Jump filtering and efficient drift estimation for Lévy-driven SDE's

preprint2016arXivOpen access

Abstract

The problem of drift estimation for the solution XX of a stochastic differential equation with Lévy-type jumps is considered under discrete high-frequency observations with a growing observation window. An efficient and asymptotically normal estimator for the drift parameter is constructed under minimal conditions on the jump behavior and the sampling scheme. In the case of a bounded jump measure density these conditions reduce to nΔn3−ε→0,n Δ_n^{3-ε}\to 0, where nn is the number of observations and ΔnΔ_n is the maximal sampling step. This result relaxes the condition nΔn2→0nΔ_n^2 \to 0 usually required for joint estimation of drift and diffusion coefficient for SDE's with jumps. The main challenge in this estimation problem stems from the appearance of the unobserved continuous part XcX^c in the likelihood function. In order to construct the drift estimator we recover this continuous part from discrete observations. More precisely, we estimate, in a nonparametric way, stochastic integrals with respect to XcX^c. Convergence results of independent interest are proved for these nonparametric estimators. Finally, we illustrate the behavior of our drift estimator for a number of popular Lévy-driven models from finance.

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