Researcher profile

Dario Piga

Dario Piga contributes to research discovery and scholarly infrastructure.

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Published work

6 published item(s)

preprint2026arXiv

ASIA: an Autonomous System Identification Agent

Over the years, research in system identification has provided a rich set of methods for learning dynamical models, together with well-established theoretical guarantees. In practice, however, the choice of model class, training algorithm, and hyperparameter tuning is still largely left to empirical trial-and-error, requiring substantial expert time and domain experience. Motivated by recent advances in agentic artificial intelligence, we present ASIA, a framework that delegates this iterative search to a large language model acting as an autonomous coding agent. Building on existing agentic platforms, ASIA closes the loop between hypothesis, implementation, and evaluation without human intervention, requiring only a plain-English description of the identification problem. We conduct an empirical study of ASIA on two system identification benchmarks and analyse the agent's search behaviour, the architectures and training strategies it discovers, and the quality of the resulting models. We also discuss the potential of the approach and its current limitations, including implicit test leakage, reduced methodological transparency, and reproducibility concerns.

preprint2022arXiv

Learning neural state-space models: do we need a state estimator?

In recent years, several algorithms for system identification with neural state-space models have been introduced. Most of the proposed approaches are aimed at reducing the computational complexity of the learning problem, by splitting the optimization over short sub-sequences extracted from a longer training dataset. Different sequences are then processed simultaneously within a minibatch, taking advantage of modern parallel hardware for deep learning. An issue arising in these methods is the need to assign an initial state for each of the sub-sequences, which is required to run simulations and thus to evaluate the fitting loss. In this paper, we provide insights for calibration of neural state-space training algorithms based on extensive experimentation and analyses performed on two recognized system identification benchmarks. Particular focus is given to the choice and the role of the initial state estimation. We demonstrate that advanced initial state estimation techniques are really required to achieve high performance on certain classes of dynamical systems, while for asymptotically stable ones basic procedures such as zero or random initialization already yield competitive performance.

preprint2022arXiv

On the adaptation of recurrent neural networks for system identification

This paper presents a transfer learning approach which enables fast and efficient adaptation of Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) models of dynamical systems. A nominal RNN model is first identified using available measurements. The system dynamics are then assumed to change, leading to an unacceptable degradation of the nominal model performance on the perturbed system. To cope with the mismatch, the model is augmented with an additive correction term trained on fresh data from the new dynamic regime. The correction term is learned through a Jacobian Feature Regression (JFR) method defined in terms of the features spanned by the model's Jacobian with respect to its nominal parameters. A non-parametric view of the approach is also proposed, which extends recent work on Gaussian Process (GP) with Neural Tangent Kernel (NTK-GP) to the RNN case (RNTK-GP). This can be more efficient for very large networks or when only few data points are available. Implementation aspects for fast and efficient computation of the correction term, as well as the initial state estimation for the RNN model are described. Numerical examples show the effectiveness of the proposed methodology in presence of significant system variations.

preprint2021arXiv

A unified framework for closed-form nonparametric regression, classification, preference and mixed problems with Skew Gaussian Processes

Skew-Gaussian processes (SkewGPs) extend the multivariate Unified Skew-Normal distributions over finite dimensional vectors to distribution over functions. SkewGPs are more general and flexible than Gaussian processes, as SkewGPs may also represent asymmetric distributions. In a recent contribution we showed that SkewGP and probit likelihood are conjugate, which allows us to compute the exact posterior for non-parametric binary classification and preference learning. In this paper, we generalize previous results and we prove that SkewGP is conjugate with both the normal and affine probit likelihood, and more in general, with their product. This allows us to (i) handle classification, preference, numeric and ordinal regression, and mixed problems in a unified framework; (ii) derive closed-form expression for the corresponding posterior distributions. We show empirically that the proposed framework based on SkewGP provides better performance than Gaussian processes in active learning and Bayesian (constrained) optimization. These two tasks are fundamental for design of experiments and in Data Science.

preprint2021arXiv

Efficient Calibration of Embedded MPC

Model Predictive Control (MPC) is a powerful and flexible design tool of high-performance controllers for physical systems in the presence of input and output constraints. A challenge for the practitioner applying MPC is the need of tuning a large number of parameters such as prediction and control horizons, weight matrices of the MPC cost function, and observer gains, according to different trade-offs. The MPC design task is even more involved when the control law has to be deployed to an embedded hardware unit endowed with limited computational resources. In this case, real-time system requirements limit the complexity of the applicable MPC configuration, engendering additional design tradeoffs and requiring to tune further parameters, such as the sampling time and the tolerances used in the on-line numerical solver. To take into account closed-loop performance and real-time requirements, in this paper we tackle the embedded MPC design problem using a global, data-driven, optimization approach We showcase the potential of this approach by tuning an MPC controller on two hardware platforms characterized by largely different computational capabilities.

preprint2020arXiv

Skew Gaussian Processes for Classification

Gaussian processes (GPs) are distributions over functions, which provide a Bayesian nonparametric approach to regression and classification. In spite of their success, GPs have limited use in some applications, for example, in some cases a symmetric distribution with respect to its mean is an unreasonable model. This implies, for instance, that the mean and the median coincide, while the mean and median in an asymmetric (skewed) distribution can be different numbers. In this paper, we propose Skew-Gaussian processes (SkewGPs) as a non-parametric prior over functions. A SkewGP extends the multivariate Unified Skew-Normal distribution over finite dimensional vectors to a stochastic processes. The SkewGP class of distributions includes GPs and, therefore, SkewGPs inherit all good properties of GPs and increase their flexibility by allowing asymmetry in the probabilistic model. By exploiting the fact that SkewGP and probit likelihood are conjugate model, we derive closed form expressions for the marginal likelihood and predictive distribution of this new nonparametric classifier. We verify empirically that the proposed SkewGP classifier provides a better performance than a GP classifier based on either Laplace's method or Expectation Propagation.