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Multi-Item Mechanisms without Item-Independence: Learnability via Robustness

We study the sample complexity of learning revenue-optimal multi-item auctions. We obtain the first set of positive results that go beyond the standard but unrealistic setting of item-independence. In particular, we consider settings where bidders' valuations are drawn from correlated distributions that can be captured by Markov Random Fields or Bayesian Networks -- two of the most prominent graphical models. We establish parametrized sample complexity bounds for learning an up-to-$\varepsilon$ optimal mechanism in both models, which scale polynomially in the size of the model, i.e.~the number of items and bidders, and only exponential in the natural complexity measure of the model, namely either the largest in-degree (for Bayesian Networks) or the size of the largest hyper-edge (for Markov Random Fields). We obtain our learnability results through a novel and modular framework that involves first proving a robustness theorem. We show that, given only ``approximate distributions'' for bidder valuations, we can learn a mechanism whose revenue is nearly optimal simultaneously for all ``true distributions'' that are close to the ones we were given in Prokhorov distance. Thus, to learn a good mechanism, it suffices to learn approximate distributions. When item values are independent, learning in Prokhorov distance is immediate, hence our framework directly implies the main result of Gonczarowski and Weinberg. When item values are sampled from more general graphical models, we combine our robustness theorem with novel sample complexity results for learning Markov Random Fields or Bayesian Networks in Prokhorov distance, which may be of independent interest. Finally, in the single-item case, our robustness result can be strengthened to hold under an even weaker distribution distance, the Lévy distance.