A nonlinear model for long memory conditional heteroscedasticity

preprint2015arXivOpen access

Abstract

We discuss a class of conditionally heteroscedastic time series models satisfying the equation rt=ζtσtr_t= ζ_t σ_t, where ζtζ_t are standardized i.i.d. r.v.'s and the conditional standard deviation σtσ_t is a nonlinear function QQ of inhomogeneous linear combination of past values rs,s<tr_s, s<t with coefficients bjb_j. The existence of stationary solution rtr_t with finite ppth moment, 0<p<∞0< p < \infty is obtained under some conditions on Q,bjQ, b_j and ppth moment of ζ0ζ_0. Weak dependence properties of rtr_t are studied, including the invariance principle for partial sums of Lipschitz functions of rtr_t. In the case of quadratic Q2Q^2, we prove that rtr_t can exhibit a leverage effect and long memory, in the sense that the squared process rt2r^2_t has long memory autocorrelation and its normalized partial sums process converges to a fractional Brownian motion.

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