Abstract

In this paper, we introduce and examine a fractional linear birth--death process Nν(t)N_ν(t), t>0t>0, whose fractionality is obtained by replacing the time derivative with a fractional derivative in the system of difference-differential equations governing the state probabilities pkν(t)p_k^ν(t), t>0t>0, k≥0k\geq0. We present a subordination relationship connecting Nν(t)N_ν(t), t>0t>0, with the classical birth--death process N(t)N(t), t>0t>0, by means of the time process T2ν(t)T_{2ν}(t), t>0t>0, whose distribution is related to a time-fractional diffusion equation. We obtain explicit formulas for the extinction probability p0ν(t)p_0^ν(t) and the state probabilities pkν(t)p_k^ν(t), t>0t>0, k≥1k\geq1, in the three relevant cases λ>μλ>μ, λ<μλ<μ, λ=μλ=μ (where λλ and μμ are, respectively, the birth and death rates) and discuss their behaviour in specific situations. We highlight the connection of the fractional linear birth--death process with the fractional pure birth process. Finally, the mean values ENν(t)\mathbb{E}N_ν(t) and Var⁡Nν(t)\operatorname {\mathbb{V}ar}N_ν(t) are derived and analyzed.

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