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Saifuddin Syed

Saifuddin Syed contributes to research discovery and scholarly infrastructure.

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Published work

3 published item(s)

preprint2026arXiv

Conditional Diffusion Sampling

Sampling from unnormalized multimodal distributions with limited density evaluations remains a fundamental challenge in machine learning and natural sciences. Successful approaches construct a bridge between a tractable reference and the target distribution. Parallel Tempering (PT) serves as the gold standard, while recent diffusion-based approaches offer a continuous alternative at the cost of neural training. In this work, we introduce Conditional Diffusion Sampling (CDS), a framework that combines these two paradigms. To this end, we derive Conditional Interpolants, a class of stochastic processes whose transport dynamics are governed by an exact, closed-form stochastic differential equation (SDE), requiring no neural approximation. Although these dynamics require sampling from a non-trivial initialization distribution, we show both theoretically and empirically that the cost of this initialization diminishes for sufficiently short diffusion times. CDS leverages this by a two-stage procedure: (1) PT is used to efficiently sample the initial distribution, and then (2) samples are transported via the transport SDE. This combination couples the robust global exploration of PT with efficient local transport. Experiments suggest that CDS has the potential to achieve a superior trade-off between sample quality and density evaluation cost compared to state-of-the-art samplers.

preprint2023arXiv

Parallel Tempering With a Variational Reference

Sampling from complex target distributions is a challenging task fundamental to Bayesian inference. Parallel tempering (PT) addresses this problem by constructing a Markov chain on the expanded state space of a sequence of distributions interpolating between the posterior distribution and a fixed reference distribution, which is typically chosen to be the prior. However, in the typical case where the prior and posterior are nearly mutually singular, PT methods are computationally prohibitive. In this work we address this challenge by constructing a generalized annealing path connecting the posterior to an adaptively tuned variational reference. The reference distribution is tuned to minimize the forward (inclusive) KL divergence to the posterior distribution using a simple, gradient-free moment-matching procedure. We show that our adaptive procedure converges to the forward KL minimizer, and that the forward KL divergence serves as a good proxy to a previously developed measure of PT performance. We also show that in the large-data limit in typical Bayesian models, the proposed method improves in performance, while traditional PT deteriorates arbitrarily. Finally, we introduce PT with two references -- one fixed, one variational -- with a novel split annealing path that ensures stable variational reference adaptation. The paper concludes with experiments that demonstrate the large empirical gains achieved by our method in a wide range of realistic Bayesian inference scenarios.

preprint2022arXiv

Local Exchangeability

Exchangeability -- in which the distribution of an infinite sequence is invariant to reorderings of its elements -- implies the existence of a simple conditional independence structure that may be leveraged in the design of statistical models and inference procedures. In this work, we study a relaxation of exchangeability in which this invariance need not hold precisely. We introduce the notion of local exchangeability -- where swapping data associated with nearby covariates causes a bounded change in the distribution. We prove that locally exchangeable processes correspond to independent observations from an underlying measure-valued stochastic process. Using this main probabilistic result, we show that the local empirical measure of a finite collection of observations provides an approximation of the underlying measure-valued process and Bayesian posterior predictive distributions. The paper concludes with applications of the main theoretical results to a model from Bayesian nonparametrics and covariate-dependent permutation tests.