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Shandian Zhe

Shandian Zhe contributes to research discovery and scholarly infrastructure.

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Machine Learning physics.comp-ph Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science Computer Vision math.NA math.OC Numerical Analysis

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preprint2026arXiv

Arbitrarily Conditioned Hierarchical Flows for Spatiotemporal Events

Events in spatiotemporal systems are ubiquitous, yet modeling their complex distributions remains challenging. Existing point process models often rely on strong structural assumptions and are typically limited to autoregressive, event-by-event prediction. As a result, they struggle to support broader inference tasks such as inverse inference, trajectory reconstruction, and recovery of missing event locations. We introduce Arbitrarily Conditioned Hierarchical Flows (ARCH), a hierarchical flow matching framework for spatiotemporal event modeling. ARCH is expressive enough to capture complex event distributions while enabling tractable and accurate computation of conditional intensities, which quantify instantaneous event risk. Built on a history-encoder-generative-decoder architecture, ARCH introduces a hybrid masking strategy for flexible conditioning on arbitrary observed events. This enables a unified treatment of forecasting, inverse inference, and partial trajectory recovery within a single framework. Experiments on synthetic and real-world datasets show that ARCH consistently outperforms existing baselines across both prediction and conditional inference tasks.

preprint2026arXiv

Dual-Agent Co-Training for Health Coaching via Implicit Adversarial Preference Optimization

Motivational-interviewing-based health coaching is an effective approach for improving mental health and promoting healthy behavior change. However, the scarcity of trained human coaches and the high cost of coaching services make such support inaccessible to many people who could benefit from it. This motivates the development of AI health coaches that can provide scalable and affordable support. Existing methods typically optimize only one side of the interaction: they either train a dialogue agent against a fixed client environment or train a client simulator against a fixed assistant. This one-sided setup can limit exploration of the interaction space and may be inefficient at developing the capabilities required by the target agent and pushing its performance boundaries. In this paper, we propose a dual-agent framework that interactively co-trains both the health coach agent and the client simulator. The coach is optimized with DPO using Pareto-dominant response pairs identified by a multi-dimensional LLM judge. In turn, the client is trained adversarially by reversing these preferences, inducing an implicit adversarial training dynamic. We further show that this co-training process admits a natural stochastic-game interpretation. Extensive experiments demonstrate that our method effectively improves coaching quality across several important dimensions.

preprint2026arXiv

Structured Neural Marked Point Processes for Interpretable Event Interaction Modeling

Multi-class event streams arise in numerous real-world applications, where uncovering structured, interpretable inter-event relationships, together with accurate prediction, remains a central challenge. Existing neural point process models are highly expressive but encode event interactions in a black-box manner, preventing explicit discovery of structured dependencies. In this paper, we propose a structured neural marked point process (SNMPP) that achieves high modeling flexibility while enabling explicit event-wise and class-wise relationship discovery from data. Our model constructs a product-form neural influence kernel composed of a signed interaction network over event types and a delay-aware monotonic temporal network. This design enables explicit characterization of inter-class influence topology -- including excitation, inhibition, and neutrality -- while flexibly capturing diverse temporal decay patterns and potential influence delays. For efficient learning, we develop a stratified Monte Carlo estimator for stochastic training. Extensive experiments on synthetic and real-world benchmark datasets validate the ability of our approach to uncover structured relationships and deliver strong predictive performance.

preprint2023arXiv

A Metalearning Approach for Physics-Informed Neural Networks (PINNs): Application to Parameterized PDEs

Physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) as a means of discretizing partial differential equations (PDEs) are garnering much attention in the Computational Science and Engineering (CS&E) world. At least two challenges exist for PINNs at present: an understanding of accuracy and convergence characteristics with respect to tunable parameters and identification of optimization strategies that make PINNs as efficient as other computational science tools. The cost of PINNs training remains a major challenge of Physics-informed Machine Learning (PiML) - and, in fact, machine learning (ML) in general. This paper is meant to move towards addressing the latter through the study of PINNs on new tasks, for which parameterized PDEs provides a good testbed application as tasks can be easily defined in this context. Following the ML world, we introduce metalearning of PINNs with application to parameterized PDEs. By introducing metalearning and transfer learning concepts, we can greatly accelerate the PINNs optimization process. We present a survey of model-agnostic metalearning, and then discuss our model-aware metalearning applied to PINNs as well as implementation considerations and algorithmic complexity. We then test our approach on various canonical forward parameterized PDEs that have been presented in the emerging PINNs literature.

preprint2023arXiv

Getting Away with More Network Pruning: From Sparsity to Geometry and Linear Regions

One surprising trait of neural networks is the extent to which their connections can be pruned with little to no effect on accuracy. But when we cross a critical level of parameter sparsity, pruning any further leads to a sudden drop in accuracy. This drop plausibly reflects a loss in model complexity, which we aim to avoid. In this work, we explore how sparsity also affects the geometry of the linear regions defined by a neural network, and consequently reduces the expected maximum number of linear regions based on the architecture. We observe that pruning affects accuracy similarly to how sparsity affects the number of linear regions and our proposed bound for the maximum number. Conversely, we find out that selecting the sparsity across layers to maximize our bound very often improves accuracy in comparison to pruning as much with the same sparsity in all layers, thereby providing us guidance on where to prune.

preprint2023arXiv

Multifidelity Modeling for Physics-Informed Neural Networks (PINNs)

Multifidelity simulation methodologies are often used in an attempt to judiciously combine low-fidelity and high-fidelity simulation results in an accuracy-increasing, cost-saving way. Candidates for this approach are simulation methodologies for which there are fidelity differences connected with significant computational cost differences. Physics-informed Neural Networks (PINNs) are candidates for these types of approaches due to the significant difference in training times required when different fidelities (expressed in terms of architecture width and depth as well as optimization criteria) are employed. In this paper, we propose a particular multifidelity approach applied to PINNs that exploits low-rank structure. We demonstrate that width, depth, and optimization criteria can be used as parameters related to model fidelity, and show numerical justification of cost differences in training due to fidelity parameter choices. We test our multifidelity scheme on various canonical forward PDE models that have been presented in the emerging PINNs literature.

preprint2022arXiv

AutoIP: A United Framework to Integrate Physics into Gaussian Processes

Physical modeling is critical for many modern science and engineering applications. From a data science or machine learning perspective, where more domain-agnostic, data-driven models are pervasive, physical knowledge -- often expressed as differential equations -- is valuable in that it is complementary to data, and it can potentially help overcome issues such as data sparsity, noise, and inaccuracy. In this work, we propose a simple, yet powerful and general framework -- AutoIP, for Automatically Incorporating Physics -- that can integrate all kinds of differential equations into Gaussian Processes (GPs) to enhance prediction accuracy and uncertainty quantification. These equations can be linear or nonlinear, spatial, temporal, or spatio-temporal, complete or incomplete with unknown source terms, and so on. Based on kernel differentiation, we construct a GP prior to sample the values of the target function, equation-related derivatives, and latent source functions, which are all jointly from a multivariate Gaussian distribution. The sampled values are fed to two likelihoods: one to fit the observations, and the other to conform to the equation. We use the whitening method to evade the strong dependency between the sampled function values and kernel parameters, and we develop a stochastic variational learning algorithm. AutoIP shows improvement upon vanilla GPs in both simulation and several real-world applications, even using rough, incomplete equations.

preprint2022arXiv

Nonparametric Embeddings of Sparse High-Order Interaction Events

High-order interaction events are common in real-world applications. Learning embeddings that encode the complex relationships of the participants from these events is of great importance in knowledge mining and predictive tasks. Despite the success of existing approaches, e.g. Poisson tensor factorization, they ignore the sparse structure underlying the data, namely the occurred interactions are far less than the possible interactions among all the participants. In this paper, we propose Nonparametric Embeddings of Sparse High-order interaction events (NESH). We hybridize a sparse hypergraph (tensor) process and a matrix Gaussian process to capture both the asymptotic structural sparsity within the interactions and nonlinear temporal relationships between the participants. We prove strong asymptotic bounds (including both a lower and an upper bound) of the sparsity ratio, which reveals the asymptotic properties of the sampled structure. We use batch-normalization, stick-breaking construction, and sparse variational GP approximations to develop an efficient, scalable model inference algorithm. We demonstrate the advantage of our approach in several real-world applications.

preprint2022arXiv

Nonparametric Factor Trajectory Learning for Dynamic Tensor Decomposition

Tensor decomposition is a fundamental framework to analyze data that can be represented by multi-dimensional arrays. In practice, tensor data is often accompanied by temporal information, namely the time points when the entry values were generated. This information implies abundant, complex temporal variation patterns. However, current methods always assume the factor representations of the entities in each tensor mode are static, and never consider their temporal evolution. To fill this gap, we propose NONparametric FActor Trajectory learning for dynamic tensor decomposition (NONFAT). We place Gaussian process (GP) priors in the frequency domain and conduct inverse Fourier transform via Gauss-Laguerre quadrature to sample the trajectory functions. In this way, we can overcome data sparsity and obtain robust trajectory estimates across long time horizons. Given the trajectory values at specific time points, we use a second-level GP to sample the entry values and to capture the temporal relationship between the entities. For efficient and scalable inference, we leverage the matrix Gaussian structure in the model, introduce a matrix Gaussian posterior, and develop a nested sparse variational learning algorithm. We have shown the advantage of our method in several real-world applications.

preprint2022arXiv

Physics Informed Deep Kernel Learning

Deep kernel learning is a promising combination of deep neural networks and nonparametric function learning. However, as a data driven approach, the performance of deep kernel learning can still be restricted by scarce or insufficient data, especially in extrapolation tasks. To address these limitations, we propose Physics Informed Deep Kernel Learning (PI-DKL) that exploits physics knowledge represented by differential equations with latent sources. Specifically, we use the posterior function sample of the Gaussian process as the surrogate for the solution of the differential equation, and construct a generative component to integrate the equation in a principled Bayesian hybrid framework. For efficient and effective inference, we marginalize out the latent variables in the joint probability and derive a collapsed model evidence lower bound (ELBO), based on which we develop a stochastic model estimation algorithm. Our ELBO can be viewed as a nice, interpretable posterior regularization objective. On synthetic datasets and real-world applications, we show the advantage of our approach in both prediction accuracy and uncertainty quantification.

preprint2022arXiv

The Combinatorial Brain Surgeon: Pruning Weights That Cancel One Another in Neural Networks

Neural networks tend to achieve better accuracy with training if they are larger -- even if the resulting models are overparameterized. Nevertheless, carefully removing such excess parameters before, during, or after training may also produce models with similar or even improved accuracy. In many cases, that can be curiously achieved by heuristics as simple as removing a percentage of the weights with the smallest absolute value -- even though magnitude is not a perfect proxy for weight relevance. With the premise that obtaining significantly better performance from pruning depends on accounting for the combined effect of removing multiple weights, we revisit one of the classic approaches for impact-based pruning: the Optimal Brain Surgeon(OBS). We propose a tractable heuristic for solving the combinatorial extension of OBS, in which we select weights for simultaneous removal, as well as a systematic update of the remaining weights. Our selection method outperforms other methods under high sparsity, and the weight update is advantageous even when combined with the other methods.

preprint2021arXiv

GP-HMAT: Scalable, ${O}(n\log(n))$ Gaussian Process Regression with Hierarchical Low-Rank Matrices

A Gaussian process (GP) is a powerful and widely used regression technique. The main building block of a GP regression is the covariance kernel, which characterizes the relationship between pairs in the random field. The optimization to find the optimal kernel, however, requires several large-scale and often unstructured matrix inversions. We tackle this challenge by introducing a hierarchical matrix approach, named HMAT, which effectively decomposes the matrix structure, in a recursive manner, into significantly smaller matrices where a direct approach could be used for inversion. Our matrix partitioning uses a particular aggregation strategy for data points, which promotes the low-rank structure of off-diagonal blocks in the hierarchical kernel matrix. We employ a randomized linear algebra method for matrix reduction on the low-rank off-diagonal blocks without factorizing a large matrix. We provide analytical error and cost estimates for the inversion of the matrix, investigate them empirically with numerical computations, and demonstrate the application of our approach on three numerical examples involving GP regression for engineering problems and a large-scale real dataset. We provide the computer implementation of GP-HMAT, HMAT adapted for GP likelihood and derivative computations, and the implementation of the last numerical example on a real dataset. We demonstrate superior scalability of the HMAT approach compared to built-in $\backslash$ operator in MATLAB for large-scale linear solves $\bf{A}\bf{x} = \bf{y}$ via a repeatable and verifiable empirical study. An extension to hierarchical semiseparable (HSS) matrices is discussed as future research.

preprint2020arXiv

Macroscopic Traffic Flow Modeling with Physics Regularized Gaussian Process: A New Insight into Machine Learning Applications

Despite the wide implementation of machine learning (ML) techniques in traffic flow modeling recently, those data-driven approaches often fall short of accuracy in the cases with a small or noisy dataset. To address this issue, this study presents a new modeling framework, named physics regularized machine learning (PRML), to encode classical traffic flow models (referred as physical models) into the ML architecture and to regularize the ML training process. More specifically, a stochastic physics regularized Gaussian process (PRGP) model is developed and a Bayesian inference algorithm is used to estimate the mean and kernel of the PRGP. A physical regularizer based on macroscopic traffic flow models is also developed to augment the estimation via a shadow GP and an enhanced latent force model is used to encode physical knowledge into stochastic processes. Based on the posterior regularization inference framework, an efficient stochastic optimization algorithm is also developed to maximize the evidence lowerbound of the system likelihood. To prove the effectiveness of the proposed model, this paper conducts empirical studies on a real-world dataset which is collected from a stretch of I-15 freeway, Utah. Results show the new PRGP model can outperform the previous compatible methods, such as calibrated pure physical models and pure machine learning methods, in estimation precision and input robustness.

preprint2020arXiv

Multi-Fidelity High-Order Gaussian Processes for Physical Simulation

The key task of physical simulation is to solve partial differential equations (PDEs) on discretized domains, which is known to be costly. In particular, high-fidelity solutions are much more expensive than low-fidelity ones. To reduce the cost, we consider novel Gaussian process (GP) models that leverage simulation examples of different fidelities to predict high-dimensional PDE solution outputs. Existing GP methods are either not scalable to high-dimensional outputs or lack effective strategies to integrate multi-fidelity examples. To address these issues, we propose Multi-Fidelity High-Order Gaussian Process (MFHoGP) that can capture complex correlations both between the outputs and between the fidelities to enhance solution estimation, and scale to large numbers of outputs. Based on a novel nonlinear coregionalization model, MFHoGP propagates bases throughout fidelities to fuse information, and places a deep matrix GP prior over the basis weights to capture the (nonlinear) relationships across the fidelities. To improve inference efficiency and quality, we use bases decomposition to largely reduce the model parameters, and layer-wise matrix Gaussian posteriors to capture the posterior dependency and to simplify the computation. Our stochastic variational learning algorithm successfully handles millions of outputs without extra sparse approximations. We show the advantages of our method in several typical applications.

preprint2020arXiv

Scalable Variational Gaussian Process Regression Networks

Gaussian process regression networks (GPRN) are powerful Bayesian models for multi-output regression, but their inference is intractable. To address this issue, existing methods use a fully factorized structure (or a mixture of such structures) over all the outputs and latent functions for posterior approximation, which, however, can miss the strong posterior dependencies among the latent variables and hurt the inference quality. In addition, the updates of the variational parameters are inefficient and can be prohibitively expensive for a large number of outputs. To overcome these limitations, we propose a scalable variational inference algorithm for GPRN, which not only captures the abundant posterior dependencies but also is much more efficient for massive outputs. We tensorize the output space and introduce tensor/matrix-normal variational posteriors to capture the posterior correlations and to reduce the parameters. We jointly optimize all the parameters and exploit the inherent Kronecker product structure in the variational model evidence lower bound to accelerate the computation. We demonstrate the advantages of our method in several real-world applications.

preprint2020arXiv

Streaming Probabilistic Deep Tensor Factorization

Despite the success of existing tensor factorization methods, most of them conduct a multilinear decomposition, and rarely exploit powerful modeling frameworks, like deep neural networks, to capture a variety of complicated interactions in data. More important, for highly expressive, deep factorization, we lack an effective approach to handle streaming data, which are ubiquitous in real-world applications. To address these issues, we propose SPIDER, a Streaming ProbabilistIc Deep tEnsoR factorization method. We first use Bayesian neural networks (NNs) to construct a deep tensor factorization model. We assign a spike-and-slab prior over the NN weights to encourage sparsity and prevent overfitting. We then use Taylor expansions and moment matching to approximate the posterior of the NN output and calculate the running model evidence, based on which we develop an efficient streaming posterior inference algorithm in the assumed-density-filtering and expectation propagation framework. Our algorithm provides responsive incremental updates for the posterior of the latent factors and NN weights upon receiving new tensor entries, and meanwhile select and inhibit redundant/useless weights. We show the advantages of our approach in four real-world applications.

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