Optimal stopping under adverse nonlinear expectation and related games

preprint2015arXivOpen access

Abstract

We study the existence of optimal actions in a zero-sum game inf⁡τsup⁡PEP[Xτ]\inf_τ\sup_PE^P[X_τ] between a stopper and a controller choosing a probability measure. This includes the optimal stopping problem inf⁡τE(Xτ)\inf_τ\mathcal{E}(X_τ) for a class of sublinear expectations E(⋅)\mathcal{E}(\cdot) such as the GG-expectation. We show that the game has a value. Moreover, exploiting the theory of sublinear expectations, we define a nonlinear Snell envelope YY and prove that the first hitting time inf⁡{t:Yt=Xt}\inf\{t:Y_t=X_t\} is an optimal stopping time. The existence of a saddle point is shown under a compactness condition. Finally, the results are applied to the subhedging of American options under volatility uncertainty.

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