On 2×2\mathbf{2\times2} determinants originating from survival probabilities in homogeneous discrete time risk model

preprint2022arXivOpen access

Abstract

We analyze 2×22\times 2 Hankel-like determinants DnD_n that arise in the initial values problem for the ultimate time survival probability φ(u)φ(u) in a homogeneous discrete time risk model W(n)=u+κn+∑i=1nZiW(n)=u+κn+\sum_{i=1}^nZ_i, where ZiZ_i are positive integer valued i.i.d. random claims, the initial surplus u∈N0u \in \mathbb{N}_0 and the income rate κ=2κ=2. We prove the asymptotic version of a recent conjecture on the non--vanishing and monotonicity of DnD_n and derive explicit formulas for the initial values φ(0)φ(0), φ(1)φ(1) of a recurrence that yields survival probabilities. In cases when ZiZ_i are Bernoulli or Geometrically distributed, the conjecture on DnD_n is shown to hold for all n∈N0n\in\mathbb{N}_0. Additionally, a generating function Ξ(s)Ξ(s) for ultimate survival probabilities φ(u)φ(u) is derived.

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