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On Individual Risk

We survey a variety of possible explications of the term "Individual Risk." These in turn are based on a variety of interpretations of "Probability," including Classical, Enumerative, Frequency, Formal, Metaphysical, Personal, Propensity, Chance and Logical conceptions of Probability, which we review and compare. We distinguish between "groupist" and "individualist" understandings of Probability, and explore both "group to individual" (G2i) and "individual to group" (i2G) approaches to characterising Individual Risk. Although in the end that concept remains subtle and elusive, some pragmatic suggestions for progress are made.

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AuthorshipTopic signalTopic signalTopic signalWOn Individual Riskpreprint / 2014AA. Philip DawidResearcherTApplications3567 worksTmath.ST3384 worksTStatistics Theory3281 works
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On Individual Risk

preprint / 2014

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