Abstract

Local H0H_0 determinations currently fall in a window between H0∼70H_0 \sim 70 km/s/Mpc (TRGB) and H0∼76H_0 \sim 76 km/s/Mpc (Tully-Fisher). In contrast, BAO data calibrated in an early ΛΛCDM universe are largely consistent with Planck-ΛΛCDM, H0∼67.5H_0 \sim 67.5 km/s/Mpc. Employing a generic two parameter family of evolving equations of state (EoS) for dark energy (DE) wDE(z)w_{\textrm{DE}}(z) and mock BAO data, we demonstrate that if i) wDE(z=0)<−1w_{\textrm{DE}}(z=0) < -1 and ii) integrated DE density less than ΛΛCDM, then H0H_0 increases. EoS that violate these conditions at best lead to modest H0H_0 increases within 1σ1 σ. Tellingly, Quintessence and K-essence satisfy neither condition, whereas coupled Quintessence can only satisfy ii). Beyond these seminal DE Effective Field Theories (EFTs), we turn to explicit examples. Working model agnostically in an expansion in powers of redshift zz, we show that Brans-Dicke/f(R)f(R) and Kinetic Gravity Braiding models within the Horndeski class can lead to marginal and modest increases in H0H_0, respectively. We confirm that as far as increasing H0H_0 is concerned, no DE EFT model can outperform the phenomenological two parameter family of the DE models. Evidently, the late universe may no longer be large enough to accommodate H0H_0, BAO and DE described by EFT.

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