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Eden Belouadah

Eden Belouadah contributes to research discovery and scholarly infrastructure.

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Published work

5 published item(s)

preprint2026arXiv

Toto 2.0: Time Series Forecasting Enters the Scaling Era

We show that time series foundation models scale: a single training recipe produces reliable forecast-quality improvements from 4M to 2.5B parameters. We release Toto 2.0, a family of five open-weights forecasting models trained under this recipe. The Toto 2.0 family sets a new state of the art on three forecasting benchmarks: BOOM, our observability benchmark; GIFT-Eval, the standard general-purpose benchmark; and the recent contamination-resistant TIME benchmark. This report describes our experimental results and details the design decisions behind Toto 2.0: its architecture and training recipe, training data, and the u-muP hyperparameter transfer pipeline. All five base checkpoints are released under Apache 2.0.

preprint2022arXiv

A Comparative Study of Calibration Methods for Imbalanced Class Incremental Learning

Deep learning approaches are successful in a wide range of AI problems and in particular for visual recognition tasks. However, there are still open problems among which is the capacity to handle streams of visual information and the management of class imbalance in datasets. Existing research approaches these two problems separately while they co-occur in real world applications. Here, we study the problem of learning incrementally from imbalanced datasets. We focus on algorithms which have a constant deep model complexity and use a bounded memory to store exemplars of old classes across incremental states. Since memory is bounded, old classes are learned with fewer images than new classes and an imbalance due to incremental learning is added to the initial dataset imbalance. A score prediction bias in favor of new classes appears and we evaluate a comprehensive set of score calibration methods to reduce it. Evaluation is carried with three datasets, using two dataset imbalance configurations and three bounded memory sizes. Results show that most calibration methods have beneficial effect and that they are most useful for lower bounded memory sizes, which are most interesting in practice. As a secondary contribution, we remove the usual distillation component from the loss function of incremental learning algorithms. We show that simpler vanilla fine tuning is a stronger backbone for imbalanced incremental learning algorithms.

preprint2020arXiv

Active Class Incremental Learning for Imbalanced Datasets

Incremental Learning (IL) allows AI systems to adapt to streamed data. Most existing algorithms make two strong hypotheses which reduce the realism of the incremental scenario: (1) new data are assumed to be readily annotated when streamed and (2) tests are run with balanced datasets while most real-life datasets are actually imbalanced. These hypotheses are discarded and the resulting challenges are tackled with a combination of active and imbalanced learning. We introduce sample acquisition functions which tackle imbalance and are compatible with IL constraints. We also consider IL as an imbalanced learning problem instead of the established usage of knowledge distillation against catastrophic forgetting. Here, imbalance effects are reduced during inference through class prediction scaling. Evaluation is done with four visual datasets and compares existing and proposed sample acquisition functions. Results indicate that the proposed contributions have a positive effect and reduce the gap between active and standard IL performance.

preprint2020arXiv

Initial Classifier Weights Replay for Memoryless Class Incremental Learning

Incremental Learning (IL) is useful when artificial systems need to deal with streams of data and do not have access to all data at all times. The most challenging setting requires a constant complexity of the deep model and an incremental model update without access to a bounded memory of past data. Then, the representations of past classes are strongly affected by catastrophic forgetting. To mitigate its negative effect, an adapted fine tuning which includes knowledge distillation is usually deployed. We propose a different approach based on a vanilla fine tuning backbone. It leverages initial classifier weights which provide a strong representation of past classes because they are trained with all class data. However, the magnitude of classifiers learned in different states varies and normalization is needed for a fair handling of all classes. Normalization is performed by standardizing the initial classifier weights, which are assumed to be normally distributed. In addition, a calibration of prediction scores is done by using state level statistics to further improve classification fairness. We conduct a thorough evaluation with four public datasets in a memoryless incremental learning setting. Results show that our method outperforms existing techniques by a large margin for large-scale datasets.

preprint2020arXiv

ScaIL: Classifier Weights Scaling for Class Incremental Learning

Incremental learning is useful if an AI agent needs to integrate data from a stream. The problem is non trivial if the agent runs on a limited computational budget and has a bounded memory of past data. In a deep learning approach, the constant computational budget requires the use of a fixed architecture for all incremental states. The bounded memory generates data imbalance in favor of new classes and a prediction bias toward them appears. This bias is commonly countered by introducing a data balancing step in addition to the basic network training. We depart from this approach and propose simple but efficient scaling of past class classifier weights to make them more comparable to those of new classes. Scaling exploits incremental state level statistics and is applied to the classifiers learned in the initial state of classes in order to profit from all their available data. We also question the utility of the widely used distillation loss component of incremental learning algorithms by comparing it to vanilla fine tuning in presence of a bounded memory. Evaluation is done against competitive baselines using four public datasets. Results show that the classifier weights scaling and the removal of the distillation are both beneficial.