Probability inequalities and tail estimates for metric semigroups

We study probability inequalities leading to tail estimates in a general semigroup $\mathscr{G}$ with a translation-invariant metric $d_{\mathscr{G}}$. (An important and central example of this in the functional analysis literature is that of $\mathscr{G}$ a Banach space.) Using our prior work [Ann. Prob. 2017] that extends the Hoffmann-Jorgensen inequality to all metric semigroups, we obtain tail estimates and approximate bounds for sums of independent semigroup-valued random variables, their moments, and decreasing rearrangements. In particular, we obtain the "correct" universal constants in several cases, extending results in the Banach space literature by Johnson-Schechtman-Zinn [Ann. Prob. 1985], Hitczenko [Ann. Prob. 1994], and Hitczenko and Montgomery-Smith [Ann. Prob. 2001]. Our results also hold more generally, in a very primitive mathematical framework required to state them: metric semigroups $\mathscr{G}$. This includes all compact, discrete, or (connected) abelian Lie groups.

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