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Robust Estimation for Random Graphs

We study the problem of robustly estimating the parameter $p$ of an Erdős-Rényi random graph on $n$ nodes, where a $γ$ fraction of nodes may be adversarially corrupted. After showing the deficiencies of canonical estimators, we design a computationally-efficient spectral algorithm which estimates $p$ up to accuracy $\tilde O(\sqrt{p(1-p)}/n + γ\sqrt{p(1-p)} /\sqrt{n}+ γ/n)$ for $γ< 1/60$. Furthermore, we give an inefficient algorithm with similar accuracy for all $γ<1/2$, the information-theoretic limit. Finally, we prove a nearly-matching statistical lower bound, showing that the error of our algorithms is optimal up to logarithmic factors.