On Improved Loss Estimation for Shrinkage Estimators

preprint2012arXivOpen access

Abstract

Let XX be a random vector with distribution PθP_θ where θθ is an unknown parameter. When estimating θθ by some estimator φ(X)φ(X) under a loss function L(θ,φ)L(θ,φ), classical decision theory advocates that such a decision rule should be used if it has suitable properties with respect to the frequentist risk R(θ,φ)R(θ,φ). However, after having observed X=xX=x, instances arise in practice in which φφ is to be accompanied by an assessment of its loss, L(θ,φ(x))L(θ,φ(x)), which is unobservable since θθ is unknown. A common approach to this assessment is to consider estimation of L(θ,φ(x))L(θ,φ(x)) by an estimator δδ, called a loss estimator. We present an expository development of loss estimation with substantial emphasis on the setting where the distributional context is normal and its extension to the case where the underlying distribution is spherically symmetric. Our overview covers improved loss estimators for least squares but primarily focuses on shrinkage estimators. Bayes estimation is also considered and comparisons are made with unbiased estimation.

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