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Carsten Maple

Carsten Maple contributes to research discovery and scholarly infrastructure.

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Published work

15 published item(s)

preprint2026arXiv

Field-Localized Forgery Detection for Digital Identity Documents

Digital identity verification systems used in remote onboarding rely on document images to authenticate users, making them vulnerable to localized manipulations of key identity fields such as facial photographs and textual information. Existing forgery detection methods, developed primarily for natural-image forensics, show limited transferability to structured identity documents. We propose FLiD, a lightweight field-localized framework that targets critical identity regions rather than processing full-document images. A fine-tuned object detector first localizes face and text fields; a frozen MobileNetV3-Small backbone then extracts compact field-level embeddings, which are classified by lightweight neural network with only 191K trainable parameters. FLiD achieves AUC scores of 0.880 (face), 0.954 (text), and 0.923 (both-field attacks), with corresponding EERs of 18.05%, 11.61%, and 15.16%, representing absolute reductions of 29-35 percentage points over a full-document baseline trained from scratch. FLiD also consistently outperforms general-purpose manipulation detectors (TruFor, MMFusion, UniVAD) across all attack scenarios while requiring 13x fewer parameters and 21x fewer FLOPs

preprint2026arXiv

PRISM: Generation-Time Detection and Mitigation of Secret Leakage in Multi-Agent LLM Pipelines

Multi-agent LLM systems introduce a security risk in which sensitive information accessed by one agent can propagate through shared context and reappear in downstream outputs, even without explicit adversarial intent. We formalise this phenomenon as propagation amplification, where leakage risk increases across agent boundaries as sensitive content is repeatedly exposed to downstream generators. Existing defences, including prompt-based safeguards, static pattern matching, and LLM-as-judge filtering, are not designed for this setting: they either operate after generation, rely primarily on surface-form patterns, or add substantial latency without modelling the generation process itself. To resolve these issues, we propose PRISM, a real-time defence that treats credential leakage as a sequential risk accumulation problem during generation. At each decoding step, PRISM combines 16 signals spanning lexical, structural, information-theoretic, behavioural, and contextual features into a calibrated risk score, enabling per-token intervention through green, yellow, and red risk zones. Our central observation is that credential reproduction is often preceded by a measurable shift in generation dynamics, characterised by entropy collapse and increasing logit concentration. When combined with text-structural cues such as identifier-pattern detection, these temporal signals provide an early warning of leakage before a secret is fully reconstructed. Across a 2,000-task adversarial benchmark covering 13 attack categories and three pressure levels in a heterogeneous four-agent pipeline, PRISM achieves F1 = 0.832 with precision = 1.000 and recall = 0.712, while producing no observed leakage on our benchmark (0.0% task-level leak rate) and preserving output utility of 0.893. It substantially outperforms the strongest baseline, Span Tagger, which achieves F1 = 0.719 with a 15.0% task-level leak rate.

preprint2026arXiv

Single-Configuration Attack Success Rate Is Not Enough: Jailbreak Evaluations Should Report Distributional Attack Success

Many jailbreak attack research papers report attack success rates for a limited number of parameter settings, even though there are many combinations of parameter settings that could be used. Further, when new jailbreak papers are released, they often benchmark results against single configurations of existing attacks. This position paper argues such practices are fundamentally insufficient for characterising the threat posed by parameterised jailbreak attacks, and comparing attacks. Most jailbreak attacks expose multiple internal parameters, system prompt templates, conversation rounds, cipher dispersion, teaching shots, and ASR varies substantially across these parameters. Reporting only the best-case configuration discards two pieces of information that defenders genuinely need: how typical that performance is across the variant space, and how much of the attack surface is missed by selecting a single variant. We propose two new measures for jailbreak attacks: the Variant Sensitivity Measure (VSM) and Union Coverage (UC). VSM quantifies how far the best reported ASR deviates from the mean ASR across the tested variant space, UC is the total fraction of prompts resulting in unsafe responses across all tested configurations. We empirically demonstrate the importance of these measures using two attack families across three open-source target models. For PAIR, the best template reaches 69% ASR on Mistral-7B and 75% on Qwen3-0.6B, while UC rises to 88% and 93%, respectively. For bijection on Mistral-7B, the best variant reaches 81% ASR, but the 36-variant union covers 100% of HarmBench-100 prompts. We argue that distributional reporting, publishing VSM alongside ASR and enumerating variant coverage as fully as compute allows, should become the new minimum standard for parameterised jailbreak evaluation.

preprint2022arXiv

A point process model for rare event detection

Detecting rare events, those defined to give rise to high impact but have a low probability of occurring, is a challenge in a number of domains including meteorological, environmental, financial and economic. The use of machine learning to detect such events is becoming increasingly popular, since they offer an effective and scalable solution when compared to traditional signature-based detection methods. In this work, we begin by undertaking exploratory data analysis, and present techniques that can be used in a framework for employing machine learning methods for rare event detection. Strategies to deal with the imbalance of classes including the selection of performance metrics are also discussed. Despite their popularity, we believe the performance of conventional machine learning classifiers could be further improved, since they are agnostic to the natural order over time in which the events occur. Stochastic processes on the other hand, model sequences of events by exploiting their temporal structure such as clustering and dependence between the different types of events. We develop a model for classification based on Hawkes processes and apply it to a dataset of e-commerce transactions, resulting in not only better predictive performance but also deriving inferences regarding the temporal dynamics of the data.

preprint2022arXiv

Aggregation and Transformation of Vector-Valued Messages in the Shuffle Model of Differential Privacy

Advances in communications, storage and computational technology allow significant quantities of data to be collected and processed by distributed devices. Combining the information from these endpoints can realize significant societal benefit but presents challenges in protecting the privacy of individuals, especially important in an increasingly regulated world. Differential privacy (DP) is a technique that provides a rigorous and provable privacy guarantee for aggregation and release. The Shuffle Model for DP has been introduced to overcome challenges regarding the accuracy of local-DP algorithms and the privacy risks of central-DP. In this work we introduce a new protocol for vector aggregation in the context of the Shuffle Model. The aim of this paper is twofold; first, we provide a single message protocol for the summation of real vectors in the Shuffle Model, using advanced composition results. Secondly, we provide an improvement on the bound on the error achieved through using this protocol through the implementation of a Discrete Fourier Transform, thereby minimizing the initial error at the expense of the loss in accuracy through the transformation itself. This work will further the exploration of more sophisticated structures such as matrices and higher-dimensional tensors in this context, both of which are reliant on the functionality of the vector case.

preprint2022arXiv

Applying the Shuffle Model of Differential Privacy to Vector Aggregation

In this work we introduce a new protocol for vector aggregation in the context of the Shuffle Model, a recent model within Differential Privacy (DP). It sits between the Centralized Model, which prioritizes the level of accuracy over the secrecy of the data, and the Local Model, for which an improvement in trust is counteracted by a much higher noise requirement. The Shuffle Model was developed to provide a good balance between these two models through the addition of a shuffling step, which unbinds the users from their data whilst maintaining a moderate noise requirement. We provide a single message protocol for the summation of real vectors in the Shuffle Model, using advanced composition results. Our contribution provides a mechanism to enable private aggregation and analysis across more sophisticated structures such as matrices and higher-dimensional tensors, both of which are reliant on the functionality of the vector case.

preprint2022arXiv

Data-Driven Detection and Identification of IoT-Enabled Load-Altering Attacks in Power Grids

Advances in edge computing are powering the development and deployment of Internet of Things (IoT) systems to provide advanced services and resource efficiency. However, large-scale IoT-based load-altering attacks (LAAs) can seriously impact power grid operations, such as destabilising the grid's control loops. Timely detection and identification of any compromised nodes are essential to minimise the adverse effects of these attacks on power grid operations. In this work, two data-driven algorithms are proposed to detect and identify compromised nodes and the attack parameters of the LAAs. The first method, based on the Sparse Identification of Nonlinear Dynamics (SINDy) approach, adopts a sparse regression framework to identify attack parameters that best describe the observed dynamics. The second method, based on physics-informed neural networks (PINN), employs neural networks to infer the attack parameters from the measurements. Both algorithms are presented utilising edge computing for deployment over decentralised architectures. Extensive simulations are performed on IEEE 6-,14- and 39-bus systems to verify the effectiveness of the proposed methods. Numerical results confirm that the proposed algorithms outperform existing approaches, such as those based on unscented Kalman filter, support vector machines (SVM), and neural networks (NN), and effectively detect and identify locations of attack in a timely manner.

preprint2022arXiv

FedProf: Selective Federated Learning with Representation Profiling

Federated Learning (FL) has shown great potential as a privacy-preserving solution to learning from decentralized data that are only accessible to end devices (i.e., clients). In many scenarios, however, a large proportion of the clients are probably in possession of low-quality data that are biased, noisy or even irrelevant. As a result, they could significantly slow down the convergence of the global model we aim to build and also compromise its quality. In light of this, we propose FedProf, a novel algorithm for optimizing FL under such circumstances without breaching data privacy. The key of our approach is a distributional representation profiling and matching scheme that uses the global model to dynamically profile data representations and allows for low-cost, lightweight representation matching. Based on the scheme we adaptively score each client and adjust its participation probability so as to mitigate the impact of low-value clients on the training process. We have conducted extensive experiments on public datasets using various FL settings. The results show that the selective behaviour of our algorithm leads to a significant reduction in the number of communication rounds and the amount of time (up to 2.4x speedup) for the global model to converge and also provides accuracy gain.

preprint2022arXiv

Improving the Cybersecurity of Critical National Infrastructure using Modelling and Simulation

The UK Critical National Infrastructure is critically dependent on digital technologies that provide communications, monitoring, control, and decision-support functionalities. Digital technologies are progressively enhancing efficiency, reliability, and availability of infrastructure, and enabling new benefits not previously available. These benefits can introduce vulnerabilities through the connectivity enabled by the digital systems, thus, making it easier for would-be attackers, who frequently use socio-technical approaches, exploiting humans-in-the-loop to break in and sabotage an organization. Therefore, policies and strategies that minimize and manage risks must include an understanding of operator and corporate behaviors, as well as technical elements and the interfaces between them and humans. Better security via socio-technical security Modelling and Simulation can be achieved if backed by government effort, including appropriate policy interventions. Government, through its departments and agencies, can contribute by sign-posting and shaping the decision-making environment concerning cybersecurity M&S approaches and tools, showing how they can contribute to enhancing security in Modern Critical Infrastructure Systems.

preprint2022arXiv

Localizing Load-Altering Attacks Against Power Grids Using Deep Capsule Nets

Recent research has shown that the security of power grids can be seriously threatened by botnet-type cyber attacks that target a large number of high-wattage smart electrical appliances owned by end-users. Accurate detection and localization of such attacks is of critical importance in limiting the damage. To this end, the paper proposes a novel technique using capsule networks (CNs) tailored to the power grid security application that uses the frequency and phase angle data monitored by phasor measurement units (PMUs). With the benefit of vector output from capsules and dynamic routing agreements between them, CNs can obtain accurate detection and localization performance. To demonstrate the efficiency of the suggested technique, we compare the developed CN with benchmark data-driven methodologies, including two-dimensional convolutional neural networks (2D-CNN), one-dimensional CNN (1D-CNN), deep multi-layer perceptrons (MLP), and support vector machines (SVM). Simulations are performed on IEEE 14-, 39-, and 57-bus systems, considering various real-world issues such as PMU delays, noisy data, and missing data points. The results show that CNs significantly outperform other techniques, thus making them suitable for the aforementioned cyber security applications.

preprint2022arXiv

Securing the Electric Vehicle Charging Infrastructure

Electric Vehicles (EVs) can help alleviate our reliance on fossil fuels for transport and electricity systems. However, charging millions of EV batteries requires management to prevent overloading the electricity grid and minimise costly upgrades that are ultimately paid for by consumers. Managed chargers, such as Vehicle-to-Grid (V2G) chargers, allow control over the time, speed and direction of charging. Such control assists in balancing electricity supply and demand across a green electricity system and could reduce costs for consumers. Smart and V2G chargers connect EVs to the power grid using a charging device which includes a data connection to exchange information and control commands between various entities in the EV ecosystem. This introduces data privacy concerns and is a potential target for cyber-security attacks. Therefore, the implementation of a secure system is crucial to permit both consumers and electricity system operators to trust smart charging and V2G. In principle, we already have the technology needed for a connected EV charging infrastructure to be securely enabled, borrowing best practices from the Internet and industrial control systems. We must properly adapt the security technology to take into account the challenges peculiar to the EV charging infrastructure. Challenges go beyond technical considerations and other issues arise such as balancing trade-offs between security and other desirable qualities such as interoperability, scalability, crypto-agility, affordability and energy efficiency. This document reviews security and privacy topics relevant to the EV charging ecosystem with a focus on smart charging and V2G.

preprint2022arXiv

Synthetic Data -- what, why and how?

This explainer document aims to provide an overview of the current state of the rapidly expanding work on synthetic data technologies, with a particular focus on privacy. The article is intended for a non-technical audience, though some formal definitions have been given to provide clarity to specialists. This article is intended to enable the reader to quickly become familiar with the notion of synthetic data, as well as understand some of the subtle intricacies that come with it. We do believe that synthetic data is a very useful tool, and our hope is that this report highlights that, while drawing attention to nuances that can easily be overlooked in its deployment.

preprint2021arXiv

Design of a dynamic and self adapting system, supported with artificial intelligence, machine learning and real time intelligence for predictive cyber risk analytics in extreme environments, cyber risk in the colonisation of Mars

Multiple governmental agencies and private organisations have made commitments for the colonisation of Mars. Such colonisation requires complex systems and infrastructure that could be very costly to repair or replace in cases of cyber attacks. This paper surveys deep learning algorithms, IoT cyber security and risk models, and established mathematical formulas to identify the best approach for developing a dynamic and self adapting system for predictive cyber risk analytics supported with Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning and real time intelligence in edge computing. The paper presents a new mathematical approach for integrating concepts for cognition engine design, edge computing and Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning to automate anomaly detection. This engine instigates a step change by applying Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning embedded at the edge of IoT networks, to deliver safe and functional real time intelligence for predictive cyber risk analytics. This will enhance capacities for risk analytics and assists in the creation of a comprehensive and systematic understanding of the opportunities and threats that arise when edge computing nodes are deployed, and when Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning technologies are migrated to the periphery of the internet and into local IoT networks.

preprint2020arXiv

CyRes -- Avoiding Catastrophic Failure in Connected and Autonomous Vehicles (Extended Abstract)

Existing approaches to cyber security and regulation in the automotive sector cannot achieve the quality of outcome necessary to ensure the safe mass deployment of advanced vehicle technologies and smart mobility systems. Without sustainable resilience hard-fought public trust will evaporate, derailing emerging global initiatives to improve the efficiency, safety and environmental impact of future transport. This paper introduces an operational cyber resilience methodology, CyRes, that is suitable for standardisation. The CyRes methodology itself is capable of being tested in court or by publicly appointed regulators. It is designed so that operators understand what evidence should be produced by it and are able to measure the quality of that evidence. The evidence produced is capable of being tested in court or by publicly appointed regulators. Thus, the real-world system to which the CyRes methodology has been applied is capable of operating at all times and in all places with a legally and socially acceptable value of negative consequence.

preprint2020arXiv

Future developments in standardisation of cyber risk in the Internet of Things (IoT)

In this research article, we explore the use of a design process for adapting existing cyber risk assessment standards to allow the calculation of economic impact from IoT cyber risk. The paper presents a new model that includes a design process with new risk assessment vectors, specific for IoT cyber risk. To design new risk assessment vectors for IoT, the study applied a range of methodologies, including literature review, empirical study and comparative study, followed by theoretical analysis and grounded theory. An epistemological framework emerges from applying the constructivist grounded theory methodology to draw on knowledge from existing cyber risk frameworks, models and methodologies. This framework presents the current gaps in cyber risk standards and policies, and defines the design principles of future cyber risk impact assessment. The core contribution of the article therefore, being the presentation of a new model for impact assessment of IoT cyber risk.