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Andrea Vandin

Andrea Vandin appears in the imported research catalog. Authorship, coauthor and topic links are available while profile ownership is still unclaimed.

ResearcherUnclaimed source record
Artificial Intelligenceecon.GNLogic in Computer ScienceMachine LearningSocial and Information NetworksSoftware EngineeringCryptography and SecurityMultiagent SystemsPerformancephysics.soc-phq-fin.ECq-fin.STQuantitative Methods

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Published work

8 published item(s)

preprint2026arXiv

GravityGraphSAGE: Link Prediction in Directed Attributed Graphs

Link prediction (inferring missing or future connections between nodes in a graph) is a fundamental problem in network science with widespread applications in, e.g., biological systems, recommender systems, finance and cybersecurity. The ability to accurately predict links has significant real-world applications, such as detecting fraudulent financial transactions or identifying drug-target interactions in biomedicine. Despite a rich literature, link prediction is still challenging, especially for graphs enriched with information on edges (direction) and nodes (attributes). In fact, research on link prediction, especially the one based on Graph Deep Learning (GDL), has mostly focused on undirected graphs, without fully leveraging node attributes. Here, we fill this gap by proposing Gravity-GraphSAGE (GG-SAGE), a modified version of GraphSAGE, a GDL model for node embeddings, composed of a gravity-inspired decoder. This implementation is the first example in the literature of a GraphSAGE backbone adopted for directed link prediction. Using the benchmark datasets Cora, Citeseer, PubMed and 16 real-world graphs from the online Netzschleuder repository, we show that our proposed model outperforms state-of-the-art GDL link prediction techniques. Using further experimental evidence, we relate the quality of the output of our model with various characteristics of the graph, suggesting that our framework scales well when applied to data of increasing complexity.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2026arXiv

RAwR: Role-Aware Rewiring via Approximate Equitable Partition

While Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have demonstrated significant efficacy in node classification tasks, where predictions rely on local neighborhood information, the performance of GNNs often drops when prediction tasks depend on long-range interactions. These limitations are attributed to phenomena such as oversquashing, where structural bottlenecks restrict signal propagation across the network topology. To address this challenge, we introduce RAwR, a computationally efficient rewiring framework that augments the input graph with a quotient graph derived from equitable partitions. This approach facilitates accelerated communication between nodes that share identical structural roles, as identified by the Weisfeiler-Leman graph coloring, and thereby reduces the total effective resistance of the system. Furthermore, by employing an approximate definition of the equitable partition, RAwR enables a controllable reduction of the quotient graph, which, in its most condensed state, recovers the conventional Master Node rewiring technique. Empirical evaluations across a diverse suite of benchmarks -- including homophilic, heterophilic, and synthetic long-range datasets -- demonstrate that RAwR achieves state-of-the-art results. Our contribution is further supported by an analytical investigation using a teacher-student model of linear GNNs, which elucidates the theoretical foundations of role-based rewiring. This analysis leads to the formulation of Spectral Role Lift (SRL), a metric designed to identify the optimal approximate equitable partition for maximizing predictive performance.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2026arXiv

Statistical Model Checking of the Keynes+Schumpeter Model: A Transient Sensitivity Analysis of a Macroeconomic ABM

Agent-based models (ABMs) are increasingly used in macroeconomics, but their analysis still often relies on ad hoc Monte Carlo campaigns with heterogeneous statistical effort across parameter settings. We show how statistical model checking (SMC), implemented through MultiVeStA, can provide a principled analysis layer for a realistic macroeconomic ABM without rewriting the simulator in a dedicated formalism. Our case study is the heuristic-switching Keynes+Schumpeter(K+S) model, analysed hrough a transient sensitivity campaign over one-parameter sweeps, two macro observables (unemployment and GDP growth), and one auxiliary micro-level probe (market share) on the post-warmup phase of a 600-step horizon. The analysis is driven by reusable temporal queries, observable-specific precision targets, and confidence-based stopping rules that automatically determine the simulation effort required by each configuration. Results show a clear contrast across parameter families: macro-financial and structural sweeps produce the strongest transient effects, whereas several heuristic-rule sweeps remain much weaker under the same precision policy. More broadly, the paper shows that SMC can support reproducible and informative quantitative analysis of substantively rich economic ABMs, while making uncertainty estimates and simulation cost explicit parts of the reported results.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2026arXiv

The hidden structure of innovation networks

Innovation emerges from complex collaboration patterns - among inventors, firms, or institutions. However, not much is known about the overall mesoscopic structure around which inventive activity self-organizes. Here, we tackle this problem by employing patent data to analyze both individual (co-inventorship) and organization (co-ownership) networks in three strategic domains (artificial intelligence, biotechnology and semiconductors). We characterize the mesoscale structure (in terms of clusters) of each domain by comparing two alternative methods: a standard baseline - modularity maximization - and one based on the minimization of the Bayesian Information Criterion, within the Stochastic Block Model and its degree-corrected variant. We find that, across sectors, inventor networks are denser and more clustered than organization ones - consistent with the presence of small recurrent teams embedded into broader institutional hierarchies - whereas organization networks have neater hierarchical role-based structures, with few bridging firms coordinating the most peripheral ones. We also find that the discovered meso-structures are connected to innovation output. In particular, Lorenz curves of forward citations show a pervasive inequality in technological influence: across sectors and methods, both inventor (especially) and organization networks consistently show high levels of concentration of citations in a few of the discovered clusters. Our results demonstrate that the baseline modularity-based method may not be capable of fully capturing the way collaborations drive the spreading of inventive impact across technological domains. This is due to the presence of local hierarchies that call for more refined tools based on Bayesian inference.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2021arXiv

Exact maximal reduction of stochastic reaction networks by species lumping

Motivation: Stochastic reaction networks are a widespread model to describe biological systems where the presence of noise is relevant, such as in cell regulatory processes. Unfortu-nately, in all but simplest models the resulting discrete state-space representation hinders analytical tractability and makes numerical simulations expensive. Reduction methods can lower complexity by computing model projections that preserve dynamics of interest to the user. Results: We present an exact lumping method for stochastic reaction networks with mass-action kinetics. It hinges on an equivalence relation between the species, resulting in a reduced network where the dynamics of each macro-species is stochastically equivalent to the sum of the original species in each equivalence class, for any choice of the initial state of the system. Furthermore, by an appropriate encoding of kinetic parameters as additional species, the method can establish equivalences that do not depend on specific values of the parameters. The method is supported by an efficient algorithm to compute the largest species equivalence, thus the maximal lumping. The effectiveness and scalability of our lumping technique, as well as the physical interpretability of resulting reductions, is demonstrated in several models of signaling pathways and epidemic processes on complex networks. Availability: The algorithms for species equivalence have been implemented in the software tool ERODE, freely available for download from https://www.erode.eu.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2021arXiv

Quantitative Security Risk Modeling and Analysis with RisQFLan

Domain-specific quantitative modeling and analysis approaches are fundamental in scenarios in which qualitative approaches are inappropriate or unfeasible. In this paper, we present a tool-supported approach to quantitative graph-based security risk modeling and analysis based on attack-defense trees. Our approach is based on QFLan, a successful domain-specific approach to support quantitative modeling and analysis of highly configurable systems, whose domain-specific components have been decoupled to facilitate the instantiation of the QFLan approach in the domain of graph-based security risk modeling and analysis. Our approach incorporates distinctive features from three popular kinds of attack trees, namely enhanced attack trees, capabilities-based attack trees and attack countermeasure trees, into the domain-specific modeling language. The result is a new framework, called RisQFLan, to support quantitative security risk modeling and analysis based on attack-defense diagrams. By offering either exact or statistical verification of probabilistic attack scenarios, RisQFLan constitutes a significant novel contribution to the existing toolsets in that domain. We validate our approach by highlighting the additional features offered by RisQFLan in three illustrative case studies from seminal approaches to graph-based security risk modeling analysis based on attack trees.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2015arXiv

Forward and Backward Bisimulations for Chemical Reaction Networks

We present two quantitative behavioral equivalences over species of a chemical reaction network (CRN) with semantics based on ordinary differential equations. Forward CRN bisimulation identifies a partition where each equivalence class represents the exact sum of the concentrations of the species belonging to that class. Backward CRN bisimulation relates species that have the identical solutions at all time points when starting from the same initial conditions. Both notions can be checked using only CRN syntactical information, i.e., by inspection of the set of reactions. We provide a unified algorithm that computes the coarsest refinement up to our bisimulations in polynomial time. Further, we give algorithms to compute quotient CRNs induced by a bisimulation. As an application, we find significant reductions in a number of models of biological processes from the literature. In two cases we allow the analysis of benchmark models which would be otherwise intractable due to their memory requirements.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access
preprint2015arXiv

Quantitative Analysis of Probabilistic Models of Software Product Lines with Statistical Model Checking

We investigate the suitability of statistical model checking techniques for analysing quantitative properties of software product line models with probabilistic aspects. For this purpose, we enrich the feature-oriented language FLan with action rates, which specify the likelihood of exhibiting particular behaviour or of installing features at a specific moment or in a specific order. The enriched language (called PFLan) allows us to specify models of software product lines with probabilistic configurations and behaviour, e.g. by considering a PFLan semantics based on discrete-time Markov chains. The Maude implementation of PFLan is combined with the distributed statistical model checker MultiVeStA to perform quantitative analyses of a simple product line case study. The presented analyses include the likelihood of certain behaviour of interest (e.g. product malfunctioning) and the expected average cost of products.

0 citations0 reviewsNo code linkedOpen access