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Debarghya Mukherjee

Debarghya Mukherjee contributes to research discovery and scholarly infrastructure.

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Machine Learning math.ST Methodology Applications Computer Vision physics.soc-ph Populations and Evolution Statistics Theory

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preprint2026arXiv

Adaptive Estimation and Inference in Semi-parametric Heterogeneous Clustered Multitask Learning via Neyman Orthogonality

We study clustered multitask learning in a semiparametric setting where tasks share a latent cluster structure in their target parameters but exhibit heterogeneous, potentially infinite-dimensional nuisance components. Such heterogeneity poses a major challenge for existing multitask learning methods, which typically rely on aligned feature spaces or homogeneous task structures. To address this challenge, we propose an adaptive fused orthogonal estimator that integrates Neyman-orthogonal losses with data-driven pairwise fusion penalties. Our framework leverages task-specific pilot estimates to calibrate the fusion penalties and combines adaptive aggregation with orthogonalization to mitigate the impact of nuisance-parameter estimation error. Theoretically, we show that the proposed estimator achieves exact recovery of the latent clustering with high probability and attains pooled parametric convergence rates proportional to cluster size. Moreover, we establish asymptotic normality and show that, asymptotically, our estimator matches the performance of an oracle procedure that knows the true clustering in advance. Empirically, we show that the proposed method consistently outperforms strong baselines in various simulation setups. A real-world application to U.S. residential energy consumption demonstrates the effectiveness of our approach in uncovering meaningful regional clustering in electricity price elasticity, showcasing the efficacy of our method.

preprint2026arXiv

Self-Distillation is Optimal Among Spectral Shrinkage Estimators in Spiked Covariance Models

Self-distillation has emerged as a promising technique for improving model performance in modern machine learning systems. We develop the statistical foundations of self-distillation in spiked covariance models, by introducing and analyzing a broad class of estimators, namely spectral shrinkage estimators. We establish that for spiked covariance matrices with $s$ spikes, $s$-step self-distillation achieves optimal performance among spectral shrinkage estimators, outperforming well-known estimators in statistics and machine learning. Moreover, we show that $s$ steps are necessary for optimality: any $(s-k)$-step distilled estimator is strictly suboptimal for $1 \leq k \leq s$. For the special subclass of isotropic covariances, we show that optimally tuned Ridge regression performs best among spectral shrinkage estimators. We also study a federated approach where multiple data centers share spectral shrinkage estimators and a common server seeks to aggregate them to achieve optimal performance. In this case, we find that the best local rule again takes the form of self-distillation, though it differs from the optimal rule when data are hosted centrally on a single server. Together, our results elucidate why self-distillation improves predictive performance and provide a broader statistical framework connecting it with classical shrinkage-based methods.

preprint2026arXiv

Towards General Preference Alignment: Diffusion Models at Nash Equilibrium

Reinforcement learning from human feedback (RLHF) has been popular for aligning text-to-image (T2I) diffusion models with human preferences. As a mainstream branch of RLHF, Direct Preference Optimization (DPO) offers a computationally efficient alternative that avoids explicit reward modeling and has been widely adopted in diffusion alignment. However, existing preference-based methods for diffusion alignment still rely on reward-induced preference signals and typically assume that human preferences can be adequately modeled by the Bradley--Terry (BT) model, which may fail to capture the full complexity of human preferences. In this paper, we formulate diffusion alignment from a game-theoretic perspective. We propose Diffusion Nash Preference Optimization (Diff.-NPO), an intuitive general preference framework for diffusion alignment. Diff.-NPO encourages the current policy to play against itself to achieve self improvement and lead to a better alignment. Empirically, we demonstrate the effectiveness of Diff.-NPO on the text-to-image generation task via various metrics. Diff.-NPO consistently outperforms existing preference-based diffusion alignment methods.

preprint2020arXiv

Markovian And Non-Markovian Processes with Active Decision Making Strategies For Addressing The COVID-19 Pandemic

We study and predict the evolution of Covid-19 in six US states from the period May 1 through August 31 using a discrete compartment-based model and prescribe active intervention policies, like lockdowns, on the basis of minimizing a loss function, within the broad framework of partially observed Markov decision processes. For each state, Covid-19 data for 40 days (starting from May 1 for two northern states and June 1 for four southern states) are analyzed to estimate the transition probabilities between compartments and other parameters associated with the evolution of the epidemic. These quantities are then used to predict the course of the epidemic in the given state for the next 50 days (test period) under various policy allocations, leading to different values of the loss function over the training horizon. The optimal policy allocation is the one corresponding to the smallest loss. Our analysis shows that none of the six states need lockdowns over the test period, though the no lockdown prescription is to be interpreted with caution: responsible mask use and social distancing of course need to be continued. The caveats involved in modeling epidemic propagation of this sort are discussed at length. A sketch of a non-Markovian formulation of Covid-19 propagation (and more general epidemic propagation) is presented as an attractive avenue for future research in this area.

preprint2020arXiv

Optimal Linear Discriminators For The Discrete Choice Model In Growing Dimensions

Manski's celebrated maximum score estimator for the discrete choice model, which is an optimal linear discriminator, has been the focus of much investigation in both the econometrics and statistics literatures, but its behavior under growing dimension scenarios largely remains unknown. This paper addresses that gap. Two different cases are considered: $p$ grows with $n$ but at a slow rate, i.e. $p/n \rightarrow 0$; and $p \gg n$ (fast growth). In the binary response model, we recast Manski's score estimation as empirical risk minimization for a classification problem, and derive the $\ell_2$ rate of convergence of the score estimator under a \emph{transition condition} in terms of our margin parameter that calibrates the level of difficulty of the estimation problem. We also establish upper and lower bounds for the minimax $\ell_2$ error in the binary choice model that differ by a logarithmic factor, and construct a minimax-optimal estimator in the slow growth regime. Some extensions to the general case -- the multinomial response model -- are also considered. Last but not least, we use a variety of learning algorithms to compute the maximum score estimator in growing dimensions.

preprint2020arXiv

Two Simple Ways to Learn Individual Fairness Metrics from Data

Individual fairness is an intuitive definition of algorithmic fairness that addresses some of the drawbacks of group fairness. Despite its benefits, it depends on a task specific fair metric that encodes our intuition of what is fair and unfair for the ML task at hand, and the lack of a widely accepted fair metric for many ML tasks is the main barrier to broader adoption of individual fairness. In this paper, we present two simple ways to learn fair metrics from a variety of data types. We show empirically that fair training with the learned metrics leads to improved fairness on three machine learning tasks susceptible to gender and racial biases. We also provide theoretical guarantees on the statistical performance of both approaches.

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