Abstract

We consider the Pickands process {equation*} P_{n}(s)=\log (1/s)^{-1}\log \frac{X_{n-k+1,n}-X_{n-[k/s]+1,n}}{% X_{n-[k/s]+1,n}-X_{n-[k/s^{2}]+1,n}}, {equation*} {equation*} (\frac{k}{n}\leq s^2 \leq 1), {equation*} which is a generalization of the classical Pickands estimate Pn(1/2)P_{n}(1/2) of the extremal index. We undertake here a purely stochastic process view for the asymptotic theory of that process by using the Csörgő-Csörgő-Horváth-Mason (1986) \cite{cchm} weighted approximation of the empirical and quantile processes to suitable Brownian bridges. This leads to the uniform convergence of the margins of this process to the extremal index and a complete theory of weak convergence of PnP_n in ℓ∞([a,b])\ell^{\infty}([a,b]) to some Gaussian process {G,a≤s≤b}\{\mathbb{G},a\leq s \leq b\} for all [a,b]⊂]0,1[[a,b] \subset]0,1[. This frame greatly simplifies the former results and enable applications based on stochastic processes methods.

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