On the edge eigenvalues of the precision matrices of nonstationary autoregressive processes

preprint2024arXivOpen access

Abstract

This paper investigates structural changes in the parameters of first-order autoregressive models by analyzing the edge eigenvalues of the precision matrices. Specifically, edge eigenvalues in the precision matrix are observed if and only if there is a structural change in the autoregressive coefficients. We show that these edge eigenvalues correspond to the zeros of a determinantal equation. Additionally, we propose a consistent estimator for detecting outliers within the panel time series framework, supported by numerical experiments.

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