Optimal Confidence Bands for Shape-Restricted Curves

preprint2013arXivOpen access

Abstract

Let YY be a stochastic process on [0,1][0,1] satisfying dY(t)=n1/2f(t)dt+dW(t)dY(t) = n^{1/2} f(t) dt + dW(t), where n≥1n \ge 1 is a given scale parameter (``sample size''), WW is standard Brownian motion and ff is an unknown function. Utilizing suitable multiscale tests we construct confidence bands for ff with guaranteed given coverage probability, assuming that ff is isotonic or convex. These confidence bands are computationally feasible and shown to be asymptotically sharp optimal in an appropriate sense.

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