Adaptive and minimax optimal estimation of the tail coefficient

preprint2014arXivOpen access

Abstract

We consider the problem of estimating the tail index αα of a distribution satisfying a (α,β)(α, β) second-order Pareto-type condition, where βis the second-order coefficient. When ββ is available, it was previously proved that αα can be estimated with the oracle rate n−β/(2β+1)n^{-β/(2β+1)}. On the contrary, when ββ is not available, estimating αα with the oracle rate is challenging; so additional assumptions that imply the estimability of ββ are usually made. In this paper, we propose an adaptive estimator of αα, and show that this estimator attains the rate (n/log⁡log⁡n)−β/(2β+1)(n/\log\log n)^{-β/(2β+1)} without a priori knowledge of ββ and any additional assumptions. Moreover, we prove that this (log⁡log⁡n)β/(2β+1)(\log\log n)^{β/(2β+1)} factor is unavoidable by obtaining the companion lower bound.

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