Parametric Estimation from Approximate Data: Non-Gaussian Diffusions

preprint2015arXivOpen access

Abstract

We study the problem of parameters estimation in Indirect Observability contexts, where Xt∈RrX_t \in R^r is an unobservable stationary process parametrized by a vector of unknown parameters and all observable data are generated by an approximating process YtεY^{\varepsilon}_t which is close to XtX_t in L4L^4 norm. We construct consistent parameter estimators which are smooth functions of the sub-sampled empirical mean and empirical lagged covariance matrices computed from the observable data. We derive explicit optimal sub-sampling schemes specifying the best paired choices of sub-sampling time-step and number of observations. We show that these choices ensure that our parameter estimators reach optimized asymptotic L2L^2-convergence rates, which are constant multiples of the L4L^4 norm ∣∣Ytε−Xt∣∣|| Y^{\varepsilon}_t - X_t ||.

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