Researcher profile

Mike Pritchard

Mike Pritchard contributes to research discovery and scholarly infrastructure.

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Published work

4 published item(s)

preprint2026arXiv

ShardTensor: Domain Parallelism for Scientific Machine Learning

Scientific Machine Learning (SciML) faces unique challenges for extreme-resolution data, with mitigations that often fail to scale or degrade the accuracy of trained models. While some specialized methods have achieved remarkable results in training models or performing inference on massive spatial datasets with bespoke techniques, there is no generalized framework for parallelization over input data below batch size one per device. In this work we introduce ShardTensor: a novel paradigm of domain parallelism that enables flexible scaling of input data to arbitrary sizes. By decoupling the spatial dimensionality of input data from hardware constraints, ShardTensor enables scientific machine learning workloads to reach new levels of high fidelity training and inference. We demonstrate both strong and weak scaling of workloads during training and inference, showing improved latency with strong scaling and demonstrating the capacity to process higher data sizes with weak scaling. Additionally, we demonstrate multiple dimensions of parallelization, removing barriers to SciML on extreme-scale inputs.

preprint2026arXiv

Towards accurate extreme event likelihoods from diffusion model climate emulators

ML climate model emulators are useful for scenario planning and adaptation, allowing for cost-efficient experimentation. Recently, the diffusion model Climate in a Bottle (cBottle) has been proposed for generation of atmospheric states compatible with boundary conditions of solar position and sea surface temperatures. Crucially, cBottle can be guided to generate extreme events such as Tropical Cyclones (TCs) over locations of interest. Diffusion models such as cBottle work by approximating the probability density of the training data. Here, we show use cases of the probability density estimates of atmospheric states obtained from this climate emulator. Most importantly, these estimates allow us to calculate likelihoods of extreme events under guidance. When guiding the model towards states including TCs, comparing the probability density under the guided and unguided model enables us to quantify how much more likely the guidance has made the TC. We show how these odds ratios allow us to importance-sample from the TC distribution, reducing the standard error of the probability estimate compared to simple Monte Carlo sampling. Furthermore, we discuss results and limitations of the application of model probability densities to extreme event attribution-like experiments. We present these early but encouraging results hoping they will spur more research into probabilistic information that can be gained from diffusion models of the atmosphere.

preprint2023arXiv

Using Neural Networks to Learn the Jet Stream Forced Response from Natural Variability

Two distinct features of anthropogenic climate change, warming in the tropical upper troposphere and warming at the Arctic surface, have competing effects on the mid-latitude jet stream's latitudinal position, often referred to as a "tug-of-war". Studies that investigate the jet's response to these thermal forcings show that it is sensitive to model type, season, initial atmospheric conditions, and the shape and magnitude of the forcing. Much of this past work focuses on studying a simulation's response to external manipulation. In contrast, we explore the potential to train a convolutional neural network (CNN) on internal variability alone and then use it to examine possible nonlinear responses of the jet to tropospheric thermal forcing that more closely resemble anthropogenic climate change. Our approach leverages the idea behind the fluctuation-dissipation theorem, which relates the internal variability of a system to its forced response but so far has been only used to quantify linear responses. We train a CNN on data from a long control run of the CESM dry dynamical core and show that it is able to skillfully predict the nonlinear response of the jet to sustained external forcing. The trained CNN provides a quick method for exploring the jet stream sensitivity to a wide range of tropospheric temperature tendencies and, considering that this method can likely be applied to any model with a long control run, could lend itself useful for early stage experiment design.

preprint2020arXiv

A Fortran-Keras Deep Learning Bridge for Scientific Computing

Implementing artificial neural networks is commonly achieved via high-level programming languages like Python and easy-to-use deep learning libraries like Keras. These software libraries come pre-loaded with a variety of network architectures, provide autodifferentiation, and support GPUs for fast and efficient computation. As a result, a deep learning practitioner will favor training a neural network model in Python, where these tools are readily available. However, many large-scale scientific computation projects are written in Fortran, making it difficult to integrate with modern deep learning methods. To alleviate this problem, we introduce a software library, the Fortran-Keras Bridge (FKB). This two-way bridge connects environments where deep learning resources are plentiful, with those where they are scarce. The paper describes several unique features offered by FKB, such as customizable layers, loss functions, and network ensembles. The paper concludes with a case study that applies FKB to address open questions about the robustness of an experimental approach to global climate simulation, in which subgrid physics are outsourced to deep neural network emulators. In this context, FKB enables a hyperparameter search of one hundred plus candidate models of subgrid cloud and radiation physics, initially implemented in Keras, to be transferred and used in Fortran. Such a process allows the model's emergent behavior to be assessed, i.e. when fit imperfections are coupled to explicit planetary-scale fluid dynamics. The results reveal a previously unrecognized strong relationship between offline validation error and online performance, in which the choice of optimizer proves unexpectedly critical. This reveals many neural network architectures that produce considerable improvements in stability including some with reduced error, for an especially challenging training dataset.