Abstract
Using the measured spectrum shape for , the rate for , information on the Cabibbo-Kobayashi-Maskawa (CKM) matrix element , and theoretical inputs from factorization and lattice gauge theory, we obtain an improved estimate of the ``tree'' contribution to . We find the branching ratio $\b(B^0 \to π^+ π^-)|_{\rm tree} = (5.25^{+1.67}_{-0.50}) \times 10^{-6}$, to be compared with the experimental value $\b(B^0 \to π^+ π^-) = (4.55 \pm 0.44) \times 10^{-6}$. The fit implies . Implications for tree-penguin interference in and for other charmless decays are discussed.
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