Long delay times in reaction rates increase intrinsic fluctuations

In spatially distributed cellular systems, it is often convenient to represent complicated auxiliary pathways and spatial transport by time-delayed reaction rates. Furthermore, many of the reactants appear in low numbers necessitating a probabilistic description. The coupling of delayed rates with stochastic dynamics leads to a probability conservation equation characterizing a non-Markovian process. A systematic approximation is derived that incorporates the effect of delayed rates on the characterization of molecular noise, valid in the limit of long delay time. By way of a simple example, we show that delayed reaction dynamics can only increase intrinsic fluctuations about the steady-state. The method is general enough to accommodate nonlinear transition rates, allowing characterization of fluctuations around a delay-induced limit cycle.

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