Paper detail

The Circular Matern Covariance Function and its Link to Markov Random Fields on the Circle

The link between Gaussian random fields and Markov random fields is well established based on a stochastic partial differential equation in Euclidean spaces, where the Matérn covariance functions are essential. However, the Matérn covariance functions are not always positive definite on circles and spheres. In this manuscript, we focus on the extension of this link to circles, and show that the link between Gaussian random fields and Markov random fields on circles is valid based on the circular Matérn covariance function instead. First, we show that this circular Matérn function is the covariance of the stationary solution to the stochastic differential equation on the circle with a formally defined white noise space measure. Then, for the corresponding conditional autoregressive model, we derive a closed form formula for its covariance function. Together with a closed form formula for the circular Matérn covariance function, the link between these two random fields can be established explicitly. Additionally, it is known that the estimator of the mean is not consistent on circles, we provide an equivalent Gaussian measure explanation for this non-ergodicity issue.