The shape of the value function under Poisson optimal stopping

preprint2020arXivOpen access

Abstract

In a classical problem for the stopping of a diffusion process (Xt)t≥0(X_t)_{t \geq 0}, where the goal is to maximise the expected discounted value of a function of the stopped process Ex[e−βτg(Xτ)]{\mathbb E}^x[e^{-βτ}g(X_τ)], maximisation takes place over all stopping times ττ. In a Poisson optimal stopping problem, stopping is restricted to event times of an independent Poisson process. In this article we consider whether the resulting value function Vθ(x)=sup⁡τ∈T(Tθ)Ex[e−βτg(Xτ)]V_θ(x) = \sup_{τ\in {\mathcal T}({\mathbb T}^θ)}{\mathbb E}^x[e^{-βτ}g(X_τ)] (where the supremum is taken over stopping times taking values in the event times of an inhomogeneous Poisson process with rate θ=(θ(Xt))t≥0θ= (θ(X_t))_{t \geq 0}) inherits monotonicity and convexity properties from gg. It turns out that monotonicity (respectively convexity) of VθV_θ in xx depends on the monotonicity (respectively convexity) of the quantity θ(x)g(x)θ(x)+β\frac{θ(x) g(x)}{θ(x) + β} rather than gg. Our main technique is stochastic coupling.

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