The Hannan-Quinn Proposition for Linear Regression

preprint2010arXivOpen access

Abstract

We consider the variable selection problem in linear regression. Suppose that we have a set of random variables X1,...,Xm,Y,εX_1,...,X_m,Y,ε such that Y=∑k∈παkXk+εY=\sum_{k\in π}α_kX_k+ε with π⊆{1,...,m}π\subseteq \{1,...,m\} and αk∈Rα_k\in {\mathbb R} unknown, and εε is independent of any linear combination of X1,...,XmX_1,...,X_m. Given actually emitted nn examples {(xi,1...,xi,m,yi)}i=1n\{(x_{i,1}...,x_{i,m},y_i)\}_{i=1}^n emitted from (X1,...,Xm,Y)(X_1,...,X_m, Y), we wish to estimate the true ππ using information criteria in the form of H+(k/2)dnH+(k/2)d_n, where HH is the likelihood with respect to ππ multiplied by -1, and {dn}\{d_n\} is a positive real sequence. If dnd_n is too small, we cannot obtain consistency because of overestimation. For autoregression, Hannan-Quinn proved that, in their setting of HH and kk, the rate dn=2log⁡log⁡nd_n=2\log\log n is the minimum satisfying strong consistency. This paper solves the statement affirmative for linear regression as well which has a completely different setting.

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