Consistent estimation of distribution functions under increasing concave and convex stochastic ordering

A random variable $Y_1$ is said to be smaller than $Y_2$ in the increasing concave stochastic order if $\mathbb{E}[ϕ(Y_1)] \leq \mathbb{E}[ϕ(Y_2)]$ for all increasing concave functions $ϕ$ for which the expected values exist, and smaller than $Y_2$ in the increasing convex order if $\mathbb{E}[ψ(Y_1)] \leq \mathbb{E}[ψ(Y_2)]$ for all increasing convex $ψ$. This article develops nonparametric estimators for the conditional cumulative distribution functions $F_x(y) = \mathbb{P}(Y \leq y \mid X = x)$ of a response variable $Y$ given a covariate $X$, solely under the assumption that the conditional distributions are increasing in $x$ in the increasing concave or increasing convex order. Uniform consistency and rates of convergence are established both for the $K$-sample case $X \in \{1, \dots, K\}$ and for continuously distributed $X$.

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