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Anqi Liu

Anqi Liu contributes to research discovery and scholarly infrastructure.

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Published work

11 published item(s)

preprint2026arXiv

Group-Sensitive Offline Contextual Bandits

Offline contextual bandits allow one to learn policies from historical/offline data without requiring online interaction. However, offline policy optimization that maximizes overall expected rewards can unintentionally amplify the reward disparities across groups. As a result, some groups might benefit more than others from the learned policy, raising concerns about fairness, especially when the resources are limited. In this paper, we study a group-sensitive fairness constraint in offline contextual bandits, reducing group-wise reward disparities that may arise during policy learning. We tackle the following common-parity requirements: the reward disparity is constrained within some user-defined threshold or the reward disparity should be minimized during policy optimization. We propose a constrained offline policy optimization framework by introducing group-wise reward disparity constraints into an off-policy gradient-based optimization procedure. To improve the estimation of the group-wise reward disparity during training, we employ a doubly robust estimator and further provide a convergence guarantee for policy optimization. Empirical results in synthetic and real-world datasets demonstrate that our method effectively reduces reward disparities while maintaining competitive overall performance.

preprint2026arXiv

Reframing Conversational Design in HRI: Deliberate Design with AI Scaffolds

Large language models (LLMs) have enabled conversational robots to move beyond constrained dialogue toward free-form interaction. However, without context-specific adaptation, generic LLM outputs can be ineffective or inappropriate. This adaptation is often attempted through prompt engineering, which is non-intuitive and tedious. Moreover, predominant design practice in HRI relies on impression-based, trial-and-error refinement without structured methods or tools, making the process inefficient and inconsistent. To address this, we present the AI-Aided Conversation Engine (ACE), a system that supports the deliberate design of human-robot conversations. ACE contributes three key innovations: 1) an LLM-powered voice agent that scaffolds initial prompt creation to overcome the "blank page problem," 2) an annotation interface that enables the collection of granular and grounded feedback on conversational transcripts, and 3) using LLMs to translate user feedback into prompt refinements. We evaluated ACE through two user studies, examining both designs' experience and end users' interactions with robots designed using ACE. Results show that ACE facilitates the creation of robot behavior prompts with greater clarity and specificity, and that the prompts generated with ACE lead to higher-quality human-robot conversational interactions.

preprint2026arXiv

Unlocking air traffic flow prediction through microscopic aircraft-state modeling

Short-term air traffic flow prediction in terminal airspace is essential for proactive air traffic management. Existing approaches predominantly model traffic flow as aggregated time series, despite traffic dynamics being governed by aircraft states and interactions in continuous airspace. Such aggregation obscures fine-grained information including aircraft kinematics, boundary interactions, and control intent. Here we present AeroSense, a state-to-flow modeling framework that predicts future traffic flow directly from instantaneous airspace situations represented as dynamic sets of aircraft states derived from ADS-B trajectories. By establishing an end-to-end mapping from microscopic aircraft states to future regional traffic flow, AeroSense preserves aircraft-level dynamics while naturally accommodating varying traffic density without relying on historical look-back windows. Experiments on a large-scale real-world dataset show that AeroSense consistently improves predictive accuracy over aggregation-based forecasting approaches, particularly during high-density traffic periods. These findings suggest that instantaneous airspace situations provide an effective alternative to conventional time-series-based traffic forecasting paradigms.

preprint2025arXiv

Analyzing Political Text at Scale with Online Tensor LDA

This paper proposes a topic modeling method that scales linearly to billions of documents. We make three core contributions: i) we present a topic modeling method, Tensor Latent Dirichlet Allocation (TLDA), that has identifiable and recoverable parameter guarantees and sample complexity guarantees for large data; ii) we show that this method is computationally and memory efficient (achieving speeds over 3-4x those of prior parallelized Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA) methods), and that it scales linearly to text datasets with over a billion documents; iii) we provide an open-source, GPU-based implementation, of this method. This scaling enables previously prohibitive analyses, and we perform two real-world, large-scale new studies of interest to political scientists: we provide the first thorough analysis of the evolution of the #MeToo movement through the lens of over two years of Twitter conversation and a detailed study of social media conversations about election fraud in the 2020 presidential election. Thus this method provides social scientists with the ability to study very large corpora at scale and to answer important theoretically-relevant questions about salient issues in near real-time.

preprint2022arXiv

Repeated Environment Inference for Invariant Learning

We study the problem of invariant learning when the environment labels are unknown. We focus on the invariant representation notion when the Bayes optimal conditional label distribution is the same across different environments. Previous work conducts Environment Inference (EI) by maximizing the penalty term from Invariant Risk Minimization (IRM) framework. The EI step uses a reference model which focuses on spurious correlations to efficiently reach a good environment partition. However, it is not clear how to find such a reference model. In this work, we propose to repeat the EI process and retrain an ERM model on the \textit{majority} environment inferred by the previous EI step. Under mild assumptions, we find that this iterative process helps learn a representation capturing the spurious correlation better than the single step. This results in better Environment Inference and better Invariant Learning. We show that this method outperforms baselines on both synthetic and real-world datasets.

preprint2021arXiv

Active Learning under Label Shift

We address the problem of active learning under label shift: when the class proportions of source and target domains differ. We introduce a "medial distribution" to incorporate a tradeoff between importance weighting and class-balanced sampling and propose their combined usage in active learning. Our method is known as Mediated Active Learning under Label Shift (MALLS). It balances the bias from class-balanced sampling and the variance from importance weighting. We prove sample complexity and generalization guarantees for MALLS which show active learning reduces asymptotic sample complexity even under arbitrary label shift. We empirically demonstrate MALLS scales to high-dimensional datasets and can reduce the sample complexity of active learning by 60% in deep active learning tasks.

preprint2021arXiv

Disentangling Observed Causal Effects from Latent Confounders using Method of Moments

Discovering the complete set of causal relations among a group of variables is a challenging unsupervised learning problem. Often, this challenge is compounded by the fact that there are latent or hidden confounders. When only observational data is available, the problem is ill-posed, i.e. the causal relationships are non-identifiable unless strong modeling assumptions are made. When interventions are available, we provide guarantees on identifiability and learnability under mild assumptions. We assume a linear structural equation model (SEM) with independent latent factors and directed acyclic graph (DAG) relationships among the observables. Since the latent variable inference is based on independent component analysis (ICA), we call this model SEM-ICA. We use the method of moments principle to establish model identifiability. We develop efficient algorithms based on coupled tensor decomposition with linear constraints to obtain scalable and guaranteed solutions. Thus, we provide a principled approach to tackling the joint problem of causal discovery and latent variable inference.

preprint2021arXiv

Dynamic Social Media Monitoring for Fast-Evolving Online Discussions

Tracking and collecting fast-evolving online discussions provides vast data for studying social media usage and its role in people's public lives. However, collecting social media data using a static set of keywords fails to satisfy the growing need to monitor dynamic conversations and to study fast-changing topics. We propose a dynamic keyword search method to maximize the coverage of relevant information in fast-evolving online discussions. The method uses word embedding models to represent the semantic relations between keywords and predictive models to forecast the future time series. We also implement a visual user interface to aid in the decision-making process in each round of keyword updates. This allows for both human-assisted tracking and fully-automated data collection. In simulations using historical #MeToo data in 2017, our human-assisted tracking method outperforms the traditional static baseline method significantly, with 37.1% higher F-1 score than traditional static monitors in tracking the top trending keywords. We conduct a contemporary case study to cover dynamic conversations about the recent Presidential Inauguration and to test the dynamic data collection system. Our case studies reflect the effectiveness of our process and also points to the potential challenges in future deployment.

preprint2021arXiv

Robust Fairness under Covariate Shift

Making predictions that are fair with regard to protected group membership (race, gender, age, etc.) has become an important requirement for classification algorithms. Existing techniques derive a fair model from sampled labeled data relying on the assumption that training and testing data are identically and independently drawn (iid) from the same distribution. In practice, distribution shift can and does occur between training and testing datasets as the characteristics of individuals interacting with the machine learning system change. We investigate fairness under covariate shift, a relaxation of the iid assumption in which the inputs or covariates change while the conditional label distribution remains the same. We seek fair decisions under these assumptions on target data with unknown labels. We propose an approach that obtains the predictor that is robust to the worst-case in terms of target performance while satisfying target fairness requirements and matching statistical properties of the source data. We demonstrate the benefits of our approach on benchmark prediction tasks.

preprint2020arXiv

Robust Regression for Safe Exploration in Control

We study the problem of safe learning and exploration in sequential control problems. The goal is to safely collect data samples from operating in an environment, in order to learn to achieve a challenging control goal (e.g., an agile maneuver close to a boundary). A central challenge in this setting is how to quantify uncertainty in order to choose provably-safe actions that allow us to collect informative data and reduce uncertainty, thereby achieving both improved controller safety and optimality. To address this challenge, we present a deep robust regression model that is trained to directly predict the uncertainty bounds for safe exploration. We derive generalization bounds for learning, and connect them with safety and stability bounds in control. We demonstrate empirically that our robust regression approach can outperform the conventional Gaussian process (GP) based safe exploration in settings where it is difficult to specify a good GP prior.

preprint2019arXiv

Regularized Learning for Domain Adaptation under Label Shifts

We propose Regularized Learning under Label shifts (RLLS), a principled and a practical domain-adaptation algorithm to correct for shifts in the label distribution between a source and a target domain. We first estimate importance weights using labeled source data and unlabeled target data, and then train a classifier on the weighted source samples. We derive a generalization bound for the classifier on the target domain which is independent of the (ambient) data dimensions, and instead only depends on the complexity of the function class. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first generalization bound for the label-shift problem where the labels in the target domain are not available. Based on this bound, we propose a regularized estimator for the small-sample regime which accounts for the uncertainty in the estimated weights. Experiments on the CIFAR-10 and MNIST datasets show that RLLS improves classification accuracy, especially in the low sample and large-shift regimes, compared to previous methods.