Abstract
Given an i.i.d sample , taking values in $\RRR^{d'}\times \RRR^d$, we consider a collection Nadarya-Watson kernel estimators of the conditional expectations $\EEE(<c_g(z),g(Y)>+d_g(z)\mid Z=z)$, where belongs to a compact set $H\subset \RRR^d$, a Borel function on $\RRR^{d'}$ and are continuous functions on $\RRR^d$. Given two bandwidth sequences $h_n<\wth_n$ fulfilling mild conditions, we obtain an exact and explicit almost sure limit bounds for the deviations of these estimators around their expectations, uniformly in $g\in\GG,\;z\in H$ and $h_n\le h\le \wth_n$ under mild conditions on the density , the class $\GG$, the kernel and the functions . We apply this result to prove that smoothed empirical likelihood can be used to build confidence intervals for conditional probabilities $\PPP(Y\in C\mid Z=z)$, that hold uniformly in $z\in H,\; C\in \CC,\; h\in [h_n,\wth_n]$. Here $\CC$ is a Vapnik-Chervonenkis class of sets.
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