On the rate of convergence in the martingale central limit theorem

preprint2013arXivOpen access

Abstract

Consider a discrete-time martingale, and let V2V^2 be its normalized quadratic variation. As V2V^2 approaches 1, and provided that some Lindeberg condition is satisfied, the distribution of the rescaled martingale approaches the Gaussian distribution. For any p≥1p\geq 1, (Ann. Probab. 16 (1988) 275-299) gave a bound on the rate of convergence in this central limit theorem that is the sum of two terms, say Ap+BpA_p+B_p, where up to a constant, Ap=∥V2−1∥pp/(2p+1)A_p={\|V^2-1\|}_p^{p/(2p+1)}. Here we discuss the optimality of this term, focusing on the restricted class of martingales with bounded increments. In this context, (Ann. Probab. 10 (1982) 672-688) sketched a strategy to prove optimality for p=1p=1. Here we extend this strategy to any p≥1p\geq 1, thereby justifying the optimality of the term ApA_p. As a necessary step, we also provide a new bound on the rate of convergence in the central limit theorem for martingales with bounded increments that improves on the term BpB_p, generalizing another result of (Ann. Probab. 10 (1982) 672-688).

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