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Chenxi Wang

Chenxi Wang contributes to research discovery and scholarly infrastructure.

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Published work

11 published item(s)

preprint2026arXiv

CombinationTS: A Modular Framework for Understanding Time-Series Forecasting Models

Recent progress in time-series forecasting has led to rapidly increasing architectural complexity, yet many reported State-of-the-Art gains are statistically fragile or misattributed. We argue that progress requires a shift from model selection to modular attribution, identifying which components truly drive performance. We propose CombinationTS, a self-contained probabilistic evaluation framework that decomposes forecasting models into orthogonal modules--Input Transformation, Embedding, Encoder, Decoder, and Output Transformation--and evaluates them under a shared evaluation condition space. By quantifying each component via marginalized performance ($μ$) and stability ($σ$), CombinationTS enables robust attribution beyond fragile point estimates. Through large-scale paired evaluation, we uncover the Identity Paradox: once the data view (Embedding) is well-designed, a parameter-free Identity Encoder often matches or outperforms complex backbones. We further show that explicit structural priors introduced via Input Transformations yield a more favorable performance-stability trade-off than increasing Encoder complexity, establishing a principled baseline for architectural necessity.

preprint2026arXiv

GenTS: A Comprehensive Benchmark Library for Generative Time Series Models

Generative models have demonstrated remarkable potential in time series analysis tasks, like synthesis, forecasting, imputation, etc. However, offering limited coverage for generative models, existing time series libraries are mainly engineered for discriminative models, with standardized workflows for specific tasks, such as optimizing Mean Squared Errors for time series forecasting. This rigid structure is fundamentally incompatible with the distinct and often complex paradigms of generative models (e.g., adversarial training, diffusion processes), which learn the underlying data distribution rather than a direct input-output mapping. To this end, we proposed GenTS, a comprehensive and extensible benchmark library designed for systematic assessment on generative time series models. GenTS features a unified data preprocessing pipeline, a collection of versatile models, and panoramic evaluation metrics. Its modular design also enables the researchers to flexibly customize beyond our built-in datasets and models. Based on GenTS, we conducted benchmarking experiments under diverse tasks, accordingly offering suggestions for model selection and identifying potential directions for future research. Our codes are open-source at https://github.com/WillWang1113/GenTS. The official tutorials and document are available at https://willwang1113.github.io/GenTS/.

preprint2026arXiv

The Cylindrical Representation Hypothesis for Language Model Steering

Steering is a widely used technique for controlling large language models, yet its effects are often unstable and hard to predict. Existing theoretical accounts are largely based on the Linear Representation Hypothesis (LRH). While LRH assumes that concepts can be orthogonalized for lossless control, this idealized mapping fails in real representations and cannot account for the observed unpredictability of steering. By relaxing LRH's orthogonality assumption while preserving linear representations, we show that overlapping concept contributions naturally yield a sample-specific axis-orthogonal structure. We formalize this as the Cylindrical Representation Hypothesis (CRH). In CRH, a central axis captures the main difference between concept absence and presence and drives concept generation. A surrounding normal plane controls steering sensitivity by determining how easily the axis can activate the target concept. Within this plane, only specific sensitive sectors strongly facilitate concept activation, while other sectors can suppress or delay it. While the surrounding normal plane can be reliably identified from difference vectors, the sensitive sector cannot, introducing intrinsic uncertainty at the sector level. This uncertainty provides a principled explanation for why steering outcomes often fluctuate even when using well-aligned directions. Our experiments verify the existence of the cylindrical structure and demonstrate that CRH provides a valid and practical way to interpret model steering behavior in real settings: https://github.com/mbzuai-nlp/CRH.

preprint2022arXiv

A Composable Framework for Policy Design, Learning, and Transfer Toward Safe and Efficient Industrial Insertion

Delicate industrial insertion tasks (e.g., PC board assembly) remain challenging for industrial robots. The challenges include low error tolerance, delicacy of the components, and large task variations with respect to the components to be inserted. To deliver a feasible robotic solution for these insertion tasks, we also need to account for hardware limits of existing robotic systems and minimize the integration effort. This paper proposes a composable framework for efficient integration of a safe insertion policy on existing robotic platforms to accomplish these insertion tasks. The policy has an interpretable modularized design and can be learned efficiently on hardware and transferred to new tasks easily. In particular, the policy includes a safe insertion agent as a baseline policy for insertion, an optimal configurable Cartesian tracker as an interface to robot hardware, a probabilistic inference module to handle component variety and insertion errors, and a safe learning module to optimize the parameters in the aforementioned modules to achieve the best performance on designated hardware. The experiment results on a UR10 robot show that the proposed framework achieves safety (for the delicacy of components), accuracy (for low tolerance), robustness (against perception error and component defection), adaptability and transferability (for task variations), as well as task efficiency during execution plus data and time efficiency during learning.

preprint2022arXiv

A Weak $\infty$-Functor in Morse Theory

In the spirit of Morse homology initiated by Witten and Floer, we construct two $\infty$-categories $\mathcal{A}$ and $\mathcal{B}$. The weak one $\mathcal{A}$ comes out of the Morse-Samle pairs and their higher homotopies, and the strict one $\mathcal{B}$ concerns the chain complexes of the Morse functions. Based on the boundary structures of the compactified moduli space of gradient flow lines of Morse functions with parameters, we build up a weak $\infty$-functor $\mathcal{F}: \mathcal{A}\rightarrow \mathcal{B}$. Higher algebraic structures behind Morse homology are revealed with the perspective of defects in topological quantum field theory.

preprint2022arXiv

Swin-Pose: Swin Transformer Based Human Pose Estimation

Convolutional neural networks (CNNs) have been widely utilized in many computer vision tasks. However, CNNs have a fixed reception field and lack the ability of long-range perception, which is crucial to human pose estimation. Due to its capability to capture long-range dependencies between pixels, transformer architecture has been adopted to computer vision applications recently and is proven to be a highly effective architecture. We are interested in exploring its capability in human pose estimation, and thus propose a novel model based on transformer architecture, enhanced with a feature pyramid fusion structure. More specifically, we use pre-trained Swin Transformer as our backbone and extract features from input images, we leverage a feature pyramid structure to extract feature maps from different stages. By fusing the features together, our model predicts the keypoint heatmap. The experiment results of our study have demonstrated that the proposed transformer-based model can achieve better performance compared to the state-of-the-art CNN-based models.

preprint2021arXiv

RGB Matters: Learning 7-DoF Grasp Poses on Monocular RGBD Images

General object grasping is an important yet unsolved problem in the field of robotics. Most of the current methods either generate grasp poses with few DoF that fail to cover most of the success grasps, or only take the unstable depth image or point cloud as input which may lead to poor results in some cases. In this paper, we propose RGBD-Grasp, a pipeline that solves this problem by decoupling 7-DoF grasp detection into two sub-tasks where RGB and depth information are processed separately. In the first stage, an encoder-decoder like convolutional neural network Angle-View Net(AVN) is proposed to predict the SO(3) orientation of the gripper at every location of the image. Consequently, a Fast Analytic Searching(FAS) module calculates the opening width and the distance of the gripper to the grasp point. By decoupling the grasp detection problem and introducing the stable RGB modality, our pipeline alleviates the requirement for the high-quality depth image and is robust to depth sensor noise. We achieve state-of-the-art results on GraspNet-1Billion dataset compared with several baselines. Real robot experiments on a UR5 robot with an Intel Realsense camera and a Robotiq two-finger gripper show high success rates for both single object scenes and cluttered scenes. Our code and trained model will be made publicly available.

preprint2020arXiv

Enumerating Chemical Graphs with Mono-block 2-Augmented Tree Structure from Given Upper and Lower Bounds on Path Frequencies

We consider a problem of enumerating chemical graphs from given constraints concerning their structures, which has an important application to a novel method for the inverse QSAR/QSPR recently proposed. In this paper, the structure of a chemical graph is specified by a feature vector each of whose entries represents the frequency of a prescribed path. We call a graph a 2-augmented tree if it is obtained from a tree (an acyclic graph) by adding edges between two pairs of nonadjacent vertices. Given a set of feature vectors as the interval between upper and lower bounds of feature vectors, we design an efficient algorithm for enumerating chemical 2-augmented trees that satisfy the path frequency specified by some feature vector in the set. We implemented the proposed algorithm and conducted some computational experiments.

preprint2020arXiv

Enumerating Chemical Graphs with Two Disjoint Cycles Satisfying Given Path Frequency Specifications

Enumerating chemical graphs satisfying given constraints is a fundamental problem in mathematical and computational chemistry, and plays an essential part in a recently proposed framework for the inverse QSAR/QSPR. In this paper, constraints are given by feature vectors each of which consists of the frequencies of paths in a given set of paths. We consider the problem of enumerating chemical graphs that satisfy the path frequency constraints, which are given by a pair of feature vectors specifying upper and lower bounds of the frequency of each path. We design a branch-and-bound algorithm for enumerating chemical graphs of bi-block 2-augmented structure, that is, graphs that contain two edge-disjoint cycles. We present some computational experiments with an implementation of our proposed algorithm.

preprint2020arXiv

GraspNet: A Large-Scale Clustered and Densely Annotated Dataset for Object Grasping

Object grasping is critical for many applications, which is also a challenging computer vision problem. However, for the clustered scene, current researches suffer from the problems of insufficient training data and the lacking of evaluation benchmarks. In this work, we contribute a large-scale grasp pose detection dataset with a unified evaluation system. Our dataset contains 87,040 RGBD images with over 370 million grasp poses. Meanwhile, our evaluation system directly reports whether a grasping is successful or not by analytic computation, which is able to evaluate any kind of grasp poses without exhausted labeling pose ground-truth. We conduct extensive experiments to show that our dataset and evaluation system can align well with real-world experiments. Our dataset, source code and models will be made publicly available.

preprint2020arXiv

Transferable Active Grasping and Real Embodied Dataset

Grasping in cluttered scenes is challenging for robot vision systems, as detection accuracy can be hindered by partial occlusion of objects. We adopt a reinforcement learning (RL) framework and 3D vision architectures to search for feasible viewpoints for grasping by the use of hand-mounted RGB-D cameras. To overcome the disadvantages of photo-realistic environment simulation, we propose a large-scale dataset called Real Embodied Dataset (RED), which includes full-viewpoint real samples on the upper hemisphere with amodal annotation and enables a simulator that has real visual feedback. Based on this dataset, a practical 3-stage transferable active grasping pipeline is developed, that is adaptive to unseen clutter scenes. In our pipeline, we propose a novel mask-guided reward to overcome the sparse reward issue in grasping and ensure category-irrelevant behavior. The grasping pipeline and its possible variants are evaluated with extensive experiments both in simulation and on a real-world UR-5 robotic arm.