Positivity of relative canonical bundles and applications

Given a family $f:\mathcal X \to S$ of canonically polarized manifolds, the unique Kähler-Einstein metrics on the fibers induce a hermitian metric on the relative canonical bundle $\mathcal K_{\mathcal X/S}$. We use a global elliptic equation to show that this metric is strictly positive on $\mathcal X$, unless the family is infinitesimally trivial. For degenerating families we show that the curvature form on the total space can be extended as a (semi-)positive closed current. By fiber integration it follows that the generalized Weil-Petersson form on the base possesses an extension as a positive current. We prove an extension theorem for hermitian line bundles, whose curvature forms have this property. This theorem can be applied to a determinant line bundle associated to the relative canonical bundle on the total space. As an application the quasi-projectivity of the moduli space $\mathcal M_{\text{can}}$ of canonically polarized varieties follows. The direct images $R^{n-p}f_*Ω^p_{\mathcal X/S}(\mathcal K_{\mathcal X/S}^{\otimes m})$, $m > 0$, carry natural hermitian metrics. We prove an explicit formula for the curvature tensor of these direct images. We apply it to the morphisms $S^p \mathcal T_S \to R^pf_*Λ^p\mathcal T_{\mathcal X/S}$ that are induced by the Kodaira-Spencer map and obtain a differential geometric proof for hyperbolicity properties of $\mathcal M_{\text{can}}$.

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