Maximum Likelihood Estimation for Totally Positive Log-Concave Densities

preprint2020arXivOpen access

Abstract

We study nonparametric maximum likelihood estimation for two classes of multivariate distributions that imply strong forms of positive dependence; namely log-supermodular (MTP2_2) distributions and log-L#L^\#-concave (LLC) distributions. In both cases we also assume log-concavity in order to ensure boundedness of the likelihood function. Given nn independent and identically distributed random vectors in Rd\mathbb R^d from one of our distributions, the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) exists a.s. and is unique a.e. with probability one when n≥3n\geq 3. This holds independently of the ambient dimension dd. We conjecture that the MLE is always the exponential of a tent function. We prove this result for samples in {0,1}d\{0,1\}^d or in R2\mathbb{R}^2 under MTP2_2, and for samples in Qd\mathbb{Q}^d under LLC. Finally, we provide a conditional gradient algorithm for computing the maximum likelihood estimate.

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