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Researcher profile

Vadim Indelman

Vadim Indelman contributes to research discovery and scholarly infrastructure.

ResearcherAffiliation not importedOpen to collaborate
Artificial IntelligenceRoboticsMachine LearningComputational Complexityeess.SYInformation Theorymath.ITSystems and Control

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Published work

11 published item(s)

preprint2026arXiv

Finite-Time Analysis of MCTS in Continuous POMDP Planning

This paper presents a finite-time analysis for Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS) in Partially Observable Markov Decision Processes (POMDPs), with probabilistic concentration bounds in both discrete and continuous observation spaces. While MCTS-style solvers such as POMCP achieve empirical success in many applications, rigorous finite-time guarantees remain an open problem due to the nonstationarity and the interdependencies induced by heuristic action selection (e.g., UCB). In the discrete setting, we address these challenges by extending the polynomial exploration bonus to UCB in POMDP setting, yielding polynomial concentration bounds for the empirical value estimation at the root node. For continuous observation spaces, we introduce an abstract partitioning framework and propose a finite-time bound on partitioning loss. Under mild conditions, we prove highprobability bound on value estimates in POMDPs with continuous observation space. Specifically, we propose Voro-POMCPOW, a variant of POMCPOW with f inite-time guarantees that adaptively partitions the continuous observation space using Voronoi cells. This approach maintains a finite branching factor while preserving the original observation generator. Empirical validation demonstrates that the proposed Voro-POMCPOW shows competitive performance while providing theoretical guarantees. Although our analysis focuses on continuous POMDPs, the techniques developed herein are also applicable to continuous MDPs, closing another gap on the MDP side.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2022arXiv

Adaptive Information Belief Space Planning

Reasoning about uncertainty is vital in many real-life autonomous systems. However, current state-of-the-art planning algorithms cannot either reason about uncertainty explicitly, or do so with a high computational burden. Here, we focus on making informed decisions efficiently, using reward functions that explicitly deal with uncertainty. We formulate an approximation, namely an abstract observation model, that uses an aggregation scheme to alleviate computational costs. We derive bounds on the expected information-theoretic reward function and, as a consequence, on the value function. We then propose a method to refine aggregation to achieve identical action selection with a fraction of the computational time.

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preprint2022arXiv

D2A-BSP: Distilled Data Association Belief Space Planning with Performance Guarantees Under Budget Constraints

Unresolved data association in ambiguous and perceptually aliased environments leads to multi-modal hypotheses on both the robot's and the environment state. To avoid catastrophic results, when operating in such ambiguous environments, it is crucial to reason about data association within Belief Space Planning (BSP). However, explicitly considering all possible data associations, the number of hypotheses grows exponentially with the planning horizon and determining the optimal action sequence quickly becomes intractable. Moreover, with hard budget constraints where some non-negligible hypotheses must be pruned, achieving performance guarantees is crucial. In this work we present a computationally efficient novel approach that utilizes only a distilled subset of hypotheses to solve BSP problems while reasoning about data association. Furthermore, to provide performance guarantees, we derive error bounds with respect to the optimal solution. We then demonstrate our approach in an extremely aliased environment, where we manage to significantly reduce computation time without compromising on the quality of the solution.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2022arXiv

Hybrid Belief Pruning with Guarantees for Viewpoint-Dependent Semantic SLAM

Semantic simultaneous localization and mapping is a subject of increasing interest in robotics and AI that directly influences the autonomous vehicles industry, the army industries, and more. One of the challenges in this field is to obtain object classification jointly with robot trajectory estimation. Considering view-dependent semantic measurements, there is a coupling between different classes, resulting in a combinatorial number of hypotheses. A common solution is to prune hypotheses that have a sufficiently low probability and to retain only a limited number of hypotheses. However, after pruning and renormalization, the updated probability is overconfident with respect to the original probability. This is especially problematic for systems that require high accuracy. If the prior probability of the classes is independent, the original normalization factor can be computed efficiently without pruning hypotheses. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first work to present these results. If the prior probability of the classes is dependent, we propose a lower bound on the normalization factor that ensures cautious results. The bound is calculated incrementally and with similar efficiency as in the independent case. After pruning and updating based on the bound, this belief is shown empirically to be close to the original belief.

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preprint2022arXiv

Nonmyopic Distilled Data Association Belief Space Planning Under Budget Constraints

Autonomous agents operating in perceptually aliased environments should ideally be able to solve the data association problem. Yet, planning for future actions while considering this problem is not trivial. State of the art approaches therefore use multi-modal hypotheses to represent the states of the agent and of the environment. However, explicitly considering all possible data associations, the number of hypotheses grows exponentially with the planning horizon. As such, the corresponding Belief Space Planning problem quickly becomes unsolvable. Moreover, under hard computational budget constraints, some non-negligible hypotheses must eventually be pruned in both planning and inference. Nevertheless, the two processes are generally treated separately and the effect of budget constraints in one process over the other was barely studied. We present a computationally efficient method to solve the nonmyopic Belief Space Planning problem while reasoning about data association. Moreover, we rigorously analyze the effects of budget constraints in both inference and planning.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2022arXiv

Simplified decision making in the belief space using belief sparsification

In this work, we introduce a new and efficient solution approach for the problem of decision making under uncertainty, which can be formulated as decision making in a belief space, over a possibly high-dimensional state space. Typically, to solve a decision problem, one should identify the optimal action from a set of candidates, according to some objective. We claim that one can often generate and solve an analogous yet simplified decision problem, which can be solved more efficiently. A wise simplification method can lead to the same action selection, or one for which the maximal loss in optimality can be guaranteed. Furthermore, such simplification is separated from the state inference and does not compromise its accuracy, as the selected action would finally be applied on the original state. First, we present the concept for general decision problems and provide a theoretical framework for a coherent formulation of the approach. We then practically apply these ideas to decision problems in the belief space, which can be simplified by considering a sparse approximation of their initial belief. The scalable belief sparsification algorithm we provide is able to yield solutions which are guaranteed to be consistent with the original problem. We demonstrate the benefits of the approach in the solution of a realistic active-SLAM problem and manage to significantly reduce computation time, with no loss in the quality of solution. This work is both fundamental and practical, and holds numerous possible extensions.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2021arXiv

Bayesian Incremental Inference Update by Re-using Calculations from Belief Space Planning: A New Paradigm

Inference and decision making under uncertainty are key processes in every autonomous system and numerous robotic problems. In recent years, the similarities between inference and decision making triggered much work, from developing unified computational frameworks to pondering about the duality between the two. In spite of these efforts, inference and control, as well as inference and belief space planning (BSP) are still treated as two separate processes. In this paper we propose a paradigm shift, a novel approach which deviates from conventional Bayesian inference and utilizes the similarities between inference and BSP. We make the key observation that inference can be efficiently updated using predictions made during the decision making stage, even in light of inconsistent data association between the two. We developed a two staged process that implements our novel approach and updates inference using calculations from the precursory planning phase. Using autonomous navigation in an unknown environment along with iSAM2 efficient methodologies as a test case, we benchmarked our novel approach against standard Bayesian inference, both with synthetic and real-world data (KITTI dataset). Results indicate that not only our approach improves running time by at least a factor of two while providing the same estimation accuracy, but it also alleviates the computational burden of state dimensionality and loop closures.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2021arXiv

General Probabilistic Surface Optimization and Log Density Estimation

In this paper we contribute a novel algorithm family, which generalizes many unsupervised techniques including unnormalized and energy models, and allows us to infer different statistical modalities (e.g. data likelihood and ratio between densities) from data samples. The proposed unsupervised technique, named Probabilistic Surface Optimization (PSO), views a model as a flexible surface which can be pushed according to loss-specific virtual stochastic forces, where a dynamical equilibrium is achieved when the pointwise forces on the surface become equal. Concretely, the surface is pushed up and down at points sampled from two different distributions. The averaged up and down forces become functions of these two distribution densities and of force magnitudes defined by the loss of a particular PSO instance. Upon convergence, the force equilibrium imposes an optimized model to be equal to various statistical functions depending on the used magnitude functions. Furthermore, this dynamical-statistical equilibrium is extremely intuitive and useful, providing many implications and possible usages in probabilistic inference. We connect PSO to numerous existing statistical works which are also PSO instances, and derive new PSO-based inference methods as demonstration of PSO exceptional usability. Likewise, based on the insights coming from the virtual-force perspective we analyze PSO stability and propose new ways to improve it. Finally, we present new instances of PSO, termed PSO-LDE, for data log-density estimation and also provide a new NN block-diagonal architecture for increased surface flexibility, which significantly improves estimation accuracy. Both PSO-LDE and the new architecture are combined together as a new density estimation technique. In our experiments we demonstrate this technique to be superior over state-of-the-art baselines in density estimation task for multimodal 20D data.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2021arXiv

iX-BSP: Incremental Belief Space Planning

Deciding what's next? is a fundamental problem in robotics and Artificial Intelligence. Under belief space planning (BSP), in a partially observable setting, it involves calculating the expected accumulated belief-dependent reward, where the expectation is with respect to all future measurements. Since solving this general un-approximated problem quickly becomes intractable, state of the art approaches turn to approximations while still calculating planning sessions from scratch. In this work we propose a novel paradigm, Incremental BSP (iX-BSP), based on the key insight that calculations across planning sessions are similar in nature and can be appropriately re-used. We calculate the expectation incrementally by utilizing Multiple Importance Sampling techniques for selective re-sampling and re-use of measurement from previous planning sessions. The formulation of our approach considers general distributions and accounts for data association aspects. We demonstrate how iX-BSP could benefit existing approximations of the general problem, introducing iML-BSP, which re-uses calculations across planning sessions under the common Maximum Likelihood assumption. We evaluate both methods and demonstrate a substantial reduction in computation time while statistically preserving accuracy. The evaluation includes both simulation and real-world experiments considering autonomous vision-based navigation and SLAM. As a further contribution, we introduce to iX-BSP the non-integral wildfire approximation, allowing one to trade accuracy for computational performance by averting from updating re-used beliefs when they are "close enough". We evaluate iX-BSP under wildfire demonstrating a substantial reduction in computation time while controlling the accuracy sacrifice. We also provide analytical and empirical bounds of the effect wildfire holds over the objective value.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2020arXiv

Distributed Consistent Multi-Robot Semantic Localization and Mapping

We present an approach for multi-robot consistent distributed localization and semantic mapping in an unknown environment, considering scenarios with classification ambiguity, where objects' visual appearance generally varies with viewpoint. Our approach addresses such a setting by maintaining a distributed posterior hybrid belief over continuous localization and discrete classification variables. In particular, we utilize a viewpoint-dependent classifier model to leverage the coupling between semantics and geometry. Moreover, our approach yields a consistent estimation of both continuous and discrete variables, with the latter being addressed for the first time, to the best of our knowledge. We evaluate the performance of our approach in a multi-robot semantic SLAM simulation and in a real-world experiment, demonstrating an increase in both classification and localization accuracy compared to maintaining a hybrid belief using local information only.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2020arXiv

Neural Spectrum Alignment: Empirical Study

Expressiveness and generalization of deep models was recently addressed via the connection between neural networks (NNs) and kernel learning, where first-order dynamics of NN during a gradient-descent (GD) optimization were related to gradient similarity kernel, also known as Neural Tangent Kernel (NTK). In the majority of works this kernel is considered to be time-invariant, with its properties being defined entirely by NN architecture and independent of the learning task at hand. In contrast, in this paper we empirically explore these properties along the optimization and show that in practical applications the NTK changes in a very dramatic and meaningful way, with its top eigenfunctions aligning toward the target function learned by NN. Moreover, these top eigenfunctions serve as basis functions for NN output - a function represented by NN is spanned almost completely by them for the entire optimization process. Further, since the learning along top eigenfunctions is typically fast, their alignment with the target function improves the overall optimization performance. In addition, we study how the neural spectrum is affected by learning rate decay, typically done by practitioners, showing various trends in the kernel behavior. We argue that the presented phenomena may lead to a more complete theoretical understanding behind NN learning.

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