensemble model with batch spectral regularization for the Cross-domain few-shot learning (CD-FSL) challenge. Specifically, we proposes to construct an ensemble prediction model by performing diverse feature transformations after a feature extraction network. On each branch prediction network of the model we use a batch spectral regularization term to suppress the singular values of the feature matrix during pre-training to improve the generalization ability of the model. The proposed model can then be fine tuned in the target domain to address few-shot classification. We also further apply label propagation, entropy minimization and data augmentation to mitigate the shortage of labeled data in target domains. Experiments are conducted on a number of CD-FSL benchmark tasks with four target domains and the results demonstrate the superiority of our proposed model.

preprint2020arXiv

FMA-ETA: Estimating Travel Time Entirely Based on FFN With Attention

Estimated time of arrival (ETA) is one of the most important services in intelligent transportation systems and becomes a challenging spatial-temporal (ST) data mining task in recent years. Nowadays, deep learning based methods, specifically recurrent neural networks (RNN) based ones are adapted to model the ST patterns from massive data for ETA and become the state-of-the-art. However, RNN is suffering from slow training and inference speed, as its structure is unfriendly to parallel computing. To solve this problem, we propose a novel, brief and effective framework mainly based on feed-forward network (FFN) for ETA, FFN with Multi-factor self-Attention (FMA-ETA). The novel Multi-factor self-attention mechanism is proposed to deal with different category features and aggregate the information purposefully. Extensive experimental results on the real-world vehicle travel dataset show FMA-ETA is competitive with state-of-the-art methods in terms of the prediction accuracy with significantly better inference speed.

preprint2020arXiv

Fusion Recurrent Neural Network

Considering deep sequence learning for practical application, two representative RNNs - LSTM and GRU may come to mind first. Nevertheless, is there no chance for other RNNs? Will there be a better RNN in the future? In this work, we propose a novel, succinct and promising RNN - Fusion Recurrent Neural Network (Fusion RNN). Fusion RNN is composed of Fusion module and Transport module every time step. Fusion module realizes the multi-round fusion of the input and hidden state vector. Transport module which mainly refers to simple recurrent network calculate the hidden state and prepare to pass it to the next time step. Furthermore, in order to evaluate Fusion RNN's sequence feature extraction capability, we choose a representative data mining task for sequence data, estimated time of arrival (ETA) and present a novel model based on Fusion RNN. We contrast our method and other variants of RNN for ETA under massive vehicle travel data from DiDi Chuxing. The results demonstrate that for ETA, Fusion RNN is comparable to state-of-the-art LSTM and GRU which are more complicated than Fusion RNN.

preprint2020arXiv

Hierarchical Adaptive Contextual Bandits for Resource Constraint based Recommendation

Contextual multi-armed bandit (MAB) achieves cutting-edge performance on a variety of problems. When it comes to real-world scenarios such as recommendation system and online advertising, however, it is essential to consider the resource consumption of exploration. In practice, there is typically non-zero cost associated with executing a recommendation (arm) in the environment, and hence, the policy should be learned with a fixed exploration cost constraint. It is challenging to learn a global optimal policy directly, since it is a NP-hard problem and significantly complicates the exploration and exploitation trade-off of bandit algorithms. Existing approaches focus on solving the problems by adopting the greedy policy which estimates the expected rewards and costs and uses a greedy selection based on each arm's expected reward/cost ratio using historical observation until the exploration resource is exhausted. However, existing methods are hard to extend to infinite time horizon, since the learning process will be terminated when there is no more resource. In this paper, we propose a hierarchical adaptive contextual bandit method (HATCH) to conduct the policy learning of contextual bandits with a budget constraint. HATCH adopts an adaptive method to allocate the exploration resource based on the remaining resource/time and the estimation of reward distribution among different user contexts. In addition, we utilize full of contextual feature information to find the best personalized recommendation. Finally, in order to prove the theoretical guarantee, we present a regret bound analysis and prove that HATCH achieves a regret bound as low as $O(\sqrt{T})$. The experimental results demonstrate the effectiveness and efficiency of the proposed method on both synthetic data sets and the real-world applications.

preprint2020arXiv

Joint predictions of multi-modal ride-hailing demands: a deep multi-task multigraph learning-based approach

Ride-hailing platforms generally provide various service options to customers, such as solo ride services, shared ride services, etc. It is generally expected that demands for different service modes are correlated, and the prediction of demand for one service mode can benefit from historical observations of demands for other service modes. Moreover, an accurate joint prediction of demands for multiple service modes can help the platforms better allocate and dispatch vehicle resources. Although there is a large stream of literature on ride-hailing demand predictions for one specific service mode, little efforts have been paid towards joint predictions of ride-hailing demands for multiple service modes. To address this issue, we propose a deep multi-task multi-graph learning approach, which combines two components: (1) multiple multi-graph convolutional (MGC) networks for predicting demands for different service modes, and (2) multi-task learning modules that enable knowledge sharing across multiple MGC networks. More specifically, two multi-task learning structures are established. The first one is the regularized cross-task learning, which builds cross-task connections among the inputs and outputs of multiple MGC networks. The second one is the multi-linear relationship learning, which imposes a prior tensor normal distribution on the weights of various MGC networks. Although there are no concrete bridges between different MGC networks, the weights of these networks are constrained by each other and subject to a common prior distribution. Evaluated with the for-hire-vehicle datasets in Manhattan, we show that our propose approach outperforms the benchmark algorithms in prediction accuracy for different ride-hailing modes.

preprint2020arXiv

Mutual Learning Network for Multi-Source Domain Adaptation

Early Unsupervised Domain Adaptation (UDA) methods have mostly assumed the setting of a single source domain, where all the labeled source data come from the same distribution. However, in practice the labeled data can come from multiple source domains with different distributions. In such scenarios, the single source domain adaptation methods can fail due to the existence of domain shifts across different source domains and multi-source domain adaptation methods need to be designed. In this paper, we propose a novel multi-source domain adaptation method, Mutual Learning Network for Multiple Source Domain Adaptation (ML-MSDA). Under the framework of mutual learning, the proposed method pairs the target domain with each single source domain to train a conditional adversarial domain adaptation network as a branch network, while taking the pair of the combined multi-source domain and target domain to train a conditional adversarial adaptive network as the guidance network. The multiple branch networks are aligned with the guidance network to achieve mutual learning by enforcing JS-divergence regularization over their prediction probability distributions on the corresponding target data. We conduct extensive experiments on multiple multi-source domain adaptation benchmark datasets. The results show the proposed ML-MSDA method outperforms the comparison methods and achieves the state-of-the-art performance.

preprint2020arXiv

Optimal Passenger-Seeking Policies on E-hailing Platforms Using Markov Decision Process and Imitation Learning

Vacant taxi drivers' passenger seeking process in a road network generates additional vehicle miles traveled, adding congestion and pollution into the road network and the environment. This paper aims to employ a Markov Decision Process (MDP) to model idle e-hailing drivers' optimal sequential decisions in passenger-seeking. Transportation network companies (TNC) or e-hailing (e.g., Didi, Uber) drivers exhibit different behaviors from traditional taxi drivers because e-hailing drivers do not need to actually search for passengers. Instead, they reposition themselves so that the matching platform can match a passenger. Accordingly, we incorporate e-hailing drivers' new features into our MDP model. The reward function used in the MDP model is uncovered by leveraging an inverse reinforcement learning technique. We then use 44,160 Didi drivers' 3-day trajectories to train the model. To validate the effectiveness of the model, a Monte Carlo simulation is conducted to simulate the performance of drivers under the guidance of the optimal policy, which is then compared with the performance of drivers following one baseline heuristic, namely, the local hotspot strategy. The results show that our model is able to achieve a 17.5% improvement over the local hotspot strategy in terms of the rate of return. The proposed MDP model captures the supply-demand ratio considering the fact that the number of drivers in this study is sufficiently large and thus the number of unmatched orders is assumed to be negligible. To better incorporate the competition among multiple drivers into the model, we have also devised and calibrated a dynamic adjustment strategy of the order matching probability.

preprint2020arXiv

Predicting Individual Treatment Effects of Large-scale Team Competitions in a Ride-sharing Economy

Millions of drivers worldwide have enjoyed financial benefits and work schedule flexibility through a ride-sharing economy, but meanwhile they have suffered from the lack of a sense of identity and career achievement. Equipped with social identity and contest theories, financially incentivized team competitions have been an effective instrument to increase drivers' productivity, job satisfaction, and retention, and to improve revenue over cost for ride-sharing platforms. While these competitions are overall effective, the decisive factors behind the treatment effects and how they affect the outcomes of individual drivers have been largely mysterious. In this study, we analyze data collected from more than 500 large-scale team competitions organized by a leading ride-sharing platform, building machine learning models to predict individual treatment effects. Through a careful investigation of features and predictors, we are able to reduce out-sample prediction error by more than 24%. Through interpreting the best-performing models, we discover many novel and actionable insights regarding how to optimize the design and the execution of team competitions on ride-sharing platforms. A simulated analysis demonstrates that by simply changing a few contest design options, the average treatment effect of a real competition is expected to increase by as much as 26%. Our procedure and findings shed light on how to analyze and optimize large-scale online field experiments in general.

preprint2020arXiv

PropagationNet: Propagate Points to Curve to Learn Structure Information

Deep learning technique has dramatically boosted the performance of face alignment algorithms. However, due to large variability and lack of samples, the alignment problem in unconstrained situations, \emph{e.g}\onedot large head poses, exaggerated expression, and uneven illumination, is still largely unsolved. In this paper, we explore the instincts and reasons behind our two proposals, \emph{i.e}\onedot Propagation Module and Focal Wing Loss, to tackle the problem. Concretely, we present a novel structure-infused face alignment algorithm based on heatmap regression via propagating landmark heatmaps to boundary heatmaps, which provide structure information for further attention map generation. Moreover, we propose a Focal Wing Loss for mining and emphasizing the difficult samples under in-the-wild condition. In addition, we adopt methods like CoordConv and Anti-aliased CNN from other fields that address the shift-variance problem of CNN for face alignment. When implementing extensive experiments on different benchmarks, \emph{i.e}\onedot WFLW, 300W, and COFW, our method outperforms state-of-the-arts by a significant margin. Our proposed approach achieves 4.05\% mean error on WFLW, 2.93\% mean error on 300W full-set, and 3.71\% mean error on COFW.

preprint2020arXiv

Road Network Metric Learning for Estimated Time of Arrival

Recently, deep learning have achieved promising results in Estimated Time of Arrival (ETA), which is considered as predicting the travel time from the origin to the destination along a given path. One of the key techniques is to use embedding vectors to represent the elements of road network, such as the links (road segments). However, the embedding suffers from the data sparsity problem that many links in the road network are traversed by too few floating cars even in large ride-hailing platforms like Uber and DiDi. Insufficient data makes the embedding vectors in an under-fitting status, which undermines the accuracy of ETA prediction. To address the data sparsity problem, we propose the Road Network Metric Learning framework for ETA (RNML-ETA). It consists of two components: (1) a main regression task to predict the travel time, and (2) an auxiliary metric learning task to improve the quality of link embedding vectors. We further propose the triangle loss, a novel loss function to improve the efficiency of metric learning. We validated the effectiveness of RNML-ETA on large scale real-world datasets, by showing that our method outperforms the state-of-the-art model and the promotion concentrates on the cold links with few data.

preprint2020arXiv

Sequential Sentence Matching Network for Multi-turn Response Selection in Retrieval-based Chatbots

Recently, open domain multi-turn chatbots have attracted much interest from lots of researchers in both academia and industry. The dominant retrieval-based methods use context-response matching mechanisms for multi-turn response selection. Specifically, the state-of-the-art methods perform the context-response matching by word or segment similarity. However, these models lack a full exploitation of the sentence-level semantic information, and make simple mistakes that humans can easily avoid. In this work, we propose a matching network, called sequential sentence matching network (S2M), to use the sentence-level semantic information to address the problem. Firstly and most importantly, we find that by using the sentence-level semantic information, the network successfully addresses the problem and gets a significant improvement on matching, resulting in a state-of-the-art performance. Furthermore, we integrate the sentence matching we introduced here and the usual word similarity matching reported in the current literature, to match at different semantic levels. Experiments on three public data sets show that such integration further improves the model performance.

preprint2020arXiv

Single-Timescale Stochastic Nonconvex-Concave Optimization for Smooth Nonlinear TD Learning

Temporal-Difference (TD) learning with nonlinear smooth function approximation for policy evaluation has achieved great success in modern reinforcement learning. It is shown that such a problem can be reformulated as a stochastic nonconvex-strongly-concave optimization problem, which is challenging as naive stochastic gradient descent-ascent algorithm suffers from slow convergence. Existing approaches for this problem are based on two-timescale or double-loop stochastic gradient algorithms, which may also require sampling large-batch data. However, in practice, a single-timescale single-loop stochastic algorithm is preferred due to its simplicity and also because its step-size is easier to tune. In this paper, we propose two single-timescale single-loop algorithms which require only one data point each step. Our first algorithm implements momentum updates on both primal and dual variables achieving an $O(\varepsilon^{-4})$ sample complexity, which shows the important role of momentum in obtaining a single-timescale algorithm. Our second algorithm improves upon the first one by applying variance reduction on top of momentum, which matches the best known $O(\varepsilon^{-3})$ sample complexity in existing works. Furthermore, our variance-reduction algorithm does not require a large-batch checkpoint. Moreover, our theoretical results for both algorithms are expressed in a tighter form of simultaneous primal and dual side convergence.

preprint2019arXiv

Predicting origin-destination ride-sourcing demand with a spatio-temporal encoder-decoder residual multi-graph convolutional network

With the rapid development of mobile-internet technologies, on-demand ride-sourcing services have become increasingly popular and largely reshaped the way people travel. Demand prediction is one of the most fundamental components in supply-demand management systems of ride-sourcing platforms. With accurate short-term prediction for origin-destination (OD) demand, the platforms make precise and timely decisions on real-time matching, idle vehicle reallocations and ride-sharing vehicle routing, etc. Compared to zone-based demand prediction that has been examined by many previous studies, OD-based demand prediction is more challenging. This is mainly due to the complicated spatial and temporal dependencies among demand of different OD pairs. To overcome this challenge, we propose the Spatio-Temporal Encoder-Decoder Residual Multi-Graph Convolutional network (ST-ED-RMGC), a novel deep learning model for predicting ride-sourcing demand of various OD pairs. Firstly, the model constructs OD graphs, which utilize adjacent matrices to characterize the non-Euclidean pair-wise geographical and semantic correlations among different OD pairs. Secondly, based on the constructed graphs, a residual multi-graph convolutional (RMGC) network is designed to encode the contextual-aware spatial dependencies, and a long-short term memory (LSTM) network is used to encode the temporal dependencies, into a dense vector space. Finally, we reuse the RMGC networks to decode the compressed vector back to OD graphs and predict the future OD demand. Through extensive experiments on the for-hire-vehicles datasets in Manhattan, New York City, we show that our proposed deep learning framework outperforms the state-of-arts by a significant margin.