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Researcher profile

Jiang Bian

Jiang Bian contributes to research discovery and scholarly infrastructure.

ResearcherAffiliation not importedOpen to collaborate
Machine LearningArtificial IntelligenceComputation and LanguageComputer Visionq-fin.STComputational Engineering, Finance, and ScienceQuantitative MethodsSocial and Information Networkscs.CYeess.ASeess.IVeess.SPq-fin.GNq-fin.TRRoboticsSound

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Published work

31 published item(s)

preprint2026arXiv

CADMorph: Geometry-Driven Parametric CAD Editing via a Plan-Generate-Verify Loop

A Computer-Aided Design (CAD) model encodes an object in two coupled forms: a parametric construction sequence and its resulting visible geometric shape. During iterative design, adjustments to the geometric shape inevitably require synchronized edits to the underlying parametric sequence, called geometry-driven parametric CAD editing. The task calls for 1) preserving the original sequence's structure, 2) ensuring each edit's semantic validity, and 3) maintaining high shape fidelity to the target shape, all under scarce editing data triplets. We present CADMorph, an iterative plan-generate-verify framework that orchestrates pretrained domain-specific foundation models during inference: a parameter-to-shape (P2S) latent diffusion model and a masked-parameter-prediction (MPP) model. In the planning stage, cross-attention maps from the P2S model pinpoint the segments that need modification and offer editing masks. The MPP model then infills these masks with semantically valid edits in the generation stage. During verification, the P2S model embeds each candidate sequence in shape-latent space, measures its distance to the target shape, and selects the closest one. The three stages leverage the inherent geometric consciousness and design knowledge in pretrained priors, and thus tackle structure preservation, semantic validity, and shape fidelity respectively. Besides, both P2S and MPP models are trained without triplet data, bypassing the data-scarcity bottleneck. CADMorph surpasses GPT-4o and specialized CAD baselines, and supports downstream applications such as iterative editing and reverse-engineering enhancement.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2026arXiv

Controllable Financial Market Generation with Diffusion Guided Meta Agent

Generative modeling has transformed many fields, such as language and visual modeling, while its application in financial markets remains under-explored. As the minimal unit within a financial market is an order, order-flow modeling represents a fundamental generative financial task. However, current approaches often yield unsatisfactory fidelity in generating order flow, and their generation lacks controllability, thereby limiting their practical applications. In this paper, we formulate the challenge of controllable financial market generation, and propose a Diffusion Guided Meta Agent (DigMA) model to address it. Specifically, we employ a conditional diffusion model to capture the dynamics of the market state represented by time-evolving distribution parameters of the mid-price return rate and the order arrival rate, and we define a meta agent with financial economic priors to generate orders from the corresponding distributions. Extensive experimental results show that DigMA achieves superior controllability and generation fidelity. Moreover, we validate its effectiveness as a generative environment for downstream high-frequency trading tasks and its computational efficiency.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2026arXiv

Evaluating LLM-based Agents for Multi-Turn Conversations: A Survey

This survey examines evaluation methods for large language model (LLM)-based agents in multi-turn conversational settings. Using a PRISMA-inspired framework, we systematically reviewed nearly 250 scholarly sources, capturing the state of the art from various venues of publication, and establishing a solid foundation for our analysis. Our study offers a structured approach by developing two interrelated taxonomy systems: one that defines \emph{what to evaluate} and another that explains \emph{how to evaluate}. The first taxonomy identifies key components of LLM-based agents for multi-turn conversations and their evaluation dimensions, including task completion, response quality, user experience, memory and context retention, as well as planning and tool integration. These components ensure that the performance of conversational agents is assessed in a holistic and meaningful manner. The second taxonomy system focuses on the evaluation methodologies. It categorizes approaches into annotation-based evaluations, automated metrics, hybrid strategies that combine human assessments with quantitative measures, and self-judging methods utilizing LLMs. This framework not only captures traditional metrics derived from language understanding, such as BLEU and ROUGE scores, but also incorporates advanced techniques that reflect the dynamic, interactive nature of multi-turn dialogues.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2026arXiv

From Risk Perception to Behavior Large Language Models-Based Simulation of Pandemic Prevention Behaviors

Individual prevention behaviors are a primary line of defense during the early stages of novel infectious disease outbreaks, yet their adoption is heterogeneous and difficult to forecast-especially when empirical data are scarce and epidemic-policy contexts evolve rapidly. To address this gap, we develop an LLM-based prevention-behavior simulation framework that couples (i) a static module for behavior-intensity prediction under a specified external context and (ii) a dynamic module that updates residents' perceived risk over time and propagates these updates into behavior evolution. The model is implemented via structured prompt engineering in a first-person perspective and is evaluated against two rounds of survey data from Beijing residents (R1: December 2020; R2: August 2021) under progressively realistic data-availability settings: zero-shot, few-shot, and cross-context transfer. Using Kolmogorov-Smirnov tests to compare simulated and observed behavior distributions (p > 0.001 as the validity criterion), the framework demonstrates robust performance and improves with limited reference examples; reported predictive accuracy increases from 72.7% (zero-shot) to 81.8% (few-shot), and remains high at 77.8% under transfer to novel contexts. We further apply the framework to simulate behavior changes during China's December 2022 policy relaxation and to stress-test behavioral responses across 120 systematically varied epidemic conditions (R0, CFR, and control-measure tiers). Results indicate broad behavioral loosening under relaxation but a distinctive counter-trend increase in drain-related disinfection, highlighting how low-cost, low-friction behaviors may persist or intensify even when external constraints recede-raising a potential environmental tradeoff.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2026arXiv

GEAR: Granularity-Adaptive Advantage Reweighting for LLM Agents via Self-Distillation

Reinforcement learning has become a widely used post-training approach for LLM agents, where training commonly relies on outcome-level rewards that provide only coarse supervision. While finer-grained credit assignment is promising for effective policy updates, obtaining reliable local credit and assigning it to the right parts of the long-horizon trajectory remains an open challenge. In this paper, we propose Granularity-adaptivE Advantage Reweighting (GEAR), an adaptive-granularity credit assignment framework that reshapes the trajectory-level GRPO advantage using token- and segment-level signals derived from self-distillation. GEAR compares an on-policy student with a ground-truth-conditioned teacher to obtain a reference-guided divergence signal for identifying adaptive segment boundaries and modulating local advantage weights. This divergence often spikes at the onset of a semantic deviation, while later tokens in the same autoregressive continuation may return to low divergence. GEAR therefore treats such spikes as anchors for adaptive credit regions: where the student remains aligned with the teacher, token-level resolution is preserved; where it departs, GEAR groups the corresponding continuation into an adaptive segment and uses the divergence at the departure point to modulate the segment' s advantage. Experiments across eight mathematical reasoning and agentic tool-use benchmarks with Qwen3 4B and 8B models show that GEAR consistently outperforms standard GRPO, self-distillation-only baselines, and token- or turn-level credit-assignment methods. The gains are especially strong on benchmarks with lower GRPO baseline accuracy, reaching up to around 20\% over GRPO, suggesting that the proposed adaptive reweighting scheme is especially useful in more challenging long-horizon settings.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2026arXiv

OphMAE: Bridging Volumetric and Planar Imaging with a Foundation Model for Adaptive Ophthalmological Diagnosis

The advent of foundation models has heralded a new era in medical artificial intelligence (AI), enabling the extraction of generalizable representations from large-scale unlabeled datasets. However, current ophthalmic AI paradigms are predominantly constrained to single-modality inference, thereby creating a dissonance with clinical practice where diagnosis relies on the synthesis of complementary imaging modalities. Furthermore, the deployment of high-performance AI in resource-limited settings is frequently impeded by the unavailability of advanced three-dimensional imaging hardware. Here, we present the Ophthalmic multimodal Masked Autoencoder (OphMAE), a multi-imaging foundation model engineered to synergize the volumetric depth of 3D Optical Coherence Tomography (OCT) with the planar context of 2D en face OCT. By implementing a novel cross-modal fusion architecture and a unique adaptive inference mechanism, OphMAE was pre-trained on a massive dataset with of 183,875 paired OCT images derived from 32,765 patients. In a rigorous benchmark encompassing 17 diverse diagnostic tasks with 48,340 paired OCT images from 8,191 patients, the model demonstrated state-of-the-art performance, achieving an Area Under the Curve (AUC) of 96.9% for Age-related Macular Degeneration (AMD) and 97.2% for Diabetic Macular Edema (DME), consistently surpassing existing single-modal and multimodal foundation models. Crucially, OphMAE exhibits robust engineering adaptability: it maintains high diagnostic accuracy, such as 93.7\% AUC for AMD, even when restricted to single-modality 2D inputs, and demonstrates exceptional data efficiency by retaining 95.7% AUC with as few as 500 labeled samples. This work establishes a scalable and adaptable framework for ophthalmic AI, ensuring robust performance across different tasks.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2026arXiv

Orchestrating Spatial Semantics via a Zone-Graph Paradigm for Intricate Indoor Scene Generation

Autonomous 3D indoor scene synthesis breaks down in non-convex rooms with tightly coupled spatial constraints. Data-driven generators lack topological priors for long-horizon planning, while iterative agents fragment semantics and become geometrically brittle. We present ZoneMaestro, a unified framework that shifts the paradigm from object-centric synthesis to Zone-Graph Orchestration. By internalizing a novel zone-based logic, ZoneMaestro translates high-level semantic intent into functional zones and topological constraints, enabling robust adaptation to diverse architectural forms. To support this, we construct Zone-Scene-10K, a large-scale dataset enriched with explicit Zone-Graph annotations. We further introduce an Alternating Alignment Strategy that cycles between reasoning internalization and Zone-Aware Group Relative Policy Optimization (Z-GRPO), effectively reconciling the tension between semantic richness and geometric validity without relying on external physics engines. To rigorously evaluate spatial intelligence beyond convex primitives, we formally define the task of Intricate Spatial Orchestration and release SCALE, a stress-test benchmark for irregular indoor scenarios with complex, dense spatial relations. Extensive experiments demonstrate that ZoneMaestro resolves the density-safety dichotomy, significantly outperforming state-of-the-art baselines in both structural coherence and intent adherence.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2026arXiv

SAIL: Structure-Aware Interpretable Learning for Anatomy-Aligned Post-hoc Explanations in OCT

Optical coherence tomography (OCT), a commonly used retinal imaging modality, plays a central role in retinal disease diagnosis by providing high-resolution visualization of retinal layers. While deep learning (DL) has achieved expert-level accuracy in OCT-based retinal disease detection, its "black box" nature poses challenges for clinical adoption, where explainability is essential for clinical trust and regulatory approval. Existing post-hoc explainable AI (XAI) methods often struggle to delineate fine-grained lesion structures, respect anatomical boundaries, or suppress noise, limiting the trustworthiness of their explanations. To bridge these gaps, we propose a Structure-Aware Interpretable Learning (SAIL) framework that integrates retinal anatomical priors at the representation level and couples them with semantic features via a fusion design. Without modifying standard post-hoc explainability methods, this representation yields sharper and more anatomically aligned attribution maps. Comprehensive experiments on diverse OCT datasets demonstrate that our structure-aware method consistently enhances interpretability, producing clinically meaningful and anatomy-aware explanations. Ablation studies further show that strong interpretability requires both structural priors and semantic features, and that properly fusing the two is critical to achieve the best explanation quality. Together, these results highlight structure-aware representations as a key step toward reliable explainability in OCT.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2026arXiv

Thinking with Blueprints: Assisting Vision-Language Models in Spatial Reasoning via Structured Object Representation

Spatial reasoning -- the ability to perceive and reason about relationships in space -- advances vision-language models (VLMs) from visual perception toward spatial semantic understanding. Existing approaches either revisit local image patches, improving fine-grained perception but weakening global spatial awareness, or mark isolated coordinates, which capture object locations but overlook their overall organization. In this work, we integrate the cognitive concept of an object-centric blueprint into VLMs to enhance spatial reasoning. Given an image and a question, the model first constructs a JSON-style blueprint that records the positions, sizes, and attributes of relevant objects, and then reasons over this structured representation to produce the final answer. To achieve this, we introduce three key techniques: (1) blueprint-embedded reasoning traces for supervised fine-tuning to elicit basic reasoning skills; (2) blueprint-aware rewards in reinforcement learning to encourage the blueprint to include an appropriate number of objects and to align final answers with this causal reasoning; and (3) anti-shortcut data augmentation that applies targeted perturbations to images and questions, discouraging reliance on superficial visual or linguistic cues. Experiments show that our method consistently outperforms existing VLMs and specialized spatial reasoning models.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2024arXiv

DEWP: Deep Expansion Learning for Wind Power Forecasting

Wind is one kind of high-efficient, environmentally-friendly and cost-effective energy source. Wind power, as one of the largest renewable energy in the world, has been playing a more and more important role in supplying electricity. Though growing dramatically in recent years, the amount of generated wind power can be directly or latently affected by multiple uncertain factors, such as wind speed, wind direction, temperatures, etc. More importantly, there exist very complicated dependencies of the generated power on the latent composition of these multiple time-evolving variables, which are always ignored by existing works and thus largely hinder the prediction performances. To this end, we propose DEWP, a novel Deep Expansion learning for Wind Power forecasting framework to carefully model the complicated dependencies with adequate expressiveness. DEWP starts with a stack-by-stack architecture, where each stack is composed of (i) a variable expansion block that makes use of convolutional layers to capture dependencies among multiple variables; (ii) a time expansion block that applies Fourier series and backcast/forecast mechanism to learn temporal dependencies in sequential patterns. These two tailored blocks expand raw inputs into different latent feature spaces which can model different levels of dependencies of time-evolving sequential data. Moreover, we propose an inference block corresponding for each stack, which applies multi-head self-attentions to acquire attentive features and maps expanded latent representations into generated wind power. In addition, to make DEWP more expressive in handling deep neural architectures, we adapt doubly residue learning to process stack-by-stack outputs. Finally, we present extensive experiments in the real-world wind power forecasting application on two datasets from two different turbines to demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2022arXiv

AA-Forecast: Anomaly-Aware Forecast for Extreme Events

Time series models often deal with extreme events and anomalies, both prevalent in real-world datasets. Such models often need to provide careful probabilistic forecasting, which is vital in risk management for extreme events such as hurricanes and pandemics. However, it is challenging to automatically detect and learn to use extreme events and anomalies for large-scale datasets, which often require manual effort. Hence, we propose an anomaly-aware forecast framework that leverages the previously seen effects of anomalies to improve its prediction accuracy during and after the presence of extreme events. Specifically, the framework automatically extracts anomalies and incorporates them through an attention mechanism to increase its accuracy for future extreme events. Moreover, the framework employs a dynamic uncertainty optimization algorithm that reduces the uncertainty of forecasts in an online manner. The proposed framework demonstrated consistent superior accuracy with less uncertainty on three datasets with different varieties of anomalies over the current prediction models.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2022arXiv

DDG-DA: Data Distribution Generation for Predictable Concept Drift Adaptation

In many real-world scenarios, we often deal with streaming data that is sequentially collected over time. Due to the non-stationary nature of the environment, the streaming data distribution may change in unpredictable ways, which is known as concept drift. To handle concept drift, previous methods first detect when/where the concept drift happens and then adapt models to fit the distribution of the latest data. However, there are still many cases that some underlying factors of environment evolution are predictable, making it possible to model the future concept drift trend of the streaming data, while such cases are not fully explored in previous work. In this paper, we propose a novel method DDG-DA, that can effectively forecast the evolution of data distribution and improve the performance of models. Specifically, we first train a predictor to estimate the future data distribution, then leverage it to generate training samples, and finally train models on the generated data. We conduct experiments on three real-world tasks (forecasting on stock price trend, electricity load and solar irradiance) and obtain significant improvement on multiple widely-used models.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2022arXiv

DEPTS: Deep Expansion Learning for Periodic Time Series Forecasting

Periodic time series (PTS) forecasting plays a crucial role in a variety of industries to foster critical tasks, such as early warning, pre-planning, resource scheduling, etc. However, the complicated dependencies of the PTS signal on its inherent periodicity as well as the sophisticated composition of various periods hinder the performance of PTS forecasting. In this paper, we introduce a deep expansion learning framework, DEPTS, for PTS forecasting. DEPTS starts with a decoupled formulation by introducing the periodic state as a hidden variable, which stimulates us to make two dedicated modules to tackle the aforementioned two challenges. First, we develop an expansion module on top of residual learning to perform a layer-by-layer expansion of those complicated dependencies. Second, we introduce a periodicity module with a parameterized periodic function that holds sufficient capacity to capture diversified periods. Moreover, our two customized modules also have certain interpretable capabilities, such as attributing the forecasts to either local momenta or global periodicity and characterizing certain core periodic properties, e.g., amplitudes and frequencies. Extensive experiments on both synthetic data and real-world data demonstrate the effectiveness of DEPTS on handling PTS. In most cases, DEPTS achieves significant improvements over the best baseline. Specifically, the error reduction can even reach up to 20% for a few cases. Finally, all codes are publicly available.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2022arXiv

HIST: A Graph-based Framework for Stock Trend Forecasting via Mining Concept-Oriented Shared Information

Stock trend forecasting, which forecasts stock prices' future trends, plays an essential role in investment. The stocks in a market can share information so that their stock prices are highly correlated. Several methods were recently proposed to mine the shared information through stock concepts (e.g., technology, Internet Retail) extracted from the Web to improve the forecasting results. However, previous work assumes the connections between stocks and concepts are stationary, and neglects the dynamic relevance between stocks and concepts, limiting the forecasting results. Moreover, existing methods overlook the invaluable shared information carried by hidden concepts, which measure stocks' commonness beyond the manually defined stock concepts. To overcome the shortcomings of previous work, we proposed a novel stock trend forecasting framework that can adequately mine the concept-oriented shared information from predefined concepts and hidden concepts. The proposed framework simultaneously utilize the stock's shared information and individual information to improve the stock trend forecasting performance. Experimental results on the real-world tasks demonstrate the efficiency of our framework on stock trend forecasting. The investment simulation shows that our framework can achieve a higher investment return than the baselines.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2022arXiv

Interpretable Deep Learning: Interpretation, Interpretability, Trustworthiness, and Beyond

Deep neural networks have been well-known for their superb handling of various machine learning and artificial intelligence tasks. However, due to their over-parameterized black-box nature, it is often difficult to understand the prediction results of deep models. In recent years, many interpretation tools have been proposed to explain or reveal how deep models make decisions. In this paper, we review this line of research and try to make a comprehensive survey. Specifically, we first introduce and clarify two basic concepts -- interpretations and interpretability -- that people usually get confused about. To address the research efforts in interpretations, we elaborate the designs of a number of interpretation algorithms, from different perspectives, by proposing a new taxonomy. Then, to understand the interpretation results, we also survey the performance metrics for evaluating interpretation algorithms. Further, we summarize the current works in evaluating models' interpretability using "trustworthy" interpretation algorithms. Finally, we review and discuss the connections between deep models' interpretations and other factors, such as adversarial robustness and learning from interpretations, and we introduce several open-source libraries for interpretation algorithms and evaluation approaches.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2022arXiv

Joint Application of the Target Trial Causal Framework and Machine Learning Modeling to Optimize Antibiotic Therapy: Use Case on Acute Bacterial Skin and Skin Structure Infections due to Methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus

Bacterial infections are responsible for high mortality worldwide. Antimicrobial resistance underlying the infection, and multifaceted patient's clinical status can hamper the correct choice of antibiotic treatment. Randomized clinical trials provide average treatment effect estimates but are not ideal for risk stratification and optimization of therapeutic choice, i.e., individualized treatment effects (ITE). Here, we leverage large-scale electronic health record data, collected from Southern US academic clinics, to emulate a clinical trial, i.e., 'target trial', and develop a machine learning model of mortality prediction and ITE estimation for patients diagnosed with acute bacterial skin and skin structure infection (ABSSSI) due to methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA). ABSSSI-MRSA is a challenging condition with reduced treatment options - vancomycin is the preferred choice, but it has non-negligible side effects. First, we use propensity score matching to emulate the trial and create a treatment randomized (vancomycin vs. other antibiotics) dataset. Next, we use this data to train various machine learning methods (including boosted/LASSO logistic regression, support vector machines, and random forest) and choose the best model in terms of area under the receiver characteristic (AUC) through bootstrap validation. Lastly, we use the models to calculate ITE and identify possible averted deaths by therapy change. The out-of-bag tests indicate that SVM and RF are the most accurate, with AUC of 81% and 78%, respectively, but BLR/LASSO is not far behind (76%). By calculating the counterfactuals using the BLR/LASSO, vancomycin increases the risk of death, but it shows a large variation (odds ratio 1.2, 95% range 0.4-3.8) and the contribution to outcome probability is modest. Instead, the RF exhibits stronger changes in ITE, suggesting more complex treatment heterogeneity.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2022arXiv

Less Is More: Fast Multivariate Time Series Forecasting with Light Sampling-oriented MLP Structures

Multivariate time series forecasting has seen widely ranging applications in various domains, including finance, traffic, energy, and healthcare. To capture the sophisticated temporal patterns, plenty of research studies designed complex neural network architectures based on many variants of RNNs, GNNs, and Transformers. However, complex models are often computationally expensive and thus face a severe challenge in training and inference efficiency when applied to large-scale real-world datasets. In this paper, we introduce LightTS, a light deep learning architecture merely based on simple MLP-based structures. The key idea of LightTS is to apply an MLP-based structure on top of two delicate down-sampling strategies, including interval sampling and continuous sampling, inspired by a crucial fact that down-sampling time series often preserves the majority of its information. We conduct extensive experiments on eight widely used benchmark datasets. Compared with the existing state-of-the-art methods, LightTS demonstrates better performance on five of them and comparable performance on the rest. Moreover, LightTS is highly efficient. It uses less than 5% FLOPS compared with previous SOTA methods on the largest benchmark dataset. In addition, LightTS is robust and has a much smaller variance in forecasting accuracy than previous SOTA methods in long sequence forecasting tasks.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2022arXiv

ResGrad: Residual Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Models for Text to Speech

Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Models (DDPMs) are emerging in text-to-speech (TTS) synthesis because of their strong capability of generating high-fidelity samples. However, their iterative refinement process in high-dimensional data space results in slow inference speed, which restricts their application in real-time systems. Previous works have explored speeding up by minimizing the number of inference steps but at the cost of sample quality. In this work, to improve the inference speed for DDPM-based TTS model while achieving high sample quality, we propose ResGrad, a lightweight diffusion model which learns to refine the output spectrogram of an existing TTS model (e.g., FastSpeech 2) by predicting the residual between the model output and the corresponding ground-truth speech. ResGrad has several advantages: 1) Compare with other acceleration methods for DDPM which need to synthesize speech from scratch, ResGrad reduces the complexity of task by changing the generation target from ground-truth mel-spectrogram to the residual, resulting into a more lightweight model and thus a smaller real-time factor. 2) ResGrad is employed in the inference process of the existing TTS model in a plug-and-play way, without re-training this model. We verify ResGrad on the single-speaker dataset LJSpeech and two more challenging datasets with multiple speakers (LibriTTS) and high sampling rate (VCTK). Experimental results show that in comparison with other speed-up methods of DDPMs: 1) ResGrad achieves better sample quality with the same inference speed measured by real-time factor; 2) with similar speech quality, ResGrad synthesizes speech faster than baseline methods by more than 10 times. Audio samples are available at https://resgrad1.github.io/.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2022arXiv

Towards Applicable Reinforcement Learning: Improving the Generalization and Sample Efficiency with Policy Ensemble

It is challenging for reinforcement learning (RL) algorithms to succeed in real-world applications like financial trading and logistic system due to the noisy observation and environment shifting between training and evaluation. Thus, it requires both high sample efficiency and generalization for resolving real-world tasks. However, directly applying typical RL algorithms can lead to poor performance in such scenarios. Considering the great performance of ensemble methods on both accuracy and generalization in supervised learning (SL), we design a robust and applicable method named Ensemble Proximal Policy Optimization (EPPO), which learns ensemble policies in an end-to-end manner. Notably, EPPO combines each policy and the policy ensemble organically and optimizes both simultaneously. In addition, EPPO adopts a diversity enhancement regularization over the policy space which helps to generalize to unseen states and promotes exploration. We theoretically prove EPPO increases exploration efficacy, and through comprehensive experimental evaluations on various tasks, we demonstrate that EPPO achieves higher efficiency and is robust for real-world applications compared with vanilla policy optimization algorithms and other ensemble methods. Code and supplemental materials are available at https://seqml.github.io/eppo.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2022arXiv

Variational Temporal Deconfounder for Individualized Treatment Effect Estimation from Longitudinal Observational Data

Estimating treatment effects, especially individualized treatment effects (ITE), using observational data is challenging due to the complex situations of confounding bias. Existing approaches for estimating treatment effects from longitudinal observational data are usually built upon a strong assumption of "unconfoundedness", which is hard to fulfill in real-world practice. In this paper, we propose the Variational Temporal Deconfounder (VTD), an approach that leverages deep variational embeddings in the longitudinal setting using proxies (i.e., surrogate variables that serve for unobservable variables). Specifically, VTD leverages observed proxies to learn a hidden embedding that reflects the true hidden confounders in the observational data. As such, our VTD method does not rely on the "unconfoundedness" assumption. We test our VTD method on both synthetic and real-world clinical data, and the results show that our approach is effective when hidden confounding is the leading bias compared to other existing models.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2021arXiv

Applications of artificial intelligence in drug development using real-world data

The US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) has been actively promoting the use of real-world data (RWD) in drug development. RWD can generate important real-world evidence reflecting the real-world clinical environment where the treatments are used. Meanwhile, artificial intelligence (AI), especially machine- and deep-learning (ML/DL) methods, have been increasingly used across many stages of the drug development process. Advancements in AI have also provided new strategies to analyze large, multidimensional RWD. Thus, we conducted a rapid review of articles from the past 20 years, to provide an overview of the drug development studies that use both AI and RWD. We found that the most popular applications were adverse event detection, trial recruitment, and drug repurposing. Here, we also discuss current research gaps and future opportunities.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2021arXiv

Learning to Reweight with Deep Interactions

Recently, the concept of teaching has been introduced into machine learning, in which a teacher model is used to guide the training of a student model (which will be used in real tasks) through data selection, loss function design, etc. Learning to reweight, which is a specific kind of teaching that reweights training data using a teacher model, receives much attention due to its simplicity and effectiveness. In existing learning to reweight works, the teacher model only utilizes shallow/surface information such as training iteration number and loss/accuracy of the student model from training/validation sets, but ignores the internal states of the student model, which limits the potential of learning to reweight. In this work, we propose an improved data reweighting algorithm, in which the student model provides its internal states to the teacher model, and the teacher model returns adaptive weights of training samples to enhance the training of the student model. The teacher model is jointly trained with the student model using meta gradients propagated from a validation set. Experiments on image classification with clean/noisy labels and neural machine translation empirically demonstrate that our algorithm makes significant improvement over previous methods.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2021arXiv

REST: Relational Event-driven Stock Trend Forecasting

Stock trend forecasting, aiming at predicting the stock future trends, is crucial for investors to seek maximized profits from the stock market. Many event-driven methods utilized the events extracted from news, social media, and discussion board to forecast the stock trend in recent years. However, existing event-driven methods have two main shortcomings: 1) overlooking the influence of event information differentiated by the stock-dependent properties; 2) neglecting the effect of event information from other related stocks. In this paper, we propose a relational event-driven stock trend forecasting (REST) framework, which can address the shortcoming of existing methods. To remedy the first shortcoming, we propose to model the stock context and learn the effect of event information on the stocks under different contexts. To address the second shortcoming, we construct a stock graph and design a new propagation layer to propagate the effect of event information from related stocks. The experimental studies on the real-world data demonstrate the efficiency of our REST framework. The results of investment simulation show that our framework can achieve a higher return of investment than baselines.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2020arXiv

Federated Learning for Healthcare Informatics

With the rapid development of computer software and hardware technologies, more and more healthcare data are becoming readily available from clinical institutions, patients, insurance companies and pharmaceutical industries, among others. This access provides an unprecedented opportunity for data science technologies to derive data-driven insights and improve the quality of care delivery. Healthcare data, however, are usually fragmented and private making it difficult to generate robust results across populations. For example, different hospitals own the electronic health records (EHR) of different patient populations and these records are difficult to share across hospitals because of their sensitive nature. This creates a big barrier for developing effective analytical approaches that are generalizable, which need diverse, "big data". Federated learning, a mechanism of training a shared global model with a central server while keeping all the sensitive data in local institutions where the data belong, provides great promise to connect the fragmented healthcare data sources with privacy-preservation. The goal of this survey is to provide a review for federated learning technologies, particularly within the biomedical space. In particular, we summarize the general solutions to the statistical challenges, system challenges and privacy issues in federated learning, and point out the implications and potentials in healthcare.

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preprint2020arXiv

Fully Parameterized Quantile Function for Distributional Reinforcement Learning

Distributional Reinforcement Learning (RL) differs from traditional RL in that, rather than the expectation of total returns, it estimates distributions and has achieved state-of-the-art performance on Atari Games. The key challenge in practical distributional RL algorithms lies in how to parameterize estimated distributions so as to better approximate the true continuous distribution. Existing distributional RL algorithms parameterize either the probability side or the return value side of the distribution function, leaving the other side uniformly fixed as in C51, QR-DQN or randomly sampled as in IQN. In this paper, we propose fully parameterized quantile function that parameterizes both the quantile fraction axis (i.e., the x-axis) and the value axis (i.e., y-axis) for distributional RL. Our algorithm contains a fraction proposal network that generates a discrete set of quantile fractions and a quantile value network that gives corresponding quantile values. The two networks are jointly trained to find the best approximation of the true distribution. Experiments on 55 Atari Games show that our algorithm significantly outperforms existing distributional RL algorithms and creates a new record for the Atari Learning Environment for non-distributed agents.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2020arXiv

Integrating Crowdsourcing and Active Learning for Classification of Work-Life Events from Tweets

Social media, especially Twitter, is being increasingly used for research with predictive analytics. In social media studies, natural language processing (NLP) techniques are used in conjunction with expert-based, manual and qualitative analyses. However, social media data are unstructured and must undergo complex manipulation for research use. The manual annotation is the most resource and time-consuming process that multiple expert raters have to reach consensus on every item, but is essential to create gold-standard datasets for training NLP-based machine learning classifiers. To reduce the burden of the manual annotation, yet maintaining its reliability, we devised a crowdsourcing pipeline combined with active learning strategies. We demonstrated its effectiveness through a case study that identifies job loss events from individual tweets. We used Amazon Mechanical Turk platform to recruit annotators from the Internet and designed a number of quality control measures to assure annotation accuracy. We evaluated 4 different active learning strategies (i.e., least confident, entropy, vote entropy, and Kullback-Leibler divergence). The active learning strategies aim at reducing the number of tweets needed to reach a desired performance of automated classification. Results show that crowdsourcing is useful to create high-quality annotations and active learning helps in reducing the number of required tweets, although there was no substantial difference among the strategies tested.

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preprint2020arXiv

Invertible Image Rescaling

High-resolution digital images are usually downscaled to fit various display screens or save the cost of storage and bandwidth, meanwhile the post-upscaling is adpoted to recover the original resolutions or the details in the zoom-in images. However, typical image downscaling is a non-injective mapping due to the loss of high-frequency information, which leads to the ill-posed problem of the inverse upscaling procedure and poses great challenges for recovering details from the downscaled low-resolution images. Simply upscaling with image super-resolution methods results in unsatisfactory recovering performance. In this work, we propose to solve this problem by modeling the downscaling and upscaling processes from a new perspective, i.e. an invertible bijective transformation, which can largely mitigate the ill-posed nature of image upscaling. We develop an Invertible Rescaling Net (IRN) with deliberately designed framework and objectives to produce visually-pleasing low-resolution images and meanwhile capture the distribution of the lost information using a latent variable following a specified distribution in the downscaling process. In this way, upscaling is made tractable by inversely passing a randomly-drawn latent variable with the low-resolution image through the network. Experimental results demonstrate the significant improvement of our model over existing methods in terms of both quantitative and qualitative evaluations of image upscaling reconstruction from downscaled images.

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preprint2020arXiv

MC-BERT: Efficient Language Pre-Training via a Meta Controller

Pre-trained contextual representations (e.g., BERT) have become the foundation to achieve state-of-the-art results on many NLP tasks. However, large-scale pre-training is computationally expensive. ELECTRA, an early attempt to accelerate pre-training, trains a discriminative model that predicts whether each input token was replaced by a generator. Our studies reveal that ELECTRA's success is mainly due to its reduced complexity of the pre-training task: the binary classification (replaced token detection) is more efficient to learn than the generation task (masked language modeling). However, such a simplified task is less semantically informative. To achieve better efficiency and effectiveness, we propose a novel meta-learning framework, MC-BERT. The pre-training task is a multi-choice cloze test with a reject option, where a meta controller network provides training input and candidates. Results over GLUE natural language understanding benchmark demonstrate that our proposed method is both efficient and effective: it outperforms baselines on GLUE semantic tasks given the same computational budget.

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preprint2020arXiv

Measuring Model Complexity of Neural Networks with Curve Activation Functions

It is fundamental to measure model complexity of deep neural networks. The existing literature on model complexity mainly focuses on neural networks with piecewise linear activation functions. Model complexity of neural networks with general curve activation functions remains an open problem. To tackle the challenge, in this paper, we first propose the linear approximation neural network (LANN for short), a piecewise linear framework to approximate a given deep model with curve activation function. LANN constructs individual piecewise linear approximation for the activation function of each neuron, and minimizes the number of linear regions to satisfy a required approximation degree. Then, we analyze the upper bound of the number of linear regions formed by LANNs, and derive the complexity measure based on the upper bound. To examine the usefulness of the complexity measure, we experimentally explore the training process of neural networks and detect overfitting. Our results demonstrate that the occurrence of overfitting is positively correlated with the increase of model complexity during training. We find that the $L^1$ and $L^2$ regularizations suppress the increase of model complexity. Finally, we propose two approaches to prevent overfitting by directly constraining model complexity, namely neuron pruning and customized $L^1$ regularization.

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preprint2020arXiv

Trimming the Sail: A Second-order Learning Paradigm for Stock Prediction

Nowadays, machine learning methods have been widely used in stock prediction. Traditional approaches assume an identical data distribution, under which a learned model on the training data is fixed and applied directly in the test data. Although such assumption has made traditional machine learning techniques succeed in many real-world tasks, the highly dynamic nature of the stock market invalidates the strict assumption in stock prediction. To address this challenge, we propose the second-order identical distribution assumption, where the data distribution is assumed to be fluctuating over time with certain patterns. Based on such assumption, we develop a second-order learning paradigm with multi-scale patterns. Extensive experiments on real-world Chinese stock data demonstrate the effectiveness of our second-order learning paradigm in stock prediction.

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preprint2019arXiv

Identifying Cancer Patients at Risk for Heart Failure Using Machine Learning Methods

Cardiotoxicity related to cancer therapies has become a serious issue, diminishing cancer treatment outcomes and quality of life. Early detection of cancer patients at risk for cardiotoxicity before cardiotoxic treatments and providing preventive measures are potential solutions to improve cancer patients's quality of life. This study focuses on predicting the development of heart failure in cancer patients after cancer diagnoses using historical electronic health record (EHR) data. We examined four machine learning algorithms using 143,199 cancer patients from the University of Florida Health (UF Health) Integrated Data Repository (IDR). We identified a total number of 1,958 qualified cases and matched them to 15,488 controls by gender, age, race, and major cancer type. Two feature encoding strategies were compared to encode variables as machine learning features. The gradient boosting (GB) based model achieved the best AUC score of 0.9077 (with a sensitivity of 0.8520 and a specificity of 0.8138), outperforming other machine learning methods. We also looked into the subgroup of cancer patients with exposure to chemotherapy drugs and observed a lower specificity score (0.7089). The experimental results show that machine learning methods are able to capture clinical factors that are known to be associated with heart failure and that it is feasible to use machine learning methods to identify cancer patients at risk for cancer therapy-related heart failure.

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