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Mathieu Serrurier

Mathieu Serrurier contributes to research discovery and scholarly infrastructure.

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Published work

7 published item(s)

preprint2026arXiv

From SGD to Muon: Adaptive Optimization via Schatten-p Norms

Modern optimizers, like Muon, impose matrix-wise geometry constraints on their updates. These matrix-wise constraints can be unified under Linear Minimization Oracle (LMO) theory. However, all current methods impose fixed LMO geometries for the update rules, chosen by-design or empirically, which are not necessarily optimal according to the problem's geometry. We introduce a novel efficient datadriven criterion for dynamically choosing proxy-optimal update LMO geometries on individual Deep Neural Network layers. Derived in closed form from gradient and activation statistics using a single-step random feature regression surrogate model, our criterion navigates a design space interpolating from SGD to Muon updates. Moreover, integrating parameter-wise preconditioning allows our framework to recover SGD, Muon, Adam, and MuAdam as specific extrema. To make this adaptive approach scalable, we pair it with efficient computational strategies, achieving only a $\sim$ 3% runtime overhead on highly optimized baselines. As a proof of concept, we show that this data-driven optimizer beats or remains competitive with the performance of the best performing optimizer between Muon and AdamW across three different training scenarios. Ultimately, this work provides evidence that LMO geometry can be successfully and efficiently adapted from runtime data, opening a new pathway for optimizer design beyond static geometries.

preprint2022arXiv

Precipitaion Nowcasting using Deep Neural Network

Precipitation nowcasting is of great importance for weather forecast users, for activities ranging from outdoor activities and sports competitions to airport traffic management. In contrast to long-term precipitation forecasts which are traditionally obtained from numerical models, precipitation nowcasting needs to be very fast. It is therefore more challenging to obtain because of this time constraint. Recently, many machine learning based methods had been proposed. We propose the use three popular deep learning models (U-net, ConvLSTM and SVG-LP) trained on two-dimensional precipitation maps for precipitation nowcasting. We proposed an algorithm for patch extraction to obtain high resolution precipitation maps. We proposed a loss function to solve the blurry image issue and to reduce the influence of zero value pixels in precipitation maps.

preprint2020arXiv

A Hölderian backtracking method for min-max and min-min problems

We present a new algorithm to solve min-max or min-min problems out of the convex world. We use rigidity assumptions, ubiquitous in learning, making our method applicable to many optimization problems. Our approach takes advantage of hidden regularity properties and allows us to devise a simple algorithm of ridge type. An original feature of our method is to come with automatic step size adaptation which departs from the usual overly cautious backtracking methods. In a general framework, we provide convergence theoretical guarantees and rates. We apply our findings on simple GAN problems obtaining promising numerical results.

preprint2020arXiv

ARPEGE Cloud Cover Forecast Post-Processing with Convolutional Neural Network

Cloud cover is crucial information for many applications such as planning land observation missions from space. It remains however a challenging variable to forecast, and Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) models suffer from significant biases, hence justifying the use of statistical post-processing techniques. In this study, ARPEGE (Météo-France global NWP) cloud cover is post-processed using a convolutional neural network (CNN). CNN is the most popular machine learning tool to deal with images. In our case, CNN allows the integration of spatial information contained in NWP outputs. We use a gridded cloud cover product derived from satellite observations over Europe as ground truth, and predictors are spatial fields of various variables produced by ARPEGE at the corresponding lead time. We show that a simple U-Net architecture produces significant improvements over Europe. Moreover, the U-Net outclasses more traditional machine learning methods used operationally such as a random forest and a logistic quantile regression. We introduced a weighting predictor layer prior to the traditional U-Net architecture which produces a ranking of predictors by importance, facilitating the interpretation of the results. Using $N$ predictors, only $N$ additional weights are trained which does not impact the computational time, representing a huge advantage compared to traditional methods of ranking (permutation importance, sequential selection, ...).

preprint2020arXiv

Dyslexia and Dysgraphia prediction: A new machine learning approach

Learning disabilities like dysgraphia, dyslexia, dyspraxia, etc. interfere with academic achievements but have also long terms consequences beyond the academic time. It is widely admitted that between 5% to 10% of the world population is subject to this kind of disabilities. For assessing such disabilities in early childhood, children have to solve a battery of tests. Human experts score these tests, and decide whether the children require specific education strategy on the basis of their marks. The assessment can be lengthy, costly and emotionally painful. In this paper, we investigate how Artificial Intelligence can help in automating this assessment. Gathering a dataset of handwritten text pictures and audio recordings, both from standard children and from dyslexic and/or dysgraphic children, we apply machine learning techniques for classification in order to analyze the differences between dyslexic/dysgraphic and standard readers/writers and to build a model. The model is trained on simple features obtained by analysing the pictures and the audio files. Our preliminary implementation shows relatively high performances on the dataset we have used. This suggests the possibility to screen dyslexia and dysgraphia via non-invasive methods in an accurate way as soon as enough data are available.

preprint2020arXiv

Estimation of conditional mixture Weibull distribution with right-censored data using neural network for time-to-event analysis

In this paper, we consider survival analysis with right-censored data which is a common situation in predictive maintenance and health field. We propose a model based on the estimation of two-parameter Weibull distribution conditionally to the features. To achieve this result, we describe a neural network architecture and the associated loss functions that takes into account the right-censored data. We extend the approach to a finite mixture of two-parameter Weibull distributions. We first validate that our model is able to precisely estimate the right parameters of the conditional Weibull distribution on synthetic datasets. In numerical experiments on two real-word datasets (METABRIC and SEER), our model outperforms the state-of-the-art methods. We also demonstrate that our approach can consider any survival time horizon.

preprint2020arXiv

Surrogate Models for Rainfall Nowcasting

Nowcasting (or short-term weather forecasting) is particularly important in the case of extreme events as it helps prevent human losses. Many of our activities, however, also depend on the weather. Therefore, nowcasting has shown to be useful in many different domains. Currently, immediate rainfall forecasts in France are calculated using the Arome-NWC model developed by Météo-France, which is a complex physical model. Arome-NWC forecasts are stored with a 15 minute time interval. A higher time resolution is, however, desirable for other meteorological applications. Complex model calculations, such as Arome-NWC, can be very expensive and time consuming. A surrogate model aims at producing results which are very close to the ones obtained using a complex model, but with largely reduced calculation times. Building a surrogate model requires only a few calculations with the real model. Once the surrogate model is built, further calculations can be quickly realized. In this study, we propose to build surrogate models for immediate rainfall forecasts with two different approaches: combining Proper Orthogonal Decomposition (POD) and Kriging, or combining POD and Random Forest (RF). We show that results obtained with our surrogate models are not only close to the ones obtained by Arome-NWC, but they also have a higher time resolution (1 minute) with a reduced calculation time.