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Researcher profile

Manuela Veloso

Manuela Veloso contributes to research discovery and scholarly infrastructure.

ResearcherAffiliation not importedOpen to collaborate
Machine LearningArtificial IntelligenceComputation and LanguageRoboticsApplicationsComputational Engineering, Finance, and ScienceComputer VisionHuman-Computer InteractionInformation RetrievalMethodologyq-fin.RMq-fin.STSocial and Information Networks

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Published work

16 published item(s)

preprint2026arXiv

ChartAgent: A Multimodal Agent for Visually Grounded Reasoning in Complex Chart Question Answering

Recent multimodal LLMs have shown promise in chart-based visual question answering, but their performance declines sharply on unannotated charts-those requiring precise visual interpretation rather than relying on textual shortcuts. To address this, we introduce ChartAgent, a novel agentic framework that explicitly performs visual reasoning directly within the chart's spatial domain. Unlike textual chain-of-thought reasoning, ChartAgent iteratively decomposes queries into visual subtasks and actively manipulates and interacts with chart images through specialized actions such as drawing annotations, cropping regions (e.g., segmenting pie slices, isolating bars), and localizing axes, using a library of chart-specific vision tools to fulfill each subtask. This iterative reasoning process closely mirrors human cognitive strategies for chart comprehension. ChartAgent achieves state-of-the-art accuracy on the ChartBench and ChartX benchmarks, surpassing prior methods by up to 16.07% absolute gain overall and 17.31% on unannotated, numerically intensive queries. Furthermore, our analyses show that ChartAgent is (a) effective across diverse chart types, (b) achieves the highest scores across varying visual and reasoning complexity levels, and (c) serves as a plug-and-play framework that boosts performance across diverse underlying LLMs. Our work is among the first to demonstrate visually grounded reasoning for chart understanding using tool-augmented multimodal agents.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2026arXiv

Counterfactual Reasoning in Automated Planning

Automated planning traditionally assumes that all aspects of a planning task (initial state, goals, and available actions) are fully specified in advance, an approach well-suited to domains with fixed rules and deterministic execution. However, real-world planning often requires flexibility, allowing for deviations from the original task parameters in response to unforeseen circumstances or to improve outcomes. This paper surveys existing works on counterfactual reasoning in automated planning, categorizing them by what elements are changed, when the reasoning is triggered, and why and how these changes are made. We conclude by discussing key findings and outlining open research questions to guide future work in this area.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2024arXiv

Multi-Modal Financial Time-Series Retrieval Through Latent Space Projections

Financial firms commonly process and store billions of time-series data, generated continuously and at a high frequency. To support efficient data storage and retrieval, specialized time-series databases and systems have emerged. These databases support indexing and querying of time-series by a constrained Structured Query Language(SQL)-like format to enable queries like "Stocks with monthly price returns greater than 5%", and expressed in rigid formats. However, such queries do not capture the intrinsic complexity of high dimensional time-series data, which can often be better described by images or language (e.g., "A stock in low volatility regime"). Moreover, the required storage, computational time, and retrieval complexity to search in the time-series space are often non-trivial. In this paper, we propose and demonstrate a framework to store multi-modal data for financial time-series in a lower-dimensional latent space using deep encoders, such that the latent space projections capture not only the time series trends but also other desirable information or properties of the financial time-series data (such as price volatility). Moreover, our approach allows user-friendly query interfaces, enabling natural language text or sketches of time-series, for which we have developed intuitive interfaces. We demonstrate the advantages of our method in terms of computational efficiency and accuracy on real historical data as well as synthetic data, and highlight the utility of latent-space projections in the storage and retrieval of financial time-series data with intuitive query modalities.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2022arXiv

A Survey of Explainable Reinforcement Learning

Explainable reinforcement learning (XRL) is an emerging subfield of explainable machine learning that has attracted considerable attention in recent years. The goal of XRL is to elucidate the decision-making process of learning agents in sequential decision-making settings. In this survey, we propose a novel taxonomy for organizing the XRL literature that prioritizes the RL setting. We overview techniques according to this taxonomy. We point out gaps in the literature, which we use to motivate and outline a roadmap for future work.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2022arXiv

Differentially Private Learning of Hawkes Processes

Hawkes processes have recently gained increasing attention from the machine learning community for their versatility in modeling event sequence data. While they have a rich history going back decades, some of their properties, such as sample complexity for learning the parameters and releasing differentially private versions, are yet to be thoroughly analyzed. In this work, we study standard Hawkes processes with background intensity $μ$ and excitation function $αe^{-βt}$. We provide both non-private and differentially private estimators of $μ$ and $α$, and obtain sample complexity results in both settings to quantify the cost of privacy. Our analysis exploits the strong mixing property of Hawkes processes and classical central limit theorem results for weakly dependent random variables. We validate our theoretical findings on both synthetic and real datasets.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2022arXiv

Structure and Semantics Preserving Document Representations

Retrieving relevant documents from a corpus is typically based on the semantic similarity between the document content and query text. The inclusion of structural relationship between documents can benefit the retrieval mechanism by addressing semantic gaps. However, incorporating these relationships requires tractable mechanisms that balance structure with semantics and take advantage of the prevalent pre-train/fine-tune paradigm. We propose here a holistic approach to learning document representations by integrating intra-document content with inter-document relations. Our deep metric learning solution analyzes the complex neighborhood structure in the relationship network to efficiently sample similar/dissimilar document pairs and defines a novel quintuplet loss function that simultaneously encourages document pairs that are semantically relevant to be closer and structurally unrelated to be far apart in the representation space. Furthermore, the separation margins between the documents are varied flexibly to encode the heterogeneity in relationship strengths. The model is fully fine-tunable and natively supports query projection during inference. We demonstrate that it outperforms competing methods on multiple datasets for document retrieval tasks.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2021arXiv

Bayesian Consensus: Consensus Estimates from Miscalibrated Instruments under Heteroscedastic Noise

We consider the problem of aggregating predictions or measurements from a set of human forecasters, models, sensors or other instruments which may be subject to bias or miscalibration and random heteroscedastic noise. We propose a Bayesian consensus estimator that adjusts for miscalibration and noise and show that this estimator is unbiased and asymptotically more efficient than naive alternatives. We further propose a Hierarchical Bayesian Model that leverages our proposed estimator and apply it to two real world forecasting challenges that require consensus estimates from error prone individual estimates: forecasting influenza like illness (ILI) weekly percentages and forecasting annual earnings of public companies. We demonstrate that our approach is effective at mitigating bias and error and results in more accurate forecasts than existing consensus models.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2021arXiv

DocuBot : Generating financial reports using natural language interactions

The financial services industry perpetually processes an overwhelming amount of complex data. Digital reports are often created based on tedious manual analysis as well as visualization of the underlying trends and characteristics of data. Often, the accruing costs of human computation errors in creating these reports are very high. We present DocuBot, a novel AI-powered virtual assistant for creating and modifying content in digital documents by modeling natural language interactions as "skills" and using them to transform underlying data. DocuBot has the ability to agglomerate saved skills for reuse, enabling humans to automatically generate recurrent reports. DocuBot also has the capability to continuously learn domain-specific and user-specific vocabulary by interacting with the user. We present evidence that DocuBot adds value to the financial industry and demonstrate its impact with experiments involving real and simulated users tasked with creating PowerPoint presentations.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2021arXiv

Iterative Bounding MDPs: Learning Interpretable Policies via Non-Interpretable Methods

Current work in explainable reinforcement learning generally produces policies in the form of a decision tree over the state space. Such policies can be used for formal safety verification, agent behavior prediction, and manual inspection of important features. However, existing approaches fit a decision tree after training or use a custom learning procedure which is not compatible with new learning techniques, such as those which use neural networks. To address this limitation, we propose a novel Markov Decision Process (MDP) type for learning decision tree policies: Iterative Bounding MDPs (IBMDPs). An IBMDP is constructed around a base MDP so each IBMDP policy is guaranteed to correspond to a decision tree policy for the base MDP when using a method-agnostic masking procedure. Because of this decision tree equivalence, any function approximator can be used during training, including a neural network, while yielding a decision tree policy for the base MDP. We present the required masking procedure as well as a modified value update step which allows IBMDPs to be solved using existing algorithms. We apply this procedure to produce IBMDP variants of recent reinforcement learning methods. We empirically show the benefits of our approach by solving IBMDPs to produce decision tree policies for the base MDPs.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2021arXiv

Playing with Food: Learning Food Item Representations through Interactive Exploration

A key challenge in robotic food manipulation is modeling the material properties of diverse and deformable food items. We propose using a multimodal sensory approach to interact and play with food that facilitates the ability to distinguish these properties across food items. First, we use a robotic arm and an array of sensors, which are synchronized using ROS, to collect a diverse dataset consisting of 21 unique food items with varying slices and properties. Afterwards, we learn visual embedding networks that utilize a combination of proprioceptive, audio, and visual data to encode similarities among food items using a triplet loss formulation. Our evaluations show that embeddings learned through interactions can successfully increase performance in a wide range of material and shape classification tasks. We envision that these learned embeddings can be utilized as a basis for planning and selecting optimal parameters for more material-aware robotic food manipulation skills. Furthermore, we hope to stimulate further innovations in the field of food robotics by sharing this food playing dataset with the research community.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2021arXiv

The MineRL 2019 Competition on Sample Efficient Reinforcement Learning using Human Priors

Though deep reinforcement learning has led to breakthroughs in many difficult domains, these successes have required an ever-increasing number of samples. As state-of-the-art reinforcement learning (RL) systems require an exponentially increasing number of samples, their development is restricted to a continually shrinking segment of the AI community. Likewise, many of these systems cannot be applied to real-world problems, where environment samples are expensive. Resolution of these limitations requires new, sample-efficient methods. To facilitate research in this direction, we introduce the MineRL Competition on Sample Efficient Reinforcement Learning using Human Priors. The primary goal of the competition is to foster the development of algorithms which can efficiently leverage human demonstrations to drastically reduce the number of samples needed to solve complex, hierarchical, and sparse environments. To that end, we introduce: (1) the Minecraft ObtainDiamond task, a sequential decision making environment requiring long-term planning, hierarchical control, and efficient exploration methods; and (2) the MineRL-v0 dataset, a large-scale collection of over 60 million state-action pairs of human demonstrations that can be resimulated into embodied trajectories with arbitrary modifications to game state and visuals. Participants will compete to develop systems which solve the ObtainDiamond task with a limited number of samples from the environment simulator, Malmo. The competition is structured into two rounds in which competitors are provided several paired versions of the dataset and environment with different game textures. At the end of each round, competitors will submit containerized versions of their learning algorithms and they will then be trained/evaluated from scratch on a hold-out dataset-environment pair for a total of 4-days on a prespecified hardware platform.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2020arXiv

Guaranteeing Reproducibility in Deep Learning Competitions

To encourage the development of methods with reproducible and robust training behavior, we propose a challenge paradigm where competitors are evaluated directly on the performance of their learning procedures rather than pre-trained agents. Since competition organizers re-train proposed methods in a controlled setting they can guarantee reproducibility, and -- by retraining submissions using a held-out test set -- help ensure generalization past the environments on which they were trained.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2020arXiv

Heuristics for Link Prediction in Multiplex Networks

Link prediction, or the inference of future or missing connections between entities, is a well-studied problem in network analysis. A multitude of heuristics exist for link prediction in ordinary networks with a single type of connection. However, link prediction in multiplex networks, or networks with multiple types of connections, is not a well understood problem. We propose a novel general framework and three families of heuristics for multiplex network link prediction that are simple, interpretable, and take advantage of the rich connection type correlation structure that exists in many real world networks. We further derive a theoretical threshold for determining when to use a different connection type based on the number of links that overlap with an Erdos-Renyi random graph. Through experiments with simulated and real world scientific collaboration, transportation and global trade networks, we demonstrate that the proposed heuristics show increased performance with the richness of connection type correlation structure and significantly outperform their baseline heuristics for ordinary networks with a single connection type.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2020arXiv

Risk-Sensitive Reinforcement Learning: a Martingale Approach to Reward Uncertainty

We introduce a novel framework to account for sensitivity to rewards uncertainty in sequential decision-making problems. While risk-sensitive formulations for Markov decision processes studied so far focus on the distribution of the cumulative reward as a whole, we aim at learning policies sensitive to the uncertain/stochastic nature of the rewards, which has the advantage of being conceptually more meaningful in some cases. To this end, we present a new decomposition of the randomness contained in the cumulative reward based on the Doob decomposition of a stochastic process, and introduce a new conceptual tool - the \textit{chaotic variation} - which can rigorously be interpreted as the risk measure of the martingale component associated to the cumulative reward process. We innovate on the reinforcement learning side by incorporating this new risk-sensitive approach into model-free algorithms, both policy gradient and value function based, and illustrate its relevance on grid world and portfolio optimization problems.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2020arXiv

Some people aren't worth listening to: periodically retraining classifiers with feedback from a team of end users

Document classification is ubiquitous in a business setting, but often the end users of a classifier are engaged in an ongoing feedback-retrain loop with the team that maintain it. We consider this feedback-retrain loop from a multi-agent point of view, considering the end users as autonomous agents that provide feedback on the labelled data provided by the classifier. This allows us to examine the effect on the classifier's performance of unreliable end users who provide incorrect feedback. We demonstrate a classifier that can learn which users tend to be unreliable, filtering their feedback out of the loop, thus improving performance in subsequent iterations.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access