Phase transition of social learning collectives and "Echo chamber"

preprint2016arXivOpen access

Abstract

An "Echo chamber" is the state of social learning agents whose performances are deteriorated by excessive observation of others. We understand this to be the collective behavior of agents in a restless multi-armed bandit. The bandit has MM good levers and bad levers. A good lever changes to a bad one randomly with probability qCq_{C} and a new good lever appears. NN agents exploit ones' lever if they know that it is a good one. Otherwise, they search for a good one by (i) random search (success probability qIq_{I}) and (ii) observe a good lever that is known by other agents (success probability qOq_{O}) with probability 1−p1-p and pp, respectively. The distribution of agents in good levers obeys the Yule distribution with power law exponent 1+γ1+γ in the limit N,M→∞N,M\to \infty and γ=1+(1−p)qIpqOγ=1+\frac{(1-p)q_{I}}{pq_{O}}. The expected value of the number of the agents with a good lever N1N_{1} increases with pp. The system shows a phase transition at pc=qIqI+qop_{c}=\frac{q_{I}}{q_{I}+q_{o}}. For p<pc (>pc)p<p_{c}\,(>p_{c}), the variance of N1N_{1} per agent $\mbox{Var}(N_{1})/N$ is finite (diverges as ∝N2−γ\propto N^{2-γ} with NN). There is a threshold value NsN_{s} for the system size that scales as ln⁡Ns∝1/(γ−1)\ln N_{s} \propto 1/(γ-1). For p>pcp>p_{c} and N<NsN<N_{s}, all agents tend to share only one good lever. $\mbox{E}(N_{1})$ decreases to zero as p→1p\to 1, which is referred to as the "Echo chamber".

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