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Dong Xia

Dong Xia contributes to research discovery and scholarly infrastructure.

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Published work

9 published item(s)

preprint2026arXiv

Prediction-powered Inference by Mixture of Experts

The rapidly expanding artificial intelligence (AI) industry has produced diverse yet powerful prediction tools, each with its own network architecture, training strategy, data-processing pipeline, and domain-specific strengths. These tools create new opportunities for semi-supervised inference, in which labeled data are limited and expensive to obtain, whereas unlabeled data are abundant and widely available. Given a collection of predictors, we treat them as a mixture of experts (MOE) and introduce an MOE-powered semi-supervised inference framework built upon prediction-powered inference (PPI). Motivated by the variance reduction principle underlying PPI, the proposed framework seeks the mixture of experts that achieves the smallest possible variance. Compared with standard PPI, the MOE-powered inference framework adapts to the unknown performance of individual predictors, benefits from their collective predictive power, and enjoys a best-expert guarantee. The framework is flexible and applies to mean estimation, linear regression, quantile estimation, and general M-estimation. We develop non-asymptotic theory for the MOE-powered inference framework and establish upper bounds on the coverage error of the resulting confidence intervals. Numerical experiments demonstrate the practical effectiveness of MOE-powered inference and corroborate our theoretical findings.

preprint2022arXiv

Generalized Low-rank plus Sparse Tensor Estimation by Fast Riemannian Optimization

We investigate a generalized framework to estimate a latent low-rank plus sparse tensor, where the low-rank tensor often captures the multi-way principal components and the sparse tensor accounts for potential model mis-specifications or heterogeneous signals that are unexplainable by the low-rank part. The framework is flexible covering both linear and non-linear models, and can easily handle continuous or categorical variables. We propose a fast algorithm by integrating the Riemannian gradient descent and a novel gradient pruning procedure. Under suitable conditions, the algorithm converges linearly and can simultaneously estimate both the low-rank and sparse tensors. The statistical error bounds of final estimates are established in terms of the gradient of loss function. The error bounds are generally sharp under specific statistical models, e.g., the robust tensor PCA and the community detection in hypergraph networks with outlier vertices. Moreover, our method achieves non-trivial error bounds for heavy-tailed tensor PCA whenever the noise has a finite $2+\varepsilon$ moment. We apply our method to analyze the international trade flow dataset and the statistician hypergraph co-authorship network, both yielding new and interesting findings.

preprint2022arXiv

Optimal Estimation and Computational Limit of Low-rank Gaussian Mixtures

Structural matrix-variate observations routinely arise in diverse fields such as multi-layer network analysis and brain image clustering. While data of this type have been extensively investigated with fruitful outcomes being delivered, the fundamental questions like its statistical optimality and computational limit are largely under-explored. In this paper, we propose a low-rank Gaussian mixture model (LrMM) assuming each matrix-valued observation has a planted low-rank structure. Minimax lower bounds for estimating the underlying low-rank matrix are established allowing a whole range of sample sizes and signal strength. Under a minimal condition on signal strength, referred to as the information-theoretical limit or statistical limit, we prove the minimax optimality of a maximum likelihood estimator which, in general, is computationally infeasible. If the signal is stronger than a certain threshold, called the computational limit, we design a computationally fast estimator based on spectral aggregation and demonstrate its minimax optimality. Moreover, when the signal strength is smaller than the computational limit, we provide evidences based on the low-degree likelihood ratio framework to claim that no polynomial-time algorithm can consistently recover the underlying low-rank matrix. Our results reveal multiple phase transitions in the minimax error rates and the statistical-to-computational gap. Numerical experiments confirm our theoretical findings. We further showcase the merit of our spectral aggregation method on the worldwide food trading dataset.

preprint2022arXiv

Provable Tensor-Train Format Tensor Completion by Riemannian Optimization

The tensor train (TT) format enjoys appealing advantages in handling structural high-order tensors. The recent decade has witnessed the wide applications of TT-format tensors from diverse disciplines, among which tensor completion has drawn considerable attention. Numerous fast algorithms, including the Riemannian gradient descent (RGrad), have been proposed for the TT-format tensor completion. However, the theoretical guarantees of these algorithms are largely missing or sub-optimal, partly due to the complicated and recursive algebraic operations in TT-format decomposition. Moreover, existing results established for the tensors of other formats, for example, Tucker and CP, are inapplicable because the algorithms treating TT-format tensors are substantially different and more involved. In this paper, we provide, to our best knowledge, the first theoretical guarantees of the convergence of RGrad algorithm for TT-format tensor completion, under a nearly optimal sample size condition. The RGrad algorithm converges linearly with a constant contraction rate that is free of tensor condition number without the necessity of re-conditioning. We also propose a novel approach, referred to as the sequential second-order moment method, to attain a warm initialization under a similar sample size requirement. As a byproduct, our result even significantly refines the prior investigation of RGrad algorithm for matrix completion. Lastly, statistically (near) optimal rate is derived for RGrad algorithm if the observed entries consist of random sub-Gaussian noise. Numerical experiments confirm our theoretical discovery and showcase the computational speedup gained by the TT-format decomposition.

preprint2020arXiv

Community Detection for Hypergraph Networks via Regularized Tensor Power Iteration

To date, social network analysis has been largely focused on pairwise interactions. The study of higher-order interactions, via a hypergraph network, brings in new insights. We study community detection in a hypergraph network. A popular approach is to project the hypergraph to a graph and then apply community detection methods for graph networks, but we show that this approach may cause unwanted information loss. We propose a new method for community detection that operates directly on the hypergraph. At the heart of our method is a regularized higher-order orthogonal iteration (reg-HOOI) algorithm that computes an approximate low-rank decomposition of the network adjacency tensor. Compared with existing tensor decomposition methods such as HOSVD and vanilla HOOI, reg-HOOI yields better performance, especially when the hypergraph is sparse. Given the output of tensor decomposition, we then generalize the community detection method SCORE (Jin, 2015) from graph networks to hypergraph networks. We call our new method Tensor-SCORE. In theory, we introduce a degree-corrected block model for hypergraphs (hDCBM), and show that Tensor-SCORE yields consistent community detection for a wide range of network sparsity and degree heterogeneity. As a byproduct, we derive the rates of convergence on estimating the principal subspace by reg-HOOI, with different initializations, including the two new initialization methods we propose, a diagonal-removed HOSVD and a randomized graph projection. We apply our method to several real hypergraph networks which yields encouraging results. It suggests that exploring higher-order interactions provides additional information not seen in graph representations.

preprint2020arXiv

Community Detection on Mixture Multi-layer Networks via Regularized Tensor Decomposition

We study the problem of community detection in multi-layer networks, where pairs of nodes can be related in multiple modalities. We introduce a general framework, i.e., mixture multi-layer stochastic block model (MMSBM), which includes many earlier models as special cases. We propose a tensor-based algorithm (TWIST) to reveal both global/local memberships of nodes, and memberships of layers. We show that the TWIST procedure can accurately detect the communities with small misclassification error as the number of nodes and/or the number of layers increases. Numerical studies confirm our theoretical findings. To our best knowledge, this is the first systematic study on the mixture multi-layer networks using tensor decomposition. The method is applied to two real datasets: worldwide trading networks and malaria parasite genes networks, yielding new and interesting findings.

preprint2020arXiv

Deterministic Zeckendorf Games

Zeckendorf proved that every positive integer can be written uniquely as the sum of non-adjacent Fibonacci numbers. We further explore a two-player Zeckendorf game introduced in Baird-Smith, Epstein, Flint, and Miller: Given a fixed integer $n$ and an initial decomposition of $n = nF_1$, players alternate using moves related to the recurrence relation $F_{n+1} = F_n + F_{n_1}$, and the last player to move wins. We improve the upper bound on the number of moves possible and show that it is of the same order in $n$ as the lower bound; this is an improvement by a logarithm over previous work. The new upper bound is $3n - 3Z(n) - IZ(n) + 1$, and the existing lower bound is sharp at $n - Z(n)$ moves, where $Z(n)$ is the number of terms in the Zeckendorf decomposition of $n$ and $IZ(n)$ is the sum of indices in the same Zeckendorf decomposition of $n$. We also studied four deterministic variants of the game, where there was a fixed order on which available move one takes: Combine Largest, Split Largest, Combine Smallest and Split Smallest. We prove that Combine Largest and Split Largest realize the lower bound. Split Smallest has the largest number of moves over all possible games, and is close to the new upper bound. For Combine Split games, the number of moves grows linearly with $n$.

preprint2020arXiv

Statistical Inferences of Linear Forms for Noisy Matrix Completion

We introduce a flexible framework for making inferences about general linear forms of a large matrix based on noisy observations of a subset of its entries. In particular, under mild regularity conditions, we develop a universal procedure to construct asymptotically normal estimators of its linear forms through double-sample debiasing and low-rank projection whenever an entry-wise consistent estimator of the matrix is available. These estimators allow us to subsequently construct confidence intervals for and test hypotheses about the linear forms. Our proposal was motivated by a careful perturbation analysis of the empirical singular spaces under the noisy matrix completion model which might be of independent interest. The practical merits of our proposed inference procedure are demonstrated on both simulated and real-world data examples.

preprint2020arXiv

Tensor SVD: Statistical and Computational Limits

In this paper, we propose a general framework for tensor singular value decomposition (tensor SVD), which focuses on the methodology and theory for extracting the hidden low-rank structure from high-dimensional tensor data. Comprehensive results are developed on both the statistical and computational limits for tensor SVD. This problem exhibits three different phases according to the signal-to-noise ratio (SNR). In particular, with strong SNR, we show that the classical higher-order orthogonal iteration achieves the minimax optimal rate of convergence in estimation; with weak SNR, the information-theoretical lower bound implies that it is impossible to have consistent estimation in general; with moderate SNR, we show that the non-convex maximum likelihood estimation provides optimal solution, but with NP-hard computational cost; moreover, under the hardness hypothesis of hypergraphic planted clique detection, there are no polynomial-time algorithms performing consistently in general.