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Radicalism: The asymmetric stance of Radicals versus Conventionals

We study the conditions of propagation of an initial emergent practice qualified as extremist within a population adept at a practice perceived as moderate, whether political, societal or religious. The extremist practice is carried by an initially ultra-minority of Radicals (R) dispersed among Conventionals (C) who are the overwhelming majority in the community. Both R and C are followers, that is, agents who, while having arguments to legitimize their current practice, are likely to switch to the other practice if given more arguments during a debate. The issue being controversial, most C tend to avoid social confrontation with R about it. They maintain a neutral indifference assuming it is none of their business. On the contrary, R aim to convince C through an expansion strategy to spread their practice as part of a collective agenda. However, aware of being followers, they implement an appropriate strategy to maximize their expansion and determine when to force a debate with C. The effect of this asymmetry between initiating or avoiding an update debate among followers is calculated using a weighted version of the Galam model of opinion dynamics. An underlying complex landscape is obtained as a function of the respective probabilities to engage in a local discussion by R and C. It discloses zones where R inexorably expand and zones where they get extinct. The results highlight the instrumental character of above asymmetry in providing a decisive advantage to R against C. It also points to a barrier in R initial support to reach the extension zone. In parallel, the landscape reveals a path for C to counter R expansion pushing them back into their extinction zone. It relies on the asymmetry of C being initially a large majority which puts the required involvement of C at a rather low level.

preprint2022arXivOpen access

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