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Ashia C. Wilson

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Machine Learning math.OC math.ST Methodology Statistics Theory

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preprint2026arXiv

Near-Optimal Private Linear Regression via Iterative Hessian Mixing

We study differentially private ordinary least squares (DP-OLS) with bounded data. The dominant approach, adaptive sufficient-statistics perturbation (AdaSSP), adds an adaptively chosen perturbation to the sufficient statistics, namely, the matrix $X^{\top}X$ and the vector $X^{\top}Y$, and is known to achieve near-optimal accuracy and to have strong empirical performance. In contrast, methods that rely on Gaussian-sketching, which ensure differential privacy by pre-multiplying the data with a random Gaussian matrix, are widely used in federated and distributed regression, yet remain relatively uncommon for DP-OLS. In this work, we introduce the iterative Hessian mixing, a novel DP-OLS algorithm that relies on Gaussian sketches and is inspired by the iterative Hessian sketch algorithm. We provide utility analysis for the iterative Hessian mixing as well as a new analysis for the previous methods that rely on Gaussian sketches. Then, we show that our new approach circumvents the intrinsic limitations of the prior methods and provides non-trivial improvements over AdaSSP. We conclude by running an extensive set of experiments across standard benchmarks to demonstrate further that our approach consistently outperforms these prior baselines.

preprint2026arXiv

Pandora's Regret: A Proper Scoring Rule for Evaluating Sequential Search

In sequential search, alternatives are tested until the true class is found. Standard proper scoring rules like log loss are local, ignoring the ranking of competitors and misaligning model evaluation with search utility. We show that sequential search induces a pairwise structure that overcomes this. By analyzing the expected cost of optimal search under varying testing costs, we derive Pandora's Regret: a closed-form, pairwise-additive, and strictly proper scoring rule. Pandora's Regret both elicits true probabilities and penalizes rank-reversing miscalibrations where distractors outrank the true class. Our construction yields a one-parameter Beta family that balances penalties for rank-swapping versus probability magnitude, while retaining a grounded interpretation as expected search cost. We prove that log loss, accuracy, and macro-F1 rely on implicit decision models misaligned with sequential search. Across 597 MedMNIST models, Pandora-based metrics better predict clinical diagnostic costs than standard alternatives, extending decision-theoretic scoring rule construction to the multiclass setting.

preprint2016arXiv

A Variational Perspective on Accelerated Methods in Optimization

Accelerated gradient methods play a central role in optimization, achieving optimal rates in many settings. While many generalizations and extensions of Nesterov's original acceleration method have been proposed, it is not yet clear what is the natural scope of the acceleration concept. In this paper, we study accelerated methods from a continuous-time perspective. We show that there is a Lagrangian functional that we call the \emph{Bregman Lagrangian} which generates a large class of accelerated methods in continuous time, including (but not limited to) accelerated gradient descent, its non-Euclidean extension, and accelerated higher-order gradient methods. We show that the continuous-time limit of all of these methods correspond to traveling the same curve in spacetime at different speeds. From this perspective, Nesterov's technique and many of its generalizations can be viewed as a systematic way to go from the continuous-time curves generated by the Bregman Lagrangian to a family of discrete-time accelerated algorithms.

preprint2016arXiv

Posteriors, conjugacy, and exponential families for completely random measures

We demonstrate how to calculate posteriors for general CRM-based priors and likelihoods for Bayesian nonparametric models. We further show how to represent Bayesian nonparametric priors as a sequence of finite draws using a size-biasing approach---and how to represent full Bayesian nonparametric models via finite marginals. Motivated by conjugate priors based on exponential family representations of likelihoods, we introduce a notion of exponential families for CRMs, which we call exponential CRMs. This construction allows us to specify automatic Bayesian nonparametric conjugate priors for exponential CRM likelihoods. We demonstrate that our exponential CRMs allow particularly straightforward recipes for size-biased and marginal representations of Bayesian nonparametric models. Along the way, we prove that the gamma process is a conjugate prior for the Poisson likelihood process and the beta prime process is a conjugate prior for a process we call the odds Bernoulli process. We deliver a size-biased representation of the gamma process and a marginal representation of the gamma process coupled with a Poisson likelihood process.

preprint2015arXiv

On Accelerated Methods in Optimization

In convex optimization, there is an {\em acceleration} phenomenon in which we can boost the convergence rate of certain gradient-based algorithms. We can observe this phenomenon in Nesterov's accelerated gradient descent, accelerated mirror descent, and accelerated cubic-regularized Newton's method, among others. In this paper, we show that the family of higher-order gradient methods in discrete time (generalizing gradient descent) corresponds to a family of first-order rescaled gradient flows in continuous time. On the other hand, the family of {\em accelerated} higher-order gradient methods (generalizing accelerated mirror descent) corresponds to a family of second-order differential equations in continuous time, each of which is the Euler-Lagrange equation of a family of Lagrangian functionals. We also study the exponential variant of the Nesterov Lagrangian, which corresponds to a generalization of Nesterov's restart scheme and achieves a linear rate of convergence in discrete time. Finally, we show that the family of Lagrangians is closed under time dilation (an orbit under the action of speeding up time), which demonstrates the universality of this Lagrangian view of acceleration in optimization.

preprint2013arXiv

Streaming Variational Bayes

We present SDA-Bayes, a framework for (S)treaming, (D)istributed, (A)synchronous computation of a Bayesian posterior. The framework makes streaming updates to the estimated posterior according to a user-specified approximation batch primitive. We demonstrate the usefulness of our framework, with variational Bayes (VB) as the primitive, by fitting the latent Dirichlet allocation model to two large-scale document collections. We demonstrate the advantages of our algorithm over stochastic variational inference (SVI) by comparing the two after a single pass through a known amount of data---a case where SVI may be applied---and in the streaming setting, where SVI does not apply.