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Jerry Li

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Published work

24 published item(s)

preprint2026arXiv

Rigorous Implications of the Low-Degree Heuristic

Over the past decade, the low-degree heuristic has been used to estimate the algorithmic thresholds for a wide range of average-case planted vs null distinguishing problems. Such results rely on the hypothesis that if the low-degree moments of the planted and null distributions are sufficiently close, then no efficient (noise-tolerant) algorithm can distinguish between them. This hypothesis is appealing due to the simplicity of calculating the low-degree likelihood ratio (LDLR) -- a quantity that measures the similarity between low-degree moments. However, despite sustained interest in the area, it remains unclear whether low-degree indistinguishability actually rules out any interesting class of algorithms. In this work, we initiate the study and develop technical tools for translating LDLR upper bounds to rigorous lower bounds against concrete algorithms. As a consequence, we prove: for any permutation-invariant distribution $\mathsf{P}$, 1. If $\mathsf{P}$ is over $\{0,1\}^n$ and is low-degree indistinguishable from $U = \mathrm{Unif}(\{0,1\}^n)$, then a noisy version of $\mathsf{P}$ is statistically indistinguishable from $U$. 2. If $\mathsf{P}$ is over $\mathbb{R}^n$ and is low-degree indistinguishable from the standard Gaussian ${N}(0, 1)^n$, then no statistic based on symmetric polynomials of degree at most $O(\log n/\log \log n)$ can distinguish between a noisy version of $\mathsf{P}$ from ${N}(0, 1)^n$. 3. If $\mathsf{P}$ is over $\mathbb{R}^{n\times n}$ and is low-degree indistinguishable from ${N}(0,1)^{n\times n}$, then no constant-sized subgraph statistic can distinguish between a noisy version of $\mathsf{P}$ and ${N}(0, 1)^{n\times n}$.

preprint2026arXiv

Weak-to-Strong Generalization is Nearly Inevitable (in Linear Models)

Weak-to-strong generalization is a phenomenon in post-training whereby a strong student model, when finetuned solely with feedback from a weaker teacher, can not only surpass the teacher, but can improve upon its own capabilities. Recent work of Burns et al. (2023) demonstrated that this can occur in the setting of frontier language models, and subsequently there has been a flurry of both empirical work trying to exploit this phenomenon, as well as theoretical work attempting to understand it. In this work, we demonstrate that weak-to-strong generalization occurs in standard linear logistic regression, under mild distributional assumptions on the data. In fact, we show that this happens for most student-teacher pairs, suggesting that weak-to-strong generalization is in fact \emph{almost inevitable}, even in this basic setting. Notably, our setting does not require the student to be more expressive or have more model capacity in any way compared to the teacher, which runs contrary to the prevailing theoretical belief that a mismatch in model capacity is a central mechanism to weak-to-strong generalization.

preprint2022arXiv

Learning (Very) Simple Generative Models Is Hard

Motivated by the recent empirical successes of deep generative models, we study the computational complexity of the following unsupervised learning problem. For an unknown neural network $F:\mathbb{R}^d\to\mathbb{R}^{d'}$, let $D$ be the distribution over $\mathbb{R}^{d'}$ given by pushing the standard Gaussian $\mathcal{N}(0,\textrm{Id}_d)$ through $F$. Given i.i.d. samples from $D$, the goal is to output any distribution close to $D$ in statistical distance. We show under the statistical query (SQ) model that no polynomial-time algorithm can solve this problem even when the output coordinates of $F$ are one-hidden-layer ReLU networks with $\log(d)$ neurons. Previously, the best lower bounds for this problem simply followed from lower bounds for supervised learning and required at least two hidden layers and $\mathrm{poly}(d)$ neurons [Daniely-Vardi '21, Chen-Gollakota-Klivans-Meka '22]. The key ingredient in our proof is an ODE-based construction of a compactly supported, piecewise-linear function $f$ with polynomially-bounded slopes such that the pushforward of $\mathcal{N}(0,1)$ under $f$ matches all low-degree moments of $\mathcal{N}(0,1)$.

preprint2022arXiv

Learning Polynomial Transformations

We consider the problem of learning high dimensional polynomial transformations of Gaussians. Given samples of the form $p(x)$, where $x\sim N(0, \mathrm{Id}_r)$ is hidden and $p: \mathbb{R}^r \to \mathbb{R}^d$ is a function where every output coordinate is a low-degree polynomial, the goal is to learn the distribution over $p(x)$. This problem is natural in its own right, but is also an important special case of learning deep generative models, namely pushforwards of Gaussians under two-layer neural networks with polynomial activations. Understanding the learnability of such generative models is crucial to understanding why they perform so well in practice. Our first main result is a polynomial-time algorithm for learning quadratic transformations of Gaussians in a smoothed setting. Our second main result is a polynomial-time algorithm for learning constant-degree polynomial transformations of Gaussian in a smoothed setting, when the rank of the associated tensors is small. In fact our results extend to any rotation-invariant input distribution, not just Gaussian. These are the first end-to-end guarantees for learning a pushforward under a neural network with more than one layer. Along the way, we also give the first polynomial-time algorithms with provable guarantees for tensor ring decomposition, a popular generalization of tensor decomposition that is used in practice to implicitly store large tensors.

preprint2022arXiv

Minimax Optimality (Probably) Doesn't Imply Distribution Learning for GANs

Arguably the most fundamental question in the theory of generative adversarial networks (GANs) is to understand to what extent GANs can actually learn the underlying distribution. Theoretical and empirical evidence suggests local optimality of the empirical training objective is insufficient. Yet, it does not rule out the possibility that achieving a true population minimax optimal solution might imply distribution learning. In this paper, we show that standard cryptographic assumptions imply that this stronger condition is still insufficient. Namely, we show that if local pseudorandom generators (PRGs) exist, then for a large family of natural continuous target distributions, there are ReLU network generators of constant depth and polynomial size which take Gaussian random seeds so that (i) the output is far in Wasserstein distance from the target distribution, but (ii) no polynomially large Lipschitz discriminator ReLU network can detect this. This implies that even achieving a population minimax optimal solution to the Wasserstein GAN objective is likely insufficient for distribution learning in the usual statistical sense. Our techniques reveal a deep connection between GANs and PRGs, which we believe will lead to further insights into the computational landscape of GANs.

preprint2022arXiv

Semi-Random Sparse Recovery in Nearly-Linear Time

Sparse recovery is one of the most fundamental and well-studied inverse problems. Standard statistical formulations of the problem are provably solved by general convex programming techniques and more practical, fast (nearly-linear time) iterative methods. However, these latter "fast algorithms" have previously been observed to be brittle in various real-world settings. We investigate the brittleness of fast sparse recovery algorithms to generative model changes through the lens of studying their robustness to a "helpful" semi-random adversary, a framework which tests whether an algorithm overfits to input assumptions. We consider the following basic model: let $\mathbf{A} \in \mathbb{R}^{n \times d}$ be a measurement matrix which contains an unknown subset of rows $\mathbf{G} \in \mathbb{R}^{m \times d}$ which are bounded and satisfy the restricted isometry property (RIP), but is otherwise arbitrary. Letting $x^\star \in \mathbb{R}^d$ be $s$-sparse, and given either exact measurements $b = \mathbf{A} x^\star$ or noisy measurements $b = \mathbf{A} x^\star + ξ$, we design algorithms recovering $x^\star$ information-theoretically optimally in nearly-linear time. We extend our algorithm to hold for weaker generative models relaxing our planted RIP assumption to a natural weighted variant, and show that our method's guarantees naturally interpolate the quality of the measurement matrix to, in some parameter regimes, run in sublinear time. Our approach differs from prior fast iterative methods with provable guarantees under semi-random generative models: natural conditions on a submatrix which make sparse recovery tractable are NP-hard to verify. We design a new iterative method tailored to the geometry of sparse recovery which is provably robust to our semi-random model. We hope our approach opens the door to new robust, efficient algorithms for natural statistical inverse problems.

preprint2021arXiv

An empirical investigation of the challenges of real-world reinforcement learning

Reinforcement learning (RL) has proven its worth in a series of artificial domains, and is beginning to show some successes in real-world scenarios. However, much of the research advances in RL are hard to leverage in real-world systems due to a series of assumptions that are rarely satisfied in practice. In this work, we identify and formalize a series of independent challenges that embody the difficulties that must be addressed for RL to be commonly deployed in real-world systems. For each challenge, we define it formally in the context of a Markov Decision Process, analyze the effects of the challenge on state-of-the-art learning algorithms, and present some existing attempts at tackling it. We believe that an approach that addresses our set of proposed challenges would be readily deployable in a large number of real world problems. Our proposed challenges are implemented in a suite of continuous control environments called the realworldrl-suite which we propose an as an open-source benchmark.

preprint2021arXiv

On Distinctive Properties of Universal Perturbations

We identify properties of universal adversarial perturbations (UAPs) that distinguish them from standard adversarial perturbations. Specifically, we show that targeted UAPs generated by projected gradient descent exhibit two human-aligned properties: semantic locality and spatial invariance, which standard targeted adversarial perturbations lack. We also demonstrate that UAPs contain significantly less signal for generalization than standard adversarial perturbations -- that is, UAPs leverage non-robust features to a smaller extent than standard adversarial perturbations.

preprint2021arXiv

RL Unplugged: A Suite of Benchmarks for Offline Reinforcement Learning

Offline methods for reinforcement learning have a potential to help bridge the gap between reinforcement learning research and real-world applications. They make it possible to learn policies from offline datasets, thus overcoming concerns associated with online data collection in the real-world, including cost, safety, or ethical concerns. In this paper, we propose a benchmark called RL Unplugged to evaluate and compare offline RL methods. RL Unplugged includes data from a diverse range of domains including games (e.g., Atari benchmark) and simulated motor control problems (e.g., DM Control Suite). The datasets include domains that are partially or fully observable, use continuous or discrete actions, and have stochastic vs. deterministic dynamics. We propose detailed evaluation protocols for each domain in RL Unplugged and provide an extensive analysis of supervised learning and offline RL methods using these protocols. We will release data for all our tasks and open-source all algorithms presented in this paper. We hope that our suite of benchmarks will increase the reproducibility of experiments and make it possible to study challenging tasks with a limited computational budget, thus making RL research both more systematic and more accessible across the community. Moving forward, we view RL Unplugged as a living benchmark suite that will evolve and grow with datasets contributed by the research community and ourselves. Our project page is available on https://git.io/JJUhd.

preprint2021arXiv

Robust and Heavy-Tailed Mean Estimation Made Simple, via Regret Minimization

We study the problem of estimating the mean of a distribution in high dimensions when either the samples are adversarially corrupted or the distribution is heavy-tailed. Recent developments in robust statistics have established efficient and (near) optimal procedures for both settings. However, the algorithms developed on each side tend to be sophisticated and do not directly transfer to the other, with many of them having ad-hoc or complicated analyses. In this paper, we provide a meta-problem and a duality theorem that lead to a new unified view on robust and heavy-tailed mean estimation in high dimensions. We show that the meta-problem can be solved either by a variant of the Filter algorithm from the recent literature on robust estimation or by the quantum entropy scoring scheme (QUE), due to Dong, Hopkins and Li (NeurIPS '19). By leveraging our duality theorem, these results translate into simple and efficient algorithms for both robust and heavy-tailed settings. Furthermore, the QUE-based procedure has run-time that matches the fastest known algorithms on both fronts. Our analysis of Filter is through the classic regret bound of the multiplicative weights update method. This connection allows us to avoid the technical complications in previous works and improve upon the run-time analysis of a gradient-descent-based algorithm for robust mean estimation by Cheng, Diakonikolas, Ge and Soltanolkotabi (ICML '20).

preprint2020arXiv

Efficient Algorithms for Multidimensional Segmented Regression

We study the fundamental problem of fixed design {\em multidimensional segmented regression}: Given noisy samples from a function $f$, promised to be piecewise linear on an unknown set of $k$ rectangles, we want to recover $f$ up to a desired accuracy in mean-squared error. We provide the first sample and computationally efficient algorithm for this problem in any fixed dimension. Our algorithm relies on a simple iterative merging approach, which is novel in the multidimensional setting. Our experimental evaluation on both synthetic and real datasets shows that our algorithm is competitive and in some cases outperforms state-of-the-art heuristics. Code of our implementation is available at \url{https://github.com/avoloshinov/multidimensional-segmented-regression}.

preprint2020arXiv

Entanglement is Necessary for Optimal Quantum Property Testing

There has been a surge of progress in recent years in developing algorithms for testing and learning quantum states that achieve optimal copy complexity. Unfortunately, they require the use of entangled measurements across many copies of the underlying state and thus remain outside the realm of what is currently experimentally feasible. A natural question is whether one can match the copy complexity of such algorithms using only independent---but possibly adaptively chosen---measurements on individual copies. We answer this in the negative for arguably the most basic quantum testing problem: deciding whether a given $d$-dimensional quantum state is equal to or $ε$-far in trace distance from the maximally mixed state. While it is known how to achieve optimal $O(d/ε^2)$ copy complexity using entangled measurements, we show that with independent measurements, $Ω(d^{4/3}/ε^2)$ is necessary, even if the measurements are chosen adaptively. This resolves a question of Wright. To obtain this lower bound, we develop several new techniques, including a chain-rule style proof of Paninski's lower bound for classical uniformity testing, which may be of independent interest.

preprint2020arXiv

Learning Structured Distributions From Untrusted Batches: Faster and Simpler

We revisit the problem of learning from untrusted batches introduced by Qiao and Valiant [QV17]. Recently, Jain and Orlitsky [JO19] gave a simple semidefinite programming approach based on the cut-norm that achieves essentially information-theoretically optimal error in polynomial time. Concurrently, Chen et al. [CLM19] considered a variant of the problem where $μ$ is assumed to be structured, e.g. log-concave, monotone hazard rate, $t$-modal, etc. In this case, it is possible to achieve the same error with sample complexity sublinear in $n$, and they exhibited a quasi-polynomial time algorithm for doing so using Haar wavelets. In this paper, we find an appealing way to synthesize the techniques of [JO19] and [CLM19] to give the best of both worlds: an algorithm which runs in polynomial time and can exploit structure in the underlying distribution to achieve sublinear sample complexity. Along the way, we simplify the approach of [JO19] by avoiding the need for SDP rounding and giving a more direct interpretation of it through the lens of soft filtering, a powerful recent technique in high-dimensional robust estimation. We validate the usefulness of our algorithms in preliminary experimental evaluations.

preprint2020arXiv

Provably Robust Deep Learning via Adversarially Trained Smoothed Classifiers

Recent works have shown the effectiveness of randomized smoothing as a scalable technique for building neural network-based classifiers that are provably robust to $\ell_2$-norm adversarial perturbations. In this paper, we employ adversarial training to improve the performance of randomized smoothing. We design an adapted attack for smoothed classifiers, and we show how this attack can be used in an adversarial training setting to boost the provable robustness of smoothed classifiers. We demonstrate through extensive experimentation that our method consistently outperforms all existing provably $\ell_2$-robust classifiers by a significant margin on ImageNet and CIFAR-10, establishing the state-of-the-art for provable $\ell_2$-defenses. Moreover, we find that pre-training and semi-supervised learning boost adversarially trained smoothed classifiers even further. Our code and trained models are available at http://github.com/Hadisalman/smoothing-adversarial .

preprint2020arXiv

Randomized Smoothing of All Shapes and Sizes

Randomized smoothing is the current state-of-the-art defense with provable robustness against $\ell_2$ adversarial attacks. Many works have devised new randomized smoothing schemes for other metrics, such as $\ell_1$ or $\ell_\infty$; however, substantial effort was needed to derive such new guarantees. This begs the question: can we find a general theory for randomized smoothing? We propose a novel framework for devising and analyzing randomized smoothing schemes, and validate its effectiveness in practice. Our theoretical contributions are: (1) we show that for an appropriate notion of "optimal", the optimal smoothing distributions for any "nice" norms have level sets given by the norm's *Wulff Crystal*; (2) we propose two novel and complementary methods for deriving provably robust radii for any smoothing distribution; and, (3) we show fundamental limits to current randomized smoothing techniques via the theory of *Banach space cotypes*. By combining (1) and (2), we significantly improve the state-of-the-art certified accuracy in $\ell_1$ on standard datasets. Meanwhile, we show using (3) that with only label statistics under random input perturbations, randomized smoothing cannot achieve nontrivial certified accuracy against perturbations of $\ell_p$-norm $Ω(\min(1, d^{\frac{1}{p} - \frac{1}{2}}))$, when the input dimension $d$ is large. We provide code in github.com/tonyduan/rs4a.

preprint2020arXiv

Robust Gaussian Covariance Estimation in Nearly-Matrix Multiplication Time

Robust covariance estimation is the following, well-studied problem in high dimensional statistics: given $N$ samples from a $d$-dimensional Gaussian $\mathcal{N}(\boldsymbol{0}, Σ)$, but where an $\varepsilon$-fraction of the samples have been arbitrarily corrupted, output $\widehatΣ$ minimizing the total variation distance between $\mathcal{N}(\boldsymbol{0}, Σ)$ and $\mathcal{N}(\boldsymbol{0}, \widehatΣ)$. This corresponds to learning $Σ$ in a natural affine-invariant variant of the Frobenius norm known as the \emph{Mahalanobis norm}. Previous work of Cheng et al demonstrated an algorithm that, given $N = Ω(d^2 / \varepsilon^2)$ samples, achieved a near-optimal error of $O(\varepsilon \log 1 / \varepsilon)$, and moreover, their algorithm ran in time $\widetilde{O}(T(N, d) \log κ/ \mathrm{poly} (\varepsilon))$, where $T(N, d)$ is the time it takes to multiply a $d \times N$ matrix by its transpose, and $κ$ is the condition number of $Σ$. When $\varepsilon$ is relatively small, their polynomial dependence on $1/\varepsilon$ in the runtime is prohibitively large. In this paper, we demonstrate a novel algorithm that achieves the same statistical guarantees, but which runs in time $\widetilde{O} (T(N, d) \log κ)$. In particular, our runtime has no dependence on $\varepsilon$. When $Σ$ is reasonably conditioned, our runtime matches that of the fastest algorithm for covariance estimation without outliers, up to poly-logarithmic factors, showing that we can get robustness essentially "for free."

preprint2020arXiv

Robust Sub-Gaussian Principal Component Analysis and Width-Independent Schatten Packing

We develop two methods for the following fundamental statistical task: given an $ε$-corrupted set of $n$ samples from a $d$-dimensional sub-Gaussian distribution, return an approximate top eigenvector of the covariance matrix. Our first robust PCA algorithm runs in polynomial time, returns a $1 - O(ε\logε^{-1})$-approximate top eigenvector, and is based on a simple iterative filtering approach. Our second, which attains a slightly worse approximation factor, runs in nearly-linear time and sample complexity under a mild spectral gap assumption. These are the first polynomial-time algorithms yielding non-trivial information about the covariance of a corrupted sub-Gaussian distribution without requiring additional algebraic structure of moments. As a key technical tool, we develop the first width-independent solvers for Schatten-$p$ norm packing semidefinite programs, giving a $(1 + ε)$-approximate solution in $O(p\log(\tfrac{nd}ε)ε^{-1})$ input-sparsity time iterations (where $n$, $d$ are problem dimensions).

preprint2020arXiv

Security and Machine Learning in the Real World

Machine learning (ML) models deployed in many safety- and business-critical systems are vulnerable to exploitation through adversarial examples. A large body of academic research has thoroughly explored the causes of these blind spots, developed sophisticated algorithms for finding them, and proposed a few promising defenses. A vast majority of these works, however, study standalone neural network models. In this work, we build on our experience evaluating the security of a machine learning software product deployed on a large scale to broaden the conversation to include a systems security view of these vulnerabilities. We describe novel challenges to implementing systems security best practices in software with ML components. In addition, we propose a list of short-term mitigation suggestions that practitioners deploying machine learning modules can use to secure their systems. Finally, we outline directions for new research into machine learning attacks and defenses that can serve to advance the state of ML systems security.

preprint2016arXiv

Fast Algorithms for Segmented Regression

We study the fixed design segmented regression problem: Given noisy samples from a piecewise linear function $f$, we want to recover $f$ up to a desired accuracy in mean-squared error. Previous rigorous approaches for this problem rely on dynamic programming (DP) and, while sample efficient, have running time quadratic in the sample size. As our main contribution, we provide new sample near-linear time algorithms for the problem that -- while not being minimax optimal -- achieve a significantly better sample-time tradeoff on large datasets compared to the DP approach. Our experimental evaluation shows that, compared with the DP approach, our algorithms provide a convergence rate that is only off by a factor of $2$ to $4$, while achieving speedups of three orders of magnitude.

preprint2015arXiv

A Nearly Optimal and Agnostic Algorithm for Properly Learning a Mixture of k Gaussians, for any Constant k

Learning a Gaussian mixture model (GMM) is a fundamental problem in machine learning, learning theory, and statistics. One notion of learning a GMM is proper learning: here, the goal is to find a mixture of $k$ Gaussians $\mathcal{M}$ that is close to the density $f$ of the unknown distribution from which we draw samples. The distance between $\mathcal{M}$ and $f$ is typically measured in the total variation or $L_1$-norm. We give an algorithm for learning a mixture of $k$ univariate Gaussians that is nearly optimal for any fixed $k$. The sample complexity of our algorithm is $\tilde{O}(\frac{k}{ε^2})$ and the running time is $(k \cdot \log\frac{1}ε)^{O(k^4)} + \tilde{O}(\frac{k}{ε^2})$. It is well-known that this sample complexity is optimal (up to logarithmic factors), and it was already achieved by prior work. However, the best known time complexity for proper learning a $k$-GMM was $\tilde{O}(\frac{1}{ε^{3k-1}})$. In particular, the dependence between $\frac{1}ε$ and $k$ was exponential. We significantly improve this dependence by replacing the $\frac{1}ε$ term with a $\log \frac{1}ε$ while only increasing the exponent moderately. Hence, for any fixed $k$, the $\tilde{O} (\frac{k}{ε^2})$ term dominates our running time, and thus our algorithm runs in time which is nearly-linear in the number of samples drawn. Achieving a running time of $\textrm{poly}(k, \frac{1}ε)$ for proper learning of $k$-GMMs has recently been stated as an open problem by multiple researchers, and we make progress on this question. Moreover, our approach offers an agnostic learning guarantee: our algorithm returns a good GMM even if the distribution we are sampling from is not a mixture of Gaussians. To the best of our knowledge, our algorithm is the first agnostic proper learning algorithm for GMMs.

preprint2015arXiv

Sample-Optimal Density Estimation in Nearly-Linear Time

We design a new, fast algorithm for agnostically learning univariate probability distributions whose densities are well approximated by piecewise polynomial functions. Let $f$ be the density function of an arbitrary univariate distribution, and suppose that $f$ is $\mathrm{OPT}$-close in $L_1$-distance to an unknown piecewise polynomial function with $t$ interval pieces and degree $d$. Our algorithm draws $n = O(t(d+1)/ε^2)$ samples from $f$, runs in time $\tilde{O}(n \cdot \mathrm{poly}(d))$, and with probability at least $9/10$ outputs an $O(t)$-piecewise degree-$d$ hypothesis $h$ that is $4 \cdot \mathrm{OPT} +ε$ close to $f$. Our general algorithm yields (nearly) sample-optimal and nearly-linear time estimators for a wide range of structured distribution families over both continuous and discrete domains in a unified way. For most of our applications, these are the first sample-optimal and nearly-linear time estimators in the literature. As a consequence, our work resolves the sample and computational complexities of a broad class of inference tasks via a single "meta-algorithm". Moreover, we experimentally demonstrate that our algorithm performs very well in practice. Our algorithm consists of three "levels": (i) At the top level, we employ an iterative greedy algorithm for finding a good partition of the real line into the pieces of a piecewise polynomial. (ii) For each piece, we show that the sub-problem of finding a good polynomial fit on the current interval can be solved efficiently with a separation oracle method. (iii) We reduce the task of finding a separating hyperplane to a combinatorial problem and give an efficient algorithm for this problem. Combining these three procedures gives a density estimation algorithm with the claimed guarantees.

preprint2014arXiv

On the Importance of Registers for Computability

All consensus hierarchies in the literature assume that we have, in addition to copies of a given object, an unbounded number of registers. But why do we really need these registers? This paper considers what would happen if one attempts to solve consensus using various objects but without any registers. We show that under a reasonable assumption, objects like queues and stacks cannot emulate the missing registers. We also show that, perhaps surprisingly, initialization, shown to have no computational consequences when registers are readily available, is crucial in determining the synchronization power of objects when no registers are allowed. Finally, we show that without registers, the number of available objects affects the level of consensus that can be solved. Our work thus raises the question of whether consensus hierarchies which assume an unbounded number of registers truly capture synchronization power, and begins a line of research aimed at better understanding the interaction between read-write memory and the powerful synchronization operations available on modern architectures.

preprint2013arXiv

Lower Bounds for Exact Model Counting and Applications in Probabilistic Databases

The best current methods for exactly computing the number of satisfying assignments, or the satisfying probability, of Boolean formulas can be seen, either directly or indirectly, as building 'decision-DNNF' (decision decomposable negation normal form) representations of the input Boolean formulas. Decision-DNNFs are a special case of 'd-DNNF's where 'd' stands for 'deterministic'. We show that any decision-DNNF can be converted into an equivalent 'FBDD' (free binary decision diagram) -- also known as a 'read-once branching program' (ROBP or 1-BP) -- with only a quasipolynomial increase in representation size in general, and with only a polynomial increase in size in the special case of monotone k-DNF formulas. Leveraging known exponential lower bounds for FBDDs, we then obtain similar exponential lower bounds for decision-DNNFs which provide lower bounds for the recent algorithms. We also separate the power of decision-DNNFs from d-DNNFs and a generalization of decision-DNNFs known as AND-FBDDs. Finally we show how these imply exponential lower bounds for natural problems associated with probabilistic databases.

preprint2013arXiv

Model Counting of Query Expressions: Limitations of Propositional Methods

Query evaluation in tuple-independent probabilistic databases is the problem of computing the probability of an answer to a query given independent probabilities of the individual tuples in a database instance. There are two main approaches to this problem: (1) in `grounded inference' one first obtains the lineage for the query and database instance as a Boolean formula, then performs weighted model counting on the lineage (i.e., computes the probability of the lineage given probabilities of its independent Boolean variables); (2) in methods known as `lifted inference' or `extensional query evaluation', one exploits the high-level structure of the query as a first-order formula. Although it is widely believed that lifted inference is strictly more powerful than grounded inference on the lineage alone, no formal separation has previously been shown for query evaluation. In this paper we show such a formal separation for the first time. We exhibit a class of queries for which model counting can be done in polynomial time using extensional query evaluation, whereas the algorithms used in state-of-the-art exact model counters on their lineages provably require exponential time. Our lower bounds on the running times of these exact model counters follow from new exponential size lower bounds on the kinds of d-DNNF representations of the lineages that these model counters (either explicitly or implicitly) produce. Though some of these queries have been studied before, no non-trivial lower bounds on the sizes of these representations for these queries were previously known.