Non-Gaussian Error Distribution of 7Li\rm{^{7}Li} Abundance Measurements

preprint2015arXivOpen access

Abstract

We construct the error distribution of 7Li\rm{^{7}Li} abundance measurements for 66 observations (with error bars) used by Spite12 that give A(Li)=2.21±0.065\rm{A(Li)}=2.21 \pm 0.065 (median and 1σσ symmetrized error). This error distribution is somewhat non-Gaussian, with larger probability in the tails than is predicted by a Gaussian distribution. The 95.4% confidence limits are 3.0σσ in terms of the quoted errors. We fit the data to four commonly used distributions: Gaussian, Cauchy, Student's t, and double exponential with the center of the distribution found with both weighted mean and median statistics. It is reasonably well described by a widened n=8n=8 Student's tt distribution. Assuming Gaussianity, the observed A(Li) is 6.5σσ away from that expected from standard Big Bang nucleosynthesis given the PlanckPlanck observations Coc2014. Accounting for the non-Gaussianity of the observed A(Li) error distribution reduces the discrepancy to 4.9σσ, which is still significant.

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