A design criterion for symmetric model discrimination based on nominal confidence sets

Experimental design applications for discriminating between models have been hampered by the assumption to know beforehand which model is the true one, which is counter to the very aim of the experiment. Previous approaches to alleviate this requirement were either symmetrizations of asymmetric techniques, or Bayesian, minimax and sequential approaches. Here we present a genuinely symmetric criterion based on a linearized distance between mean-value surfaces and the newly introduced tool of flexible nominal confidence sets. We demonstrate the computational efficiency of the approach using the proposed criterion and provide a Monte-Carlo evaluation of its discrimination performance on the basis of the likelihood ratio. An application for a pair of competing models in enzyme kinetics is given.

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